Is YPF a buy? - Seeking Alpha

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HEADLINES:

YPF Continues To Look Attractive But Remains High Risk
Caiman Valores • Mon, Mar 18 • 8 Comments
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Caiman Valores • Fri, Jan 4 • 49 Comments
Despite Emerging Positive Catalysts Ecopetrol Is Fairly Valued
Caiman Valores • Thu, Jan 3 • 2 Comments
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
Wall Street Breakfast • Wed, Dec 5, 2012 • 66 Comments
Argentinean Energy Stocks: The Nationalization Fear And The Dead Cow Appeal
Value Digger • Wed, Nov 28, 2012 • 25 Comments
Should You Invest In Argentina Stocks Now?
David Hunkar • Mon, Nov 26, 2012 • 16 Comments
Chevron Is Being Attacked On All Sides
David White • Tue, Nov 6, 2012 • 3 Comments
Gold - The Biggest Risks Are The Ones You Don't See
Paul Price • Fri, Sep 28, 2012 • 43 Comments
A Street Level View Of Argentina's Economy, The Peso And ARGT
Ulysses de la Torre • Tue, Sep 18, 2012 • 22 Comments
Chevron Could Tumble On These 2 Lawsuits
IncomeHunter • Tue, Sep 11, 2012 • 6 Comments
Watch Exxon Climb Higher On These New Projects
Cris Frangold • Tue, Sep 11, 2012
Is The Outlook For YPF Growing More Positive? (Part 2)
Caiman Valores • Mon, Sep 10, 2012 • 13 Comments
Is The Outlook For YPF Growing More Positive? (Part 1)
Caiman Valores • Sat, Sep 8, 2012 • 40 Comments
Assessing My Recommendations After One Year
Thomas Lott • Mon, Aug 13, 2012 • 26 Comments
YPF To Pay 1.3% Dividend From 2011 Profits
Tim Plaehn • Thu, Jul 19, 2012 • 13 Comments
Energy Company YPF Shares Are 46% Higher In Argentina Than The U.S. ADR Value
Tim Plaehn • Tue, Jul 3, 2012 • 13 Comments

YPF Continues To Look Attractive But Remains High Risk
Caiman Valores • Mon, Mar 18 • 8 Comments

YPF Continues To Look Attractive But Remains High Risk
Caiman Valores • Mon, Mar 18 • 8 Comments
Argentinean Energy Stocks: The Nationalization Fear And The Dead Cow Appeal
Value Digger • Wed, Nov 28, 2012 • 25 Comments
Is The Outlook For YPF Growing More Positive? (Part 2)
Caiman Valores • Mon, Sep 10, 2012 • 13 Comments
Is The Outlook For YPF Growing More Positive? (Part 1)
Caiman Valores • Sat, Sep 8, 2012 • 40 Comments
YPF To Pay 1.3% Dividend From 2011 Profits
Tim Plaehn • Thu, Jul 19, 2012 • 13 Comments
Energy Company YPF Shares Are 46% Higher In Argentina Than The U.S. ADR Value
Tim Plaehn • Tue, Jul 3, 2012 • 13 Comments
YPF Still In A Downward Spiral Even With Carlos Slim's 8.4% Purchase
Kraken • Mon, Jun 18, 2012 • 9 Comments
Argentina And YPF Plan To Invest $35 Billion - Who Wins?
Tim Plaehn • Fri, Jun 8, 2012 • 13 Comments
Argentina And Its Latest Nationalization
Gustav PMD • Wed, May 30, 2012 • 15 Comments
How To Profit From Argentina's Pending Economic Meltdown
Tim Plaehn • Thu, May 24, 2012 • 9 Comments
The Real Fallout From Argentina's Nationalization Of YPF Sociedad Anonima
Caiman Valores • Wed, May 9, 2012 • 28 Comments
Argentina's President Just Shot Her Country In The Foot
David White • Fri, Apr 20, 2012 • 25 Comments
Argentina Takes Step To Take Over Oil Company YPF S.A.
Tim Plaehn • Tue, Apr 17, 2012 • 12 Comments
YPF Sociedad Annima: The Problem With Turning Out The Lights
Jeremy Johnson • Tue, Apr 17, 2012 • 6 Comments
What Does Argentina's Impending Expropriation Of YPF Tell Us?
Caiman Valores • Tue, Apr 17, 2012 • 41 Comments
YPF Sociedad Anonima - A Short-Term Buy; Reduced Results Longer-Term
Michael Terry • Mon, Apr 16, 2012 • 62 Comments
Argentina Poised To Take Control Of Energy Company YPF SA
Tim Plaehn • Mon, Apr 2, 2012 • 20 Comments
Stay Far Away From YPF And Its High Dividend Yield
Tim Plaehn • Mon, Mar 12, 2012 • 32 Comments
YPF Should See Good Growth On Near 1 Billion BOE Discovery
David White • Mon, Jan 30, 2012 • 43 Comments
Analyzing YPF's Dividend: Sustainable In Short-Term, May Have Longer-Term Problems
Power Hedge • Mon, Dec 12, 2011 • 2 Comments

