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est1212

est1212
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  • Why You Should Avoid This Retailer [View article]
    AR, I disagreed with your analysis. Costco products were much better than Walmart and Target in term of quality and price. Plus, they (Costco) are selling gasoline at a discounted price that many customers like it due to its convenience and cash back policy using American Express card.

    My COSTCO investment was already double since I owned it for more than a year ago and I plan to continue to hold it for a longterm.
    Dec 10, 2013. 04:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: The Business Vs. The Stock [View article]
    The price of the stock is based on the supply and demand. So I don't think it will drop to $75 so you can get in. You should get in at $35 - $40 range when it was at the initial stage as many investors or fund mangers did. That is called "investment strategy" because investor can see its future potential and the most important factor was, at that time not so many people knew about the company. That why successful investors bought the share at a low price.
    The current issues will be fixed sooner or later and TESLA cars will be there and run on the road.
    Nov 12, 2013. 02:45 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: Is A 25% Drop Reason To Buy? [View article]
    I agree and disagree your analysis:

    Agreed Point: Tesla is a growth company with a potential; electric car is the future of automabile industry.
    Disagreed Point: ...when it comes toTesla, this isn't a $195 stock anymore.
    Think this: With stock market, the sky is limit, everything is possible. Look at Google share now, over $1000, look at Master card share now, over $700. As long as TESLA management is able to fix the current issues and get back to its plan, a year from now, TSLA stock will worth over $200. This is not a dream, but it will be the fact (e.g. Boeing's case with 787 model).
    Nov 12, 2013. 02:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency's Dividend Range Scenarios For Q3 2013 [View article]
    Too much assumption in your article. Here are the points: If the dividend is equal $1 or higher, investor confident will be maintained and the stock price will be appreciated. If it is less than $1.00, the sell off will graduately begin and the stock price will be declined. My guess is that it can be as low as below $20 under this scenario.
    Sep 9, 2013. 01:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency: Time To Give Up? [View article]
    I disagree with your analysis. I rather use my money for other investments that may have the potential to go up than stick with AGNC at this time.
    Investor should sell AGNC right after the Fed Chairman announced his intention to slow down or may stop buying bonds in his QE mission for the stimulation of the economy. The action hints that the interest rate will probably go up.
    However, if the investors still hold the shares, don't commit any more money on AGNC. Things are changing now, and do not let the emotion control your investment decision.

    I owned AGNC shares before but I unloaded all my positions right after the company announced its first quarter lost this year for a small capital lost. I was not regret my decision even known with the current share price, AGNC pays at least 20% dividend. This stock is a good investment in a low interest rate environment but NOT at the present time.
    Jul 14, 2013. 07:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.2%) estimates a similar decline in book value through June 7 as that experienced in Q1 (8.6%), putting June 7 book value at $26.44. At the current price, the stock is trading at about a 7% discount to book. The numbers were disclosed in slides prepared for the company's presentation at the Morgan Stanley conference at 3:35 ET this afternoon. [View news story]
    Will buy at 20. It will drop more because of domino effect since investors set up their stop losses to preserve their capitals.
    Jun 12, 2013. 12:42 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency Among The Worst mREITs [View article]
    I wait until it drops to 20 and buy. It is too late for the article but still better to have it rather than nothing. Shorts made money with this stock. There is always winner(s) regardless what direction the stock will move.
    Jun 11, 2013. 02:10 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency And Rising Interest Rates: Cut Your Losses Or Wait It Out? [View article]
    Will buy when it drops below 25. I was glad to unload them at 30.
    Jun 7, 2013. 11:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The selling continues in the mortgage REIT space (MORT -3.4%), with one of today's biggest losers Chimera Investment (CIM -3.8%) a curious one as its exposure is credit risk not rate risk. Other tumblers: Armour (ARR -6.4%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -6.5%), Javelin (JMI -6.1%), MFA Financial (MFA -3.4%). There's little bid for American Capital - (AGNC -4.1%), (MTGE -3.3%) - with one trader noting Gary Kain's focus on owning pre-pay protected paper is another bet not paying off as rates rise. [View news story]
    Be realistic. The golden time of AGNC is over (it was a good stock in the last several months ago), yes it is over. Things are changing.
    The interest rate will rise, the company incurred a lost in the recent quarter. I am not sure that they (AGNC) will keep a dividend of $1.25 for shareholders in the upcoming quater.
    It may be hard to sell the shares now for some investors if they are underwater, but sometime they need to learn to cut the lost to preserve their capital since the "game" will continue...and there is unfortunately no mercy at the down time.
    May 29, 2013. 05:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Methodology For Assessing Sustainability Of American Capital Agency's 18.2% Dividend Yield [View article]
    As Buffet said over and over again. Buy when people fears and sell when people is greedy.
    This stock was a good investment several months ago. I was unloaded my holding gradually and now is the time to reload. As the share price drops I will accumulate my holding. Like one of the comments in this posting said; a year from now you will be regret to not buy at this time. (sure as long as the company is still in business and i do not see why not)
    May 26, 2013. 10:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Replace American Capital After Dismal Earnings? What I'm Doing With The Stock Now [View article]
    What it means QE3?
    May 16, 2013. 07:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency: Not A Terrible Q1, But The Dividend Is Still Not Sustainable [View article]
    I don't think the market share value of AGNC will drop below $25 because of the influx of high dividend seekers. 16% is not bad as an annual yield.

    I think it will take some time for AGNC to get back to its level of $33 but who knows? As if management is trying to reduce its liability and debt in the next quarter, we will see $33 soon.
    May 6, 2013. 06:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency Corp.'s Earnings Disaster - A Warning Of Things To Come? [View article]
    As long as its share price is $30 and above, it seems to be OK for me. The drop of share price makes its yield jumbed to 18%.
    May 3, 2013. 12:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency Corp. Sells Shares, Annaly Likely To Follow [View article]
    By law REITs are required to distribute at least 90% of their profits to the shareholders. So the only way to grow to increase the assets is to issue more shares.
    I'm taking this opportunity to load more shares because at the end of the day I will have capital gain and dividend (15%)payment, NOT bad at all.
    Mar 1, 2013. 05:09 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How The Fiscal Cliff Fix Fails NLY And AGNC [View article]
    Bottom line: You invest in AGNC and ARR for their high yields (>14%)so as long as their market price is equal or higher than your entry price, certainly you will make money.

    Your entry point is the key to be sucessfull in investing on AGNC or ARR, so forget about "fiscal cliff" or "mREIT leverage" but keep monitoring the stock movement to find a "profitable entry point"

    I hope my opinion is helpful to you.
    Jan 10, 2013. 04:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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