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SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

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  • Tue, Jan. 27, 9:13 AM
    • The read from Redbook on retail sales through a good portion of the month indicates sales might decline around 3% M/M from December after the impact of auto and gas are backed out.
    • The December retail sales showed a small decline from November.
    • The Weekly Retail Chain Store Sales Index released today fell 0.6% W/W in another indication of softness in the retail sector, although on a year-over-year comparison the reading was up 2.6%.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, UGE, RCD, PSCD, SZK
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  • Fri, Jan. 16, 5:57 PM
    • Frustrations are mounting over stalled contract negotiations between West Coast dockworkers and port owners, prompting 175 industry groups representing agriculture, manufacturing, retailers, and other import/export operations to send a letter to the two sides urging them to solve their differences and agree to a contract.
    • While both sides agreed earlier the month to use a federal meditator, the latest public sniping has raised fears that the ports are heading toward a shutdown, which some say could cost the economy $2B/day if it lasts 20 days.
    • Midwest manufacturers have had to slow and even stop production due to delays in receiving components, and retailers are experiencing delays in early spring merchandise, including products for Valentine’s Day and Easter; the impact on the agricultural sector also has been dramatic, hurting producers from Washington apple growers to Idaho potato farmers.
    • A Cowen report this week said that while lower gas prices could boost consumer spending, retailers face increased shipping costs due to the port slowdown.
    • ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC
    | 1 Comment
  • Thu, Jan. 15, 9:52 AM
    • Though lottery sales are highly volatile as large jackpots attract attention sporadically, there's a bit of evidence that some of the extra cash in the pockets of U.S. consumers due to lower gas prices is heading in that direction.
    • Yesterday, the report on retail sales for December missed the mark of analysts in showing a month-over-month decline.
    • The NRF says holiday spending was up 4% Y/Y, but that's roughly the same mark the group predicted in the summer before the sharp drop in oil prices.
    • Data dive: Lottery sales on Powerball and Mega Millions.
    • Related ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, FDIS, PMR, RCD
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  • Wed, Jan. 14, 9:54 AM
    • The National Retail Federation projects holiday sales rose 4.0% Y/Y.
    • The mark is just shy of the 4.1% forecast from the industry group.
    • Earlier today, a report on Retail Sales showed +3.2% Y/Y growth in December with a slide in sales at gas stations a factor.
    • Savvy retail analysts have been pointing out for months that holiday spending was pulled forward this year, making the M/M drop in retail sales for December a bit easier to digest.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, RCD, UGE, SZK
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  • Thu, Jan. 8, 8:18 PM
    • Holiday retail sales rose 4.6% vs. expectations for a 3.8% lift, according to a read from ShopperTrak. The growth rate is the highest since 2005 for the period.
    • The rush of positive reports from retailers on holiday sales comes off of some beaten-down expectations, notes Chain Store Age.
    • Concerns on mall traffic, a West Coast port slowdown, and a frenzied level of promotions drove consensus estimates lower before some macroeconomic factors improved and $2 gas entered the scene.
    • A cross-section of retailers that surprised on the upside includes Barnes & Noble, Pier 1 Imports, Walgreens, Urban Outfitters, and Sonic.
    • What to watch: Costco (NASDAQ:COST) put up a 5% comp for December, putting some pressure on Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT) to show signs of late-quarter strength. Signs of weakness at dollar stores (DG, DLTR, FDO, FIVE) and electronics chains (HGG, CONN, BBY) are a concern. Retailers seen as on-trend for the holiday season include Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU), and Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM).
    • Related ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, SCC, UCC, PMR, UGE, RCD, SZK
    | 12 Comments
  • Tue, Jan. 6, 11:29 AM
    • Specialty retail is set up to see a strong year, according to Jefferies analyst Randal Konik.
    • The sector enters the year in a better position than in 2014 with inventory clean and the macroeconomic backdrop looking supportive.
    • Comp sales will lag a string of weak quarters and lower cotton prices will filter down to the bottom lines of the group, says Konik.
