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Tim Plaehn
155 Comments
The Bursting of the Non-Bubble?
Corn, Ethanol and Water
The Gold-Oil Ratio Approaches All-time Lows
Aircastle In Fine Shape; Fears Appear Unfounded
The (Non) Crash of 2008
PotashCorp and Mosaic: Get Your Orders Ready
'The Time to Buy Financials' Is Still Not Now
Buy Opportunities Like These Do Not Come Along Very Often
Buy Opportunities Like These Do Not Come Along Very Often
Regional Banks: Defining the California Ratio
Agriculture Investing: Wall Street Down on the Farm
Is Libor Dead?
Is it Worth Trading Foreign Pink Sheet Stocks?
www.adrbny.com/home_un...
As an individual investor I would definitely try to stay with sponsored ADRs.
Are We at the Bottom of the Ethanol Barrel?
I Brazil the minimum amount of ethanol in gas is 20% and fuel stations all also offer 100% ethanol fuel.
IMO the crush spread is now controlled more by ethanol prices than corn prices. The spread will stay between $1.00 and $1.50 per bushel and corn will fluctuate with ethanol. Ethanol production controls about 30% of the corn crop and will stop buying if their spread narrows, causing corn prices to fall. Corn could still fall, widening the spread of there is too much corn, but corn prices will not be able to overwhelm ethanol pricing for any length of time.
The U.S. is steadily moving to a point were all gas is 10% ethanol. The economics just make too much sense. That works out to about 18 billion gallons per year, double current production. At this time, there are no other viable sources besides corn and a few other grains like barley. Brazil could provide 500 million gallons max without out a serious, and expensive, ramp up of their production.
Frontline's a Buy Heading into Earnings