Wed, Jan. 28, 3:59 PM
- Energy stocks are broadly lower as Nymex crude oil futures fell another $1.68/bbl (-3.6%) to $44.53 after today's inventory report showed the largest weekly supply buildup since 1982, but drilling contractor are whacked with especially large losses.
- Examples: NBR -11.7%, PTEN -8.6%, PES -10.9%, PDS -12.3%, KEG -6.5%; Helmerich & Payne (NYSE:HP), which reportedly has launched a round of steep layoffs, -6.3%.
- Among independent producers: DNR -9.7%, NFX -4.6%, SM -8.6%, SGY -10%, SD -9.7%, EOG -5.3%, PXD -6.8%, QEP -6%, APC -4.2%, XEC -3%.
- ETFs: XLE, ERX, VDE, OIH, XOP, ERY, FCG, DIG, GASL, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, IEZ, PXE, PXI, FENY, PXJ, RYE, FXN, DDG
Wed, Jan. 14, 3:34 PM
- Helping the Dow and S&P 500 recover from sharp losses is a bouncing energy sector as oil pops about $3 higher in the space of an hour or two of afternoon trade.
- Down nearly 2% earlier, the XLE is up 0.2% at the moment.
- ETFs: XLE, ERX, VDE, OIH, XOP, ERY, DIG, DUG, IYE, IEO, PXE, FENY, PXJ, RYE, FXN, DDG
- The Dow remains lower by 1% and the S&P 500 by 0.6%.
Mon, Jan. 5, 12:18 PM
- Energy stocks severely underperform the broader market, with the sector -4.2% vs. the S&P 500's -1.4%, as U.S. oil prices briefly slip below $50/bbl for the first time since April 2009; Nymex crude recently was -4.4% at $50.37, while Brent crude -5.9% at $53.08.
- Among the day's biggest losers: DNR -9%, RIG -7.6%, NBR -4.8%, CHK -5.9%, SDRL -9.1%, SD -12.3%, NOV -5.9%, PSX -6.2%, APA -5.9%, DVN -4.4%, EOG -6%, SU -5.2%, OXY -4.2%, APC -8.7%, PWE -9%, ECA -5.5%, MRO -5.3%.
- Global oil majors, which have been seen as less vulnerable to falling oil prices, are posting big losses: XOM -2.7%, COP -4.5%, CVX -3.8%, BP -5.8%, RDS.A -4.6%, TOT -6.5%.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, XOP, ERY, FCG, DIG, PBW, BNO, GASL, DTO, DBO, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, QCLN, IEZ, UWTI, PXE, USL, PXI, FENY, DWTI, PXJ, DNO, PSCE, RYE, SZO, PUW, FXN, OLO, DDG, HECO, TWTI, OLEM
Dec. 8, 2014, 11:15 AM
- Brent crude slumps to a new five-year lows after Morgan Stanley cut its 2015 Brent forecast, saying prices could average as little as $53/bbl although its base case scenario was for $70; the firm's earlier outlook saw oil at $98.
- "Oil prices face their greatest threat since 2009," analysts Adam Longson and Elizabeth Volynsky say, with Q2 2015 likely marking the peak period of dislocation in the absence of OPEC intervention.
- Brent -3.4% to $66.71, WTI -3.1% to $63.81.
- Energy stocks are getting smashed again, exacerbated by ConocoPhillips' (COP -3.3%) 20% reduction of its 2015 capex plans to $13.5B.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, XOP, ERY, DIG, BNO, DTO, DBO, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, CRUD, IEZ, UWTI, PXE, USL, PXI, FENY, DWTI, PXJ, DNO, RYE, SZO, FXN, OLO, DDG, OLEM, TWTI
Dec. 1, 2014, 12:21 PM
- Oil prices are rebounding, with both WTI and Brent crude up ~2%, but only a handful of energy stocks are rising.
- Exxon Mobil (XOM +1.4%) and Chevron (CVX +1.3%) are both up more than 1%, but the vast majority of energy stocks - led by Denbury Resources (DNR -8.9%), Newfield Exploration (NFX -7.6%) and Goodrich Petroleum (GDP -22.3%) - are seeing heavy selling.
