Sat, Jan. 10, 8:25 AM
- Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) tops Credit Suisse's list of its nine favorite energy and utility stocks to own for 2015, believing KMI’s recent MLP acquisitions will lower the company’s cost of capital and open the door for double-digit dividend growth and additional potential acquisitions.
- Noble Corp. (NYSE:NE) is the top pick among offshore drillers, despite the fact that analysts don’t believe the inflection point in the drilling down-cycle is coming until at least 2016; fulfilling the firm's $30 price target would mean nearly 90% upside.
- Also recommended: SUNE, EXC, RDS.A, RDS.B, TSO, DVN, PDCE, SLB.
- SandRidge Energy (NYSE:SD) is one of Credit Suisse's five energy and utility stocks to avoid despite an upbeat quarterly report, believing the risk associated with SD’s extremely high leverage likely will lead to significant capex cuts, thus limiting production growth and cash flows.
- The firm also would avoid CVRR, SFY, YGE and SO.
Thu, Jan. 8, 1:15 PM
- Deutsche's Vishal Shah, bullish on solar for a long time, asserts the "recent volatility in solar stocks, driven largely by oil price weakness, presents an attractive entry point for investors as we expect 2015 to be a year of stable industry pricing and accelerating volume growth."
- Shah expects solar to see a "balanced supply/demand outlook as strong demand from the US and improving demand from China/other emerging solar markets offsets any potential demand weakness in the UK/Japan."
- He observes oil accounts for just ~5% of global electricity output, and sees both solar project pipelines/margins and module margins rising in 2015. Tariffs against Chinese module vendors are expected to be "completely removed."
- His top picks are SolarCity (SCTY +3.3%), SunEdison (SUNE +4.1%), SunPower (SPWR +6.1%), and Vivint (VSLR +0.3%); the first three are faring quite well today. Yingli (YGE +0.2%), however, has been downgraded to Hold due to balance sheet and financial flexibility concerns.
- Other major gainers: FSLR +3.9%. JKS +6%. ENPH +5.4%. CSIQ +3.7%. RGSE +5.2%. TERP +3.2%.
- SunEdison announced today it has bought new wind turbines that will allow it to build up to 1.6GW of wind projects that qualify for U.S. tax credits. The purchase follows the company's $2.4B deal to buy project developer First Wind.
- ETFs: TAN, KWT
Tue, Jan. 6, 2:47 PM
- The broad Monday selloff in solar names that accompanied WTI crude's plunge towards $50/barrel has been followed by major Tuesday losses (TAN -2%) as WTI falls by another $2.34 to $47.70/barrel.
- Brent crude is down by $2.44 to $50.67/barrel, and Henry Hub natural gas is up by $0.03 to $2.91/mmBtu (still down sharply over the last few months). The Nasdaq is down 1%.
- 3%+ decliners: SUNE -5.9%. SPWR -4.3%. JKS -5.8%. DQ -9.4%. VSLR -4.6%. YGE -4.4%. HSOL -4.5%. ENPH -7.6%. CSUN -8.8%. TSL -3.4%. ASTI -10.2%. CSIQ -3.9%.
- SA author Short/Long Trader sees a buying opportunity. Though admitting a "historic connection" exists between oil prices and renewable investment, the author sees little impact on rising solar demand from low oil prices going forward.
- Trina, Canadian Solar, and JA Solar (JASO -1.4%) are Short/Long's favorite picks, given their low valuations - all three have P/Es below 10 - and generally healthy fundamentals.
Dec. 31, 2014, 1:43 PM
- Given recent government comments about supporting M&A (along with various policy incentives) to strengthen the Chinese solar industry, Brean thinks smaller firms could be snapped up, thereby providing a stronger supply/demand and pricing environment for bigger names.
- Trina (TSL +7.9%), JA Solar (JASO +3%), Yingli (YGE +1.8%), JinkoSolar (JKS +4%), and Daqo (DQ +4.7%) are higher on a quiet New Year's Eve trading day. Trina might also be getting a lift from announcing it has set a new record (324.4Wp) for "power output from a high efficiency multi-crystalline silicon PV module." The accomplishment follows the development of a solar cell with 20.76% efficiency.