    • Specialty retailers (partial list): EXPR, ZUMZ, PSUN, ARO, AEO, ANF, CACH, CHS, NWY, BEBE, ANN, CBK, GPS, GES, PIR, BBBY, TCS, LE, VRA.
    • Related ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, FDIS, PMR, RCD
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  • Mon, Jan. 5, 10:13 AM
    • Online holiday sales rose 13.9% in 2014, an acceleration from the 8.5% growth seen in 2013, according to data from IBM Digital Analytics.
    • Mobile sales were up 27% to account for 23% of total holiday online sales.
    • Though the shift in sales to online and mobile channels has been a top-line producer for retailers, it's also been a drag on margins.
    • Related ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, IYK, FXD, FDIS, PMR, UGE, RCD, SZK
    • Previously: The free delivery gambit in retail (Jan. 03 2015)
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  • Sat, Jan. 3, 7:51 PM
    • The intense competition in retail over free shipping policies is expected to bring some pain to Q4 margins as big box and e-commerce firms scrap for market share, warn analysts.
    • ComScore reports that free delivery on online purchases rose to 68% in 2014, up from 44% last year.
    • Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN): 2014 shipping costs were up 32% through Q3. That mark comes before a holiday season in which the company says it saved customers a mere $2B in shipping fees.
    • Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT): The Bentonville giant has already warned investors it will spend heavily on e-commerce and fulfillment center expansion as it eyes +30% growth in online sales. The company may have difficulty dialing back its free delivery policies, say industry insiders.
    • Target (NYSE:TGT): Wolfe Research projects a 1% shift in Target sales to e-commerce cuts into the firm's profit margin by 5 bps.
    • What to watch: Online sales rose 16% in Q3 vs. 4% for broad retail, a differential that is expected to have widened in Q4. Retailers with a sharp shift in mix to online could have trouble hitting consensus EPS estimates.
    • Related stocks: BBY, DKS, CAB, SPLS, TJX, BIG.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCD, SZK
    | 45 Comments
  • Dec. 28, 2014, 2:19 PM
    • ShopperTrak reports retail sales on Super Saturday (Dec. 20) were improved this year for a majority of retailers.
    • The research firm tabulated an increase in both conversation rates and average transaction price for the key shopping day.
    • A 3.8% gain in sales for the holiday season is still within reach, forecasts ShopperTrak.
    • The read from FedEx and UPS on late-season volume has also been strong.
    • Previously: Holiday retail sales up 5.5% Y/Y (Dec. 26)
    • Related ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, IYK, FXD, FDIS, PMR, UGE, RCD, SZK
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  • Dec. 23, 2014, 2:59 PM
    • The strong reads on consumer spending (ICSC, Redbook) bode well for Q4 earnings in the retail sector, note analysts.
    • Electronics sellers (BBY, HGG) and the luxury sector (RL, TIF, COH, KORS, KATE, FOSL, VRA) are viewed as being in a good position to see a December boost.
    • Companies which eased off on pulling a bulk of their sales forward with Black Friday/Cyber Monday deals are also seen as potential winners with sub-$2 gas resetting some holiday budgets.
    • Though e-commerce is expected to dazzle again this holiday season. It's not all fun and games for analysts looking at margins. The extension by Amazon (AMZN -0.1%) of its free shipping offer could be a signal that inventory levels are higher than anticipated and that the growth-at-all-costs mentality at the company is as entrenched as ever, notes Nasdaq Advisory Services.
    • The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) has doubled up the return of the S&P 500 over the last 3 months, 10.8% vs. 5.1%.
    • Previously: Retail trends to watch: Athleisure, P-E buyouts, and new online channels (Dec. 20 2014)
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC,VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
    | 1 Comment
  • Dec. 20, 2014, 10:17 AM
    • The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) is up 3.4% over the last month to outpace the S&P 500 Index as consumer spending trends improve. Analysts have honed in on some categories which show some promise for growth.