- The SPDR Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE -1.2%) is lower despite gains in XOM and CVX, XLE’s two most heavily weighted stocks, as 38 of its 43 equity components trade lower; the ETF has now lost 7.5% since OPEC sent oil prices plunging by agreeing last Thursday not to cut production.
- Among XLE’s most actively traded components, Kinder Morgan (KMI -3.3%), Halliburton (HAL -3.4%), Transocean (RIG -6.1%) and Schlumberger (SLB -2.1%) are sharply lower.
- Other big decliners include BBEP -17.8%, SD -12.1%, SN -13%, CWEI -8.8%, CPE -14.6%, EXXI -18.9%, LRE -22.8%, REI -16.9%, SSE -15.3%.
- Other ETFs: ERX, VDE, OIH, XOP, ERY, DIG, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, IEZ, PXE, FENY, PXJ, RYE, FXN, DDG
Nov. 28, 2014, 12:52 PM
- "OPEC, like Rockefeller, ultimately damned itself," writes Wolfe Research's Paul Sankey. He doesn't see oil demand ratcheting upwards because of the drop in oil prices; instead, he says, the market will only clear at the point of U.S. supply growth destruction.
- This could take months and a price of around $50 per barrel ... "And then we squeeze radically higher. As a result, the world accelerates its move away from oil."
- "This is going to be volatile, and we can't understand how that helps the Saudis. Volatility sells Teslas."
- WTI crude (NYSEARCA:USO) tried bouncing earlier, but is now lower by 8.5% at $67.43 per barrel. The Energy Select SPDR (XLE -6.6%) is also set to close today's shortened session on the lows.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, XOP, ERY, DIG, BNO, UGA, DTO, DBO, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, CRUD, IEZ, UWTI, PXE, USL, FENY, PXJ, DWTI, DBE, DNO, PSCE, RJN, RYE, SZO, FXN, OLO, JJE, DDG, ONG, RGRE, OLEM, TWTI, UBN
Nov. 28, 2014, 7:25 AM
- OPEC yesterday decided to hold production numbers despite the bear market in oil. WTI crude is down about $5 per barrel to $69.
- A premarket look at the top 10 holdings of the XLE: Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) -4.1%, Chevron (NYSE:CVX) -4.1%, Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB) -4.6%, ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) -4.4%, EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG) -4.3%, Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) -4.8%, Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) -4.3%, Haliburton (NYSE:HAL) -4.7%, Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) -5%, Williams Companies (NYSE:WMB) -1.6%.
- ETFs: ERX, VDE, OIH, XOP, ERY, FCG, DIG, PBW, GASL, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, QCLN, IEZ, PXE, PXI, FENY, PXJ, PSCE, RYE, PUW, FXN, DDG, HECO
Nov. 14, 2014, 3:25 PM
- Crude oil futures jumped on speculation that OPEC may cut its oil production in a bid to stabilize plunging prices; West Texas crude oil rose $1.75, or 2.4%, to $75.90/bbl, bouncing off multiyear lows yesterday.
- The crude oil effect also sparked a reversal in gold prices, which rallied $24.10, or 2.1%, to settle ar $1,185.60/oz., its highest close since Oct. 30; a stronger U.S. dollar vs. the Japanese yen and the euro also sparked demand.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, USO, AGQ, XLE, OIL, DUST, SIL, USLV, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, ZSL, SCO, UGL, GLDX, DGP, XOP, ERY, GLL, DIG, BNO, UGLD, DZZ, DTO, DBO, DUG, SLVO, GLDI, IYE, DSLV, IEO, SLVP, CRUD, DGL, DBS, DGZ, RING, DGLD, SGDM, USL, PXE, UWTI, FENY, PXJ, PSAU, DWTI, DNO, TBAR, USV, RYE, UBG, FXN, GLDE, SZO, GYEN, BAR, OLO, GEUR, BARS, DDG, GGBP, OLEM, TWTI
Nov. 13, 2014, 3:20 PM
- U.S. crude oil prices break below $75/bbl for the first time in more than three years, brushing aside an IEA report showing a surprise 1.735M barrel inventory drawdown as well as remarks by the Saudi oil minister dismissing talk of an oil price war among producers.