- This year has seen debt-laden LDK Solar (OTCPK:LDKYQ) strike a restructuring deal and get moved to the pink sheets; shares are currently at $0.08. Last year, Suntech's Wuxi, China unit filed for bankruptcy and was later sold to solar cell maker Shunfeng Photovoltaic.
- Last week: Chinese solar firms reportedly looking to build overseas plants
Dec. 26, 2014, 5:16 PM
- Taiwanese solar industry sources tell Digitimes leading Chinese solar module vendors "have plans to set up overseas production lines to avoid US antitrust taxation."
- Believing a large gap exists between U.S. solar demand and what U.S. and European module makers can supply - trade group SEIA forecasts U.S. installations will rise from 6.5GW in 2014 to 8.5GW in 2015 and nearly 12GW in 2016 - some Chinese firms reportedly "plan to set up overseas module and cell production lines with an estimated total annual capacity of 2GWp."
- The report comes after the DOC made final decisions to impose new tariffs on Chinese module makers, and thereby close a loophole that allowed the companies to avoid 2012 tariffs (still in place) by using non-Chinese cells. The ITC is expected to rule on the DOC's move by Jan. 20.
- Chinese module vendors: TSL, YGE, SOL, JKS, HSOL, JASO
Dec. 19, 2014, 1:58 PM
- ReneSola (SOL +12.4%) and Yingli (YGE +12.2%), beaten up along with other solar firms as oil prices plunged, are ending the week on a very strong note. Volumes for both firms are nearing their 3-month daily averages.
- The gains come days after the DOC made final decisions to impose new anti-dumping and countervailing duty tariffs on Chinese solar module exporters, with the goal of closing a loophole that allowed exporters to avoid prior tariffs (imposed in 2012) by using non-Chinese solar cells.
- JPMorgan and RBC have downplayed the ruling's impact on Chinese module makers: Both note Chinese firms are already relying heavily on locally-sourced cells, which are often cheaper than imported ones.
Dec. 17, 2014, 2:26 PM
- Though the Nasdaq is up 1.8%, Yingli (NYSE:YGE) continues to sell off after the DOC made final decisions to impose anti-dumping (AD) and countervailing duty (CVD) tariffs on Chinese solar module exporters.
- The CVD tariffs were imposed on a preliminary basis in June, and the anti-dumping tariffs were imposed on a preliminary basis in July.
- In a PR, Yingli says it will be subject to an AD tariff of 52.1%, and a CVD tariff of 38.7%. "We are deeply disappointed in the U.S. Department of Commerce's decision to accept such a broadly defined scope for this ruling, and to levy harsh, protectionist tariffs." The company notes the ITC still needs to confirm the decision; its ruling is expected near the end of January.
- GTM Research: "[The DOC's action] removes any value chain strategy involving China that averts import tariffs ... This erodes the price advantage that Chinese suppliers have historically benefited from in the U.S. and is likely to impact their market share, as well as average module prices, in 2015."
Dec. 17, 2014, 4:37 AM
- The Commerce Department is hiking import duties on solar energy equipment from China and Taiwan, closing a loophole that had allowed Chinese manufacturers to avoid tariffs and sell at illegally low prices in the U.S.
- Steep anti-dumping duties will now placed on imports of most solar panels made in China and solar cells from Taiwan, likely raising the cost of solar energy at a time of falling oil prices.
- Related tickers: FSLR, SPWR, SUNE, SCTY, CSIQ, SOL, YGE, DQ, ENPH, TSL, JASO, RGSE, JKS, CSUN, VSLR, HSOL , STP, OTC:MIDIL
Dec. 8, 2014, 1:34 PM
- WTI crude oil has fallen 3.7% to $63.42/barrel today, after Morgan Stanley cut its 2015 oil forecast. Henry Hub natural gas is down 4.7% to $3.62/MMBtu.
- Solar stocks, already battered by crude's recent plunge, are joining oil/gas firms in selling off (TAN -2.6%). The Nasdaq is down 0.8%. FSLR -3.8%. SPWR -5.4%. SUNE -4.4%. SOL -6.8%. HSOL -5.9%. JKS -6.4%. YGE -4.3%.