    • Drugstores: The transition by the sector into more health/wellness services sets it up for new growth channels. CVS Health (NYSE:CVS) reported strong comparable-store sales despite the full tobacco exit, while Rite Aid (NYSE:RAD) is prepping for a roll-out of RediClinics and HealthSpot kiosks. The visibility on Walgreen (NYSE:WAG) is somewhat clouded by the giant Alliance Boots integration, although it's ahead of rivals on the tech front with its rewards program, pharmacy app and developing online doctor concept.
    • Athleisure: There's some gender initiatives going on in the athletic apparel sector with Under Armour (NYSE:UA) and Nike (NYSE:NKE) growing their women's business and Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) expanding on the men's side. All three companies have been closely on-trend with their assortment in a category with explosive demand. Importantly, pricing has held up this holiday season in the U.S., note retail watchers.
    • Online replenishing: Fresh research into shopping trends indicates certain categories see continued buying through the online channel as consumers become attuned to a brand. Retailers positioned well to see more gains from the trend include Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM), Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), Office Depot (NASDAQ:ODP), Sephora (OTCPK:LVMHF), Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS), and of course Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).
    • P-E buyouts: There are plenty of candidates in the retail sector for a leveraged buyout similar to the action that helped propel shares of PetSmart (NASDAQ:PETM) +40% from their lows. Keep an eye on Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF), Aeropostale (NYSE:ARO), and Ann (NYSE:ANN).
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  • Dec. 19, 2014, 1:29 PM
    • SPDR S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) announces quarterly distribution of $0.181.
    • 30-Day Sec yield of 0.64% (as of 12/17/2014).
    • Payable Dec 30; for shareholders of record Dec 23; ex-div Dec 19.
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  • Dec. 17, 2014, 7:41 AM
    | 2 Comments
  • Dec. 12, 2014, 12:04 PM
    • A survey by Bankrate.com indicates consumers aren't quite sold on increasing spending just because gas prices have moderated.
    • 82% of respondents say they don't plan on spending more this holiday season than last.
    • Just 5% said they would boost holiday spending due specifically to the drop in gas prices.
    • Millennials were the age group with the highest percentage (28%) indicating holiday spending would increase this year.
    • The survey contradicts most economic projections for a +4% lift in holiday spending.
    • What to watch: Was the strong report on retail sales for November just a pull-forward of sales typically closer to the holiday?
    • Previously: Strongest month for retail sales since March (Dec. 11 2014)
    • Retail ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, FDIS, PMR, RCD
    | 5 Comments
  • Dec. 12, 2014, 10:17 AM
    • The S&P Retail ETF (XRT +0.5%) is out ahead of market averages again on enthusiasm over consumer spending forecasts.
    • Today it's apparel/footwear sellers and department store chains with the broad set of gains.
    • Gainers: Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) +2.7%, Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) +1.0%, Under Armour (NYSE:UA) +1.1%, Sequential Brands (NASDAQ:SQBG) +0.7%, Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) +0.5%, Coach (NYSE:COH) +2.3%, Nike (NYSE:NKE) +0.7%, Deckers Outdoor (NYSE:DECK) +1.1%, Macy's (NYSE:M) +2.4%, Sears Holdings (NASDAQ:SHLD) +1.7%, J.C. Penney (NYSE:JCP) +1.5%, Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) +0.8%.
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  • Dec. 11, 2014, 10:03 AM
    • The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) is up 2.3% off of today's strong read on retail sales in the U.S.
    • While the big boys are holding their own - Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) +1.1%, Target (NYSE:TGT) +2.0%, Costco (NASDAQ:COST) +1.0% - it's the apparel chains and specialty retailers doing the heavy lifting.
    • Retail standouts: Barnes & Noble (NYSE:BKS) +3.3%, CST Brands (NYSE:CST) +3.3%, Ascena Retail (NASDAQ:ASNA) +3.2%, Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM) +3.0%, Express (NYSE:EXPR) +2.9%, Stein Mart (NASDAQ:SMRT) +2.7%.
    • Previously: Retail Sales report, highlights
    | 1 Comment
XRT vs. ETF Alternatives
XRT Description
The SPDR® S&P® Retail ETF seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before expenses, the total return performance of the S&P Retail Select Industry® Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.
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Sector: Services
Country: United States
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