Petrobras Currently Represents Value For Investors But Is Still High Risk
Caiman Valores • Tue, Mar 5 • 28 Comments
Mat Wilson: Following The Money To Undervalued Contrarian Plays
The Energy Report • Fri, Feb 22 • 2 Comments
Fire Up Your Portfolio With Transportadora De Gas Del Sur's 11.8% High Yield Bonds
Randy Durig • Wed, Jan 23 • 24 Comments
3 Stocks To Buy, 2 Stocks To Sell, What's Next For The Market
The Oxen Group • Tue, Jan 8 • 11 Comments
Caiman Valores Positions For 2013: Colombia, Chile Offer Best Upside In Latin America
Caiman Valores • Fri, Jan 4 • 49 Comments
Despite Emerging Positive Catalysts Ecopetrol Is Fairly Valued
Caiman Valores • Thu, Jan 3 • 2 Comments
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
Wall Street Breakfast • Wed, Dec 5, 2012 • 66 Comments
Should You Invest In Argentina Stocks Now?
David Hunkar • Mon, Nov 26, 2012 • 16 Comments
Chevron Is Being Attacked On All Sides
David White • Tue, Nov 6, 2012 • 3 Comments
Gold - The Biggest Risks Are The Ones You Don't See
Paul Price • Fri, Sep 28, 2012 • 43 Comments
A Street Level View Of Argentina's Economy, The Peso And ARGT
Ulysses de la Torre • Tue, Sep 18, 2012 • 22 Comments
Chevron Could Tumble On These 2 Lawsuits
IncomeHunter • Tue, Sep 11, 2012 • 6 Comments
Watch Exxon Climb Higher On These New Projects
Cris Frangold • Tue, Sep 11, 2012
Assessing My Recommendations After One Year
Thomas Lott • Mon, Aug 13, 2012 • 26 Comments
Time For Crisis Investing In Argentina, Again?
Investment U • Sun, Jun 24, 2012 • 7 Comments
6 Double-Digit Yield Stocks With Highest Return On Investment
Dividend Screen • Thu, Jun 21, 2012 • 5 Comments
How To Design A Bias-Free Dividend Strategy
Ypa Finance • Mon, Jun 18, 2012 • 31 Comments
Cramer's Lightning Round - Not Much Cooking At Dreamworks (6/14/12)
SA Editor Miriam Metzinger • Fri, Jun 15, 2012 • 1 Comment
Italy ETFs: The Next Dominoes To Fall?
Benzinga • Tue, Jun 12, 2012 • 1 Comment
4 Integrated Oil Stocks With Yields Higher Than 5%
Labutes IR • Tue, Jun 5, 2012 • 4 Comments

There are no Transcripts on YPF.

Energy Stocks: Freeport-McMoRan’s deals boost energy sector

at MarketWatch.com (Dec 5, 2012)
Market Extra: Has pessimism on Spanish stocks been overdone?

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 22, 2012)
Latin American Markets: Argentina, Brazil boost Latin American stocks

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 15, 2012)
Movers & Shakers: Friday’s biggest gaining and declining stocks

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 15, 2012)
Stocks to Watch: HGSI, EA, WYNN & More

at CNBC.com (Jun 15, 2012)
Lightning Round: Whiting USA, DreamWorks Animation, Cypress Semiconductor and More

at CNBC.com (Jun 14, 2012)
Stocks to Watch: DELL, QSFT, GSK & More

at CNBC.com (Jun 14, 2012)
Latin American Markets: Brazil stocks jump on rate-cut, Europe prospects

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 6, 2012)
Michael Molinski's Emerging Latin America: Latin bonds a new asset for small investors

at MarketWatch.com (May 30, 2012)
Cramer's 3 Stocks to Avoid

at CNBC.com (May 24, 2012)
Argentines eye black market for dollars: report

at MarketWatch.com (May 20, 2012)
Michael Molinski's Emerging Latin America: Takeover of YPF: Investor warning or opportunity?