- Industry news: 1) Hanwha is merging its U.S.-listed unit with its Q Cells unit. 2) Trina has bought a 28% stake in Chinese equipment leasing firm Shuntai for $50M to "expand its financing channels" for both its downstream and module ops. 3) Canada has joined the list of countries probing Chinese module vendors for anti-dumping violations.
Dec. 5, 2014, 2:35 PM
- Recently bludgeoned in tandem with plunging oil prices and a broad selloff in anything energy-related, Chinese solar stocks are finishing the week on a high note.
- Notable gainers: JKS +3.5%. DQ +7.3%. JASO +4.9%. TSL +4.5%. YGE +2.5%. Canadian Solar (CSIQ +5.7%), which depends heavily on its Chinese manufacturing ops, is also faring well.
- Many solar bulls have been busy arguing the link between oil prices and solar demand is very limited. WTI crude has fallen to $66.14/barrel today.
- Earlier: SolarCity rallies following CEO's CNBC appearance
Dec. 1, 2014, 12:15 PM
- With the Nasdaq down 1.3%, solar stocks are adding to the steep Friday losses they saw after OPEC declined to cut production, sparking a huge selloff in oil prices and anything energy/commodity-related. Oil prices have bounced a little today, but WTI crude is still only around $68/barrel.
- Solar bulls have noted oil only accounts for a small percentage of global electricity production, and that solar stocks have already seen plenty of pain this year. The Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN -5.2%) is now down 34% from a March high of $51.07.
- Major decliners: FSLR -6.3%. SPWR -8.4%. SCTY -6%. SUNE -6.4%. SOL -12.8%.JKS -8.1%. CSUN -8.5%. CSIQ -9.3%. DQ -10.3%. VSLR -7.2%. TSL -7.8%. YGE -9.4%. RGSE -7.4%. HSOL -9.5%. TERP -5.8%. JASO -5.2%.
Nov. 28, 2014, 10:55 AM
- Solar stocks are getting hit hard (TAN -5.1%) after OPEC opted against cutting oil production, leading crude prices to plunge below $70/barrel and sparking huge selloffs in energy/commodity stocks. Fuel cell stocks aren't faring much better.
- Solar decliners: FSLR -6.8%. SPWR -6%. SUNE -5.7%. SCTY -2.9%. CSIQ -10.7%. SOL -9.1%. YGE -7.3%. DQ -7.2%. ENPH -6.8%. TSL -6.9%. JASO -7.5%. RGSE -3.9%. JKS -6.9%. CSUN -3.5%. VSLR -3.7%. HSOL -3.8%.
- Fuel cell decliners: BLDP -6.1%. FCEL -4.5%. PLUG -2.3%. HYGS -5.3%.
Nov. 25, 2014, 8:21 AM
- Yingli Green Energy (NYSE:YGE) -2.6% premarket after Q3 earnings fall short of analyst expectations, and revenues decline 7.5% Y/Y to ~$551M vs. analyst consensus $656M.
- YGE, which has not reported a profit in the last 12 quarters, reported total module shipments of 903.4 MW, up 1.7% Q/Q; gross margins rose to 20.9% from 13.7% a year earlier, as cost of sales fell 15%.
- YGE lowers its FY 2014 PV module shipment target to 3.3-3.35 GW (including 200-240 MW shipment for PV systems), a Y/Y increase of 3%-4.6%, vs. its previous outlook for shipments of 3.6-3.8 GW (including 400-600 MW shipment for PV systems).
Nov. 25, 2014, 5:42 AM
Nov. 24, 2014, 5:30 PM
Nov. 24, 2014, 3:56 PM
- Yingli (YGE +0.3%) is supplying 120MW of solar modules for a 300MW French project that (per Yingli) will create Europe's largest solar park. Shipments will take place between December and June; the plant is expected to be connected to the grid in Oct. '15.
- Yingli's Q3 report arrives tomorrow morning. The company has forecast 3.6GW-3.8GW of 2014 module shipments.
YGE vs. ETF Alternatives
Other News & PR