When will long-term investors have any cash to deploy? If you believe in their mantra, most of them think people should be nearly fully invested nearly all of the time - it is rare to have a long term Buy and Hold investor to keep 30% in cash for buying opportunities. How much of a loss are you willing to suffer waiting for a recovery? 10%, 20%, 30%? Do the numbers and see what kind of gain you will need to recoup to the break even point on several loss levels to get an idea of how long you may need to wait. For example a 30% loss requires a 43% gain to get back to the break even. A 20% loss takes a 25 % GAIN to get back to even.$100,000 - 20% = $80,000 . 80k X 25% = 20,000 +80k =100K There are few assets like PM's that are liquid and have NO counterparty risk. If you know of any that perform that function please post it for all to see. The fact of the matter is that some people ONLY save any money because of Precious Metals. If it were not for their gold and silver many would not have any money saved or invested. They would have Beanie babies or some other fad item. The people that buy Silver Eagles are much happier ten years later when they bought those coins made of PM's for their grandchildren (or whomever) when they find out the $8 - $12 bucks they spent is worth more than they paid.And the recipient learns a valuable lesson from it. There are good gifts and not so good gifts. Silver Eagles rank near the top of the list. Don't underestimate the power for people to develop good savings habits using PM's . It's fundamental. Our welfare system is a huge drain on the economy .Those of us working for a living instead of voting for a living see huge holes in our paychecks every week. As unfortunate as it is to know that cuts to foodstamps and welfare will likely cause a bit of suffering, it’s not the job of the government to forcibly remove money from the pockets of hard working Americans in order to take care of those who won’t work. Granted, there are some people who genuinely need the help, and those folks get dragged into the mud with the abusers, which isn’t fair to them. Now, just because the government shouldn’t be “helping” those in need, doesn’t mean we as Americans should forego kindness and charity. Quite the opposite. Americans are some of the most generous people on the planet, but unfortunately, that generosity gets quelled when the government is involved.Without the government in the way, regular every day individuals like you and me need to step up and start helping those who are in dire straits. That’s how this country used to be long before all of the social welfare programs, and it’s what made our nation so wonderful. If the government insists on being “helpful,” they can start by reducing taxes and ridiculous regulations that overburden small business owners, which will free them up to expand their companies and hire new workers. Two of my favorite comments ever on SA Avi Gilburt , Contributor
WOW!!! So, I guess when sentiment is at historical lows, we MUST assume it can only continue down!! lol
All you say constantly over and over is "I don't understand how it can work, so, clearly, it does not work." That really does not need much of a "demonstration" or response.
Comments (8231) |Following |Send Message
The question isn't how high gold or silver will go in dollar terms, but will that amount of dollars buy more than it buys today.
....................................................................................................................................................... Let's say 50 years ago, 1964, your grandfather bequeathed you an inheritance worth $1,000, which he put in a pretty box with your name on it. At this moment, you are about to open that box… Would you be happy to find his personal check dated 1964 made payable to you; would you rather find ten $100 Federal Reserve Notes; or would you prefer to find that thousand bucks in the form of 4,000 silver quarters, the steady constant value of 715 ounces of silver, with a current dollar number north of $12,500? Would your choice be the same if you were putting your wealth away today for an heir to receive in ten, twenty, or fifty years?
..................................................................................................... Financial contagion happens at both the international level and the domestic level. At the domestic level, usually the failure of a domestic bank or financial intermediary triggers transmission when it defaults on interbank liabilities and sells assets in a fire sale, thereby undermining confidence in similar banks. An example of this phenomenon is the subsequent turmoil in the United Statesfinancial markets. International financial contagion, which happens in both advanced economies and developing economies, is the transmission of financial crisis across financial markets for direct or indirect economies. However, under today's financial system, with large volume of cash flow, such as hedge fund and cross-regional operation of large banks, financial contagion usually happens simultaneously both among domestic institutions and across countries. The cause of financial contagion usually is beyond the explanation of real economy, such as the bilateral trade volume.
There's an old adage : Teach a man to fish and he will eat for life. Updated version:
Obama has this rule for us to follow :
Give a man someone else's fish and he will vote for you !
Capital is fungible,when used properly it goes where it is best employed.
Fiat money in America is created solely as a result of the Federal Reserve system. Therefore it is totally accurate to say that the Federal Reserve system generates our most unfair tax. Both the tax and the system that makes it possible should be abolished.
The political scientist who authorized this process of monetizing the national debt and the monetary scientist who carry it out know that it is not true debt. It is not true debt because no one in Washington really expects to repay it, ever. The dual purpose of this magic show is simply to create free spending money for the politicians without the inconvenience of raising direct taxes and also to create a perpetual river of gold flowing into the banking cartel.
Each year since 1969, Congress has spent more money than its income. The Treasury Department has to borrow money to meet Congress's appropriations.The Congressional Budget Office web site's deficit analysis will show this . We have to pay interest* on that huge, growing debt; and it dramatically cuts into our budget.
MTR Investors Group was founded in mid 2008. Since that time our primary goal is to provide powerful and profitable investment research tools to stock and option investors/traders. We do not provide buy or sell recommendations on any stock, etf, or other investments. We simply provide powerful tools for stock and option investors and traders.
The following are the primary tools we provide (we also provide economic models and advanced charting):
I. Expert Option Search
Our Credit Spread. Iron Condor, Covered Call and Cash Secured Put screener is one of the most powerful tools we provide to the individual investor. Powerful features such probability of assignment, downside protection, and many others. Our screener helps option traders make the best decision possible when writing Covered Calls, Naked Puts, Credit Spreads, and Iron Condors.
Many investors use our option screener to monitor a long term portfolio and select the best covered calls to sell on their portfolios.
Option Writers/Sellers use