at MarketWatch.com (May 16, 2012)
Latin American Markets: YPF falls ahead of expropriation vote; Walmex up

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 25, 2012)
Latin American Markets: Walmex shares extend losses after downgrade

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 24, 2012)
Latin American Markets: YPF shares in Argentina log 30% weekly plunge

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 20, 2012)
Latin American Markets: YPF shares extend decline in Buenos Aires

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 18, 2012)
Stocks Close at Session Lows, Led by Techs

at CNBC.com (Apr 18, 2012)
Europe Markets: Spanish stocks lead losses in Europe

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 18, 2012)
Market Extra: Losses hit Spanish stocks as debt auction looms

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 18, 2012)
Latin America Could Help Europe Out of Crisis: Peru Minister

at CNBC.com (Apr 18, 2012)

YPF vs. ETF Alternatives

Company Description

YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA, an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in Argentina. The company also involves in refining, marketing, transportation, and distribution of oil and a range of petroleum products,... More

Sector: Basic Materials

Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Country: Argentina

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| Earnings
| Dividends
| M&A
| On the move

Thursday, May 23, 10:26 AM A year after Argentina expropriated Repsol's majority stake in YPF, there's little prospect of a deal on compensation even though both sides would rather avoid a costly, drawn-out legal battle. Argentina's lack of funds and its limits on the control private firms have over their investments, which could deter Repsol from accepting assets such as the Vaca Muerta shale field in any settlement, pose major obstacles. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX]
Thursday, May 16, 3:29 PM Chevron's (CVX) president of Latin American operations says Argentina - not China - has the world's second largest shale oil deposits after the U.S. Most of the world's shale gas has been developed from geological layers requiring horizontal drilling, but "everything is in a stack" at Argentina's Vaca Muerta formation, meaning CVX and YPF may be able to access the oil using vertical drilling techniques, CVX's Ali Moshiri says. (earlier) 3 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Wednesday, May 15, 8:34 AM Chevron (CVX) will become the first major oil company to partner with YPF to develop shale oil, and a final $1.5B deal is expected in July, YPF says. YPF CEO Miguel Galuccio and CVX Latin America chief Ali Moshiri visited the Patagonia shale formation yesterday, and Moshiri is said to have been “surprised” with the advanced state of YPF exploration projects. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX]
Monday, May 13, 10:28 AM YPF CEO Miguel Galuccio tells FT the company is close to an agreement with Chevron (CVX -0.4%) to get around the asset freeze that has thrown into question plans to jointly develop the giant Vaca Muerta shale formation. A successful deal would be a boost to CVX in Latin America, where it has been hit with a $19B environmental damages bill in Ecuador, and to Argentina’s hopes of developing its shale resources. 3 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Friday, May 10, 11:59 AM Buy a 4% bond or face jail time: That's the novel offer from Argentina's president to tax evaders hiding about $160B, which would help finance YPF. The state-run oil company needs to finance a $37B five-year program to expand production and reduce the country’s need to import oil and gas, which doubled to $9.4B in 2011, but the amnesty program is likely to fail due to investors’ deep mistrust of the government. 2 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Tuesday, April 30, 10:12 AM Argentina’s billionaire Eurnekian family has pledged $700M in two deals to hasten a partnership with Argentina's state-owned YPF to develop its Vaca Muerta fields which contain Latin America’s largest shale reserves with ~23B boe. If an earlier memorandum of understanding becomes a binding deal, it would mark YPF's first in the year since the company was expropriated from Repsol. 1 Comment [Energy, Global & FX]
Friday, April 19, 3:26 PM Argentina creates a fund of up to $2B to help develop the country's 7.4M-acre Vaca Muerta shale field, which may hold one of the world's biggest unconventional energy resources. State-controlled YPF, as well as Apache (APA), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Canada's Americas Petrogas hold exploration rights on nearly 80% of the site. 2 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Friday, April 12, 9:39 AM Argentine President Kirchner’s takeover of YPF to trim energy imports is backfiring and threatening to narrow the country’s trade surplus needed to pay debt, according to a Bloomberg report. One year after the nationalization, output is flat and foreign investment needed to tap the world’s third-largest shale deposit hasn’t materialized. Meanwhile, energy imports may reach a record $15B. 4 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Wednesday, April 10, 5:12 PM Argentina freezes gasoline prices for six months in another bid to tame inflation that's plaguing the economy and shrinking the government's support. The country's largest oil and gas company, state-run YPF, says the freeze won't affect its business plans this year since it still has room to raise prices to catch up with what competitors are charging. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX]
Monday, April 8, 8:09 AM YPF has started processing crude at its largest refinery, which had been offline for more than five days after being damaged by flooding that devastated the nearby city of La Plata last Tuesday and cut power to the refinery, causing a serious fire in a coking unit that took more than eight hours to extinguish. The refinery accounts for nearly 30% of Argentina's fuel production. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX]
Wednesday, April 3, 9:04 AM Argentina's YPF says it suspended operations and contained a major fire at its La Plata oil refinery, the country's largest, although it is not clear if the fire has been completely extinguished. Lost production at La Plata is hardly welcome news for Argentina, which already is a major fuel importer. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX]
Monday, April 1, 4:36 PM A freeze on Chevron's (CVX) funds in Argentina would not include future investments the company would make in the country, according to a lawyer for the Ecuadorian plaintiffs in the case behind the freeze. The stance could indicate a softer strategy against CVX in Argentina, where CVX is pursuing a proposed $1B deal with YPF to develop the Vaca Muerta shale formation. 2 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Tuesday, March 26, 6:15 PM YPF signs a preliminary shale agreement with Dow Chemical (DOW) towards a 50-50 JV for the development of the El Orejano block in Argentina's Neuquen province, one of the first areas to boast discoveries in the Vaca Muerta formation. YPF already partners with Dow in downstream ventures including Argentina's Bahia Blanca petrochemical complex. 3 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Wednesday, March 13, 2:19 PM Chevron (CVX) issues an ultimatum to Argentina, saying it will not make any progress on an agreed joint venture with YPF until a court threat to its assets is lifted. "We’d like to work with them," CVX vice chairman George Kirkland tells FT, but "this is our money." The tough line hurts the government’s hopes of forming a partnership with a top global oil company to help develop its vast shale reserves. 2 Comments [Energy, Global & FX]
Tuesday, March 12, 8:58 AM YPF's ambitious program this year calls for drilling 132 oil wells at the Vaca Muerta shale formation in Patagonia, but the high cost of equipment could force it to scale back, CEO Michael Gallucio says after reporting Q4 results. Vaca Muerta holds one of the world's biggest deposits of shale resources, with ~23B boe; YPF has concessions on 40% of the site. YPF +1.7% premarket. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, March 11, 7:07 PM YPF reports a profit of 3.9B pesos ($771M) in 2012, a 12.2% Y/Y decline due mainly to losses posted by subsidiaries and other companies YPF has a stake in, even as total revenue jumped 19.5% due to higher fuel sales in the local market. EBITDA rose 21.3%. Crude oil output rose 2.2% after falling 7.6% in 2011; natural gas output fell 2.3% vs. a 10.3% drop in 2011. Comment! [Energy, Earnings]