- West Texas crude settled today at $74.21/bbl, -3.9% and breaking below an important support level; during the past three years, futures have tested but not broken through that level three times.
- Brent crude recently was trading below $78, -3%.
- Global oil majors are all lower: COP -1.9%, BP -1.4%, CVX -1.4%, XOM -1.1%, TOT -0.9%, RDS.A -0.7%.
- Oil services companies and offshore drillers suffer even sharper drops: SDRL -4.4%, SLB -4.2%, HAL -3.9%, BHI -3.9%, RIG -3.8%, DO -3.5%, NBL -2.9%.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, XOP, ERY, DIG, BNO, UGA, DTO, DBO, DUG, XES, IYE, IEO, CRUD, IXC, IEZ, PXE, USL, UWTI, IPW, FENY, PXJ, UHN, DWTI, DNO, RYE, FXN, SZO, GNAT, OLO, DDG, FILL, OLEM, TWTI
Nov. 4, 2014, 1:10 PM
- An big outlier to the downside in today's session is the energy sector (XLE -2.4%) as crude oil tumbles another 2.5% to a 3-year low of $76.80 per barrel, and brings heating oil and gasoline along with it.
- As comparison, the S&P 500 is down just 0.4%.
- Now off 21% from its all-time closing high on June 23, the XLE is down 5% YTD, making it the only ETF tracking the 10 benchmark S&P sectors to be in the red in 2014 (the S&P 500 is up 8.4%).
- ETFs: XLE, ERX, VDE, OIH, ERY, XOP, DIG, DUG, XES, IYE, IEO, IEZ, PXE, FENY, PXJ, PSCE, RYE, FXN, DDG
Oct. 9, 2014, 3:25 PM
- Crushed by relentless anxiety about oversupply and weakening global demand, Nymex crude oil futures closed down $1.54 at $85.76/bbl, their lowest close since Dec. 2012, while Brent crude fell below $90/bbl for the first time in more than two years.
- Including today's losses, WTI crude is down 6.2% since the start of the month and Brent has surrendered ~5%.
- In the face of surging output, a move in WTI below its 10-year average at $82 is not out of the realm of possibility, Brown Brothers Harriman says, adding that "a break of $73/barrel could send WTI toward $64, which corresponds with the 2010 low."
- Among big oil names so far today: APC -6.3%, LINE -4.6%, EPD -3.8%, DVN -3.8%, MRO -3.6%, HES -3.8%, KMI -3.7%, TOT -3.5%, STO -3.3%, RDS.A -3.1%, OXY -3%, KMP -3%, XOM -2.6%, COP -2.6%, MUR -2.6%, CVX -2.5%, BP -2.4%.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, ERY, XOP, DIG, BNO, DTO, DBO, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, CRUD, IEZ, PXE, USL, UWTI, PXJ, FENY, DNO, DWTI, RYE, FXN, SZO, OLO, DDG, OLEM, TWTI
Oct. 9, 2014, 9:56 AM
- Global oil producers open broadly lower as oil prices continue to slide on concerns about high supplies and weak global economic growth (also): RDS.A -2.7%, STO -2.7%, TOT -2.5%, HES -2%, APC -1.7%, BP -1.6%, CVX -1.5%, COP -1%, XOM -0.8%.
- Brent prices slump to $91/bbl, approaching two-year intraday lows, and Nymex crude tumbles to $86.67/bbl to an 18-month intraday low.
- The EIA said yesterday that U.S. crude supplies rose by a more than expected 5% last week, while gasoline and distillate inventories unexpectedly grew as well.
- Barclays is cutting its oil price forecasts: It now sees U.S. crude averaging $85/bbl in Q4 and $89 in 2015, down from previous estimates of $98 in Q4 and $100 next year, and Brent crude averaging $93/bbl in Q4 and $96 in 2015, down from a respective $106 and $107 previously.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, ERY, XOP, DIG, BNO, DTO, DBO, DUG, IYE, IEO, CRUD, PXE, USL, UWTI, PXJ, FENY, DNO, DWTI, RYE, FXN, SZO, OLO, DDG, OLEM, TWTI
Sep. 10, 2014, 3:28 PM
- Energy stocks, especially refiners, are taking a beating following the latest EIA inventory report that said gasoline stockpiles rose by 2.4M barrels last week, helping send U.S. crude oil futures to 16-month lows (-1.2% to $91.61/bbl) and Brent crude to 17-month lows (-1.1% to $98.02).