whitehead1
With market making new highs few of this losers has chance to go up. Bought $YPF today. Might add more if it goes down to 10.
May 14, 9:37 PM
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Matt1974
$YPF I don't trust the government, therefore I don't trust the company. They will go bankrupt. Yes, they can, sooner or later.
May 10, 2:48 PM
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Bob Wreckage
$YPF suit
Mar 8, 10:10 AM
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marshgrass: Never heard of it...but I like the snapshot already.
Mar 8, 10:18 AM
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StockConsultant
nice follow through today on $YPF
Jan 30, 1:43 AM
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StockConsultant
$YPF confirmed breakout above 16.06 after a month of consolidation
Jan 29, 12:19 PM
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Ryan Mallory
Lazy Trade Long & Short: $YPF & $PETM http://bit.ly/VjhLWr
Jan 28, 3:42 PM
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The Wall Street Transcript
Latin American Oil Has Incredible Reserves But Investors Must Be Wary of Politics; Analyst Discusses $PBR, $YPF, $PZE - http://su.pr/6RUXJx
Jan 16, 11:09 AM
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Sebanightwish
In March alerted sell shares of YPF and not buy. at that time was about $ 30. Now the shares are $ 9.40 year low
11/16/12
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Sebanightwish: If SA published my article and read it maybe not you bought these shares
11/17/12
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Sebanightwish: http://seekingalpha.com/p/anpn
11/17/12
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whitehead1
YPF will pay dividend of around 57 cents. Getting interesting here.
7/18/12
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Dividend Sheet
6 Most Profitable Stocks With Double-Digit Yields + http://stks.co/e0iE + $YPF $JHX $AGNC $CIM $TWO $HTS
6/20/12
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LATEST REPLIES

ViciousTrader
BALT TNK CPLP PTNR OXF NKA TI-A CEL FGP VLCCF FTE VE NRGY NMM WHX TEF SFUN ECT YPF SDT any opinions on these high yield stocks? Thanks
3/22/12
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ViciousTrader: will do thanks
8/14/12
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ca7711: any update on VE? their business is shedding revenue from asset divestiture and recession in Europe. Looking at this one as a turn around
Fri, 12:45 PM
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Bob Wreckage
$YPF suit
Mar 8, 10:10 AM
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marshgrass: Never heard of it...but I like the snapshot already.
Mar 8, 10:18 AM
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Sebanightwish
In March alerted sell shares of YPF and not buy. at that time was about $ 30. Now the shares are $ 9.40 year low
11/16/12
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Sebanightwish: If SA published my article and read it maybe not you bought these shares
11/17/12
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Sebanightwish: http://seekingalpha.com/p/anpn
11/17/12
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whitehead1
YPF has temporarily bottomed. I think it goes to 15 really fast.
6/18/12
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pablo63: Bought Oct 12.50 calls.
6/18/12
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Michael Bryant
What's up with Argentinian oil & gas explorer YPF S.A. (YPF)? PE = 3. Dividend yield = 32.7%. And falling???? http://yhoo.it/M5QTqJ;c=
6/15/12
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Michael Bryant: So you think the stock is a good buy now?
6/15/12
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DaLatin: Not after todays an yesterdays pop. I'd wait for the first bad earnings 1/4 an pullback
6/16/12
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Jim Fink
Argentina heading in the wrong direction. http://bit.ly/Jf4Cs3 $sHI $XOM $YPF
5/2/12
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iadops40: Boliva is also following suit, but this is nothing new for Latin America. I think EC in Colombia is the best bet right now. Short YPF
5/2/12
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Michael Terry
YPF up 9% - yesterday's plummet was an overreaction
4/19/12
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Caiman Valores: Perhaps investors are starting to understand that only Respols holding is affected and there is still some value in the company.
4/20/12
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Michael Terry
YPF down 29% - holy beatdown batman.
4/18/12
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Caiman Valores: I am very surprised at the plunge on YPF, just because the Argentine government owns 51% doesn't mean that the company is valueless.
4/18/12
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Michael Terry: CV - just making it more compelling.
4/18/12
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sapaburu
The question in Spain is: would YPF be nationalised if the 51% wasnt't Repsol but XOM, SHI or TOT. Kirchner, the new Chavez.Shame on you!
4/18/12
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slimmbrimm: Believe Rio Tinto and few other global miner hold majority in some mines in ARG, be interesting to see if this stops with energy.
4/18/12
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Rubenov
YPF... that's communism for you.
4/18/12
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1980XLS-2.0: Evita!
4/18/12
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bigazul
YPF...isn't Marxism grand?
4/16/12
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Hillbilly Stock Star: Always a snake in the wood pile!
4/16/12
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whitehead1
Let it get mentioned on cnbc and buy it when YPF is lower after that. For a quick trade only.
4/16/12
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Julius Ferraro: Yea its worthless now that the government is playing with it. Sorry to all shareholders. This shouldnt be the what happens.
4/16/12
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whitehead1: This is just a trade. But in next few months its not going to zero. They will get some price for it.
4/16/12
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moneyhawk1
DLTR NSC YPF FUL SKT just added these bad boys
4/15/12
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briandiplacido: Not concerned re: government taking over YPF? I've been tracking it for possible dividend run-up play.
4/16/12
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briandiplacido: You short?
4/16/12
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Dividend Sheet
Best Dividend Paying Stock List April 2012 http://stks.co/3APf + $ABT $ARLP $BHP $CVX $CHL $GRMN $NVS $PEP $SSL $SCCO $STO $STRA $VALE $YPF
4/1/12
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Ocean Man: ARLP dipped last week, great entry price right now.
4/1/12
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Caiman Valores: YPF won't be paying a dividend, likely to be nationalized by Argentine government, find out more in my article http://bit.ly/ICs5GM
4/12/12
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camandula
YPF
4/3/12
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Rubenov: Yep, stock price going to nothing after government takes them over. Gotta love socialism.
4/3/12
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whitehead1: It's not going to nothing. They will get some price may be between 16 to 24
4/5/12
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YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima

YPF

YPF Sociedad Anonima