- The report is bearish given the large increases in refined product inventories; "even though the crude drawdown was close to expectations, it seemed to disappoint," Again Capital's John Kilduff says.
- The EIA report followed the agency’s updated demand growth report issued yesterday and this morning’s release of OPEC’s report on the oil market; both see lower demand growth this year and next.
- Oil majors are mostly lower: XOM -0.6%, CVX -1.4%, COP -0.3%, but BP (+2.9%) and RDS.A (+1%) are higher.
- Refiners are hit hard: VLO -3.6%, PSX -1.5%, MPC -1.9%, HFC -2.5%, TSO -2.9%, WNR -4.1%, CVI -1.6%, ALJ -1.8%, PBF -3.5%, DK -1.8%, CLMT -1.8%.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, ERY, XOP, DIG, BNO, UGA, DTO, DBO, DUG, IYE, IEO, CRUD, PXE, USL, PXI, PXJ, DBE, FENY, UWTI, DWTI, DNO, RJN, RYE, FXN, SZO, OLO, JJE, DDG, ONG, RGRE, OLEM, TWTI, UBN
Sep. 8, 2014, 12:32 PM
- The day's five biggest decliners in the S&P 500 are all energy companies - Newfield Exploration (NFX -5.6%), EOG Resources (EOG -3.6%), Anadarko Petroleum (APC -2.9%), Cimarex Energy (XEC -3.3%) and Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD -3.4%) - as crude oil prices slide to new lows, including Brent crude's first move below $100/bbl in more than a year.
- Brent crude dropped $1.12, or 1.1%, to $99.70/bbl after falling to as low as $99.36, a 16-month low, while U.S. crude slipped more than a percent to below $92 after settling at $93.29 on Friday for its sixth weekly drop in seven.
- Traders are concerned crude demand won't keep up, with data from the U.S. and China, the world's top oil consumers, suggesting their economies aren't growing as quickly as had been hoped.
- ETFs: USO, OIL, UCO, SCO, XOP, BNO, DTO, DBO, IEO, CRUD, PXE, USL, DBE, UWTI, DWTI, DNO, RJN, SZO, OLO, JJE, ONG, RGRE, OLEM, UBN
Sep. 2, 2014, 3:25 PM
- The energy sector (XLE -1.3%) is lit up bright red this session as WTI crude oil for October delivery dives 3% to $93.04 per barrel, within a dollar or so of 2014's low price. Also headed south is natural gas, -4.1% to $3.89 per MBtu.
- USO -3%, UNG -4.5%
- The Dow (DIA -0.2%) is the weakest of the major averages, with Dow components Chevron (CVX -1.5%) and Exxon (XOM -1.1%) among the index's worst performers.
- ETFs: XLE, ERX, VDE, OIH, ERY, FCG, XOP, DIG, GASL, DUG, IYE, IEO, GASX, PXE, PXJ, FENY, RYE, FXN, DDG
Oct. 2, 2013, 3:26 PM
- It's a pretty good day for refiners, even as most energy stocks slip, as Phillips 66 (PSX +2.1%), Valero (VLO +1.2%), Tesoro (TSO +0.2%), Western Refining (WNR +1.2%), Marathon Petroleum (MPC +1.2%) and HollyFrontier (HFC +0.4%) all post gains.
- PSX rises the most among energy companies in the S&P 500 after announcing a 25% increase in its quarterly dividend, VLO and TSO are upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup (I, II), and WNR rolls out a 12.5M-share IPO of its logistics unit.
- Refiners generally have come in for criticism recently; Barclays, for one, believes most refiners will miss consensus earnings expectations by a wide margin, with VLO the exception.
- ETFs: IEO, IEZ, IYE, PXE, PXI, XES, XLE, XOP, VDE, RYE, FXN, OIH, PXJ, PSCE, ERX, DIG, ERY, DUG, DDG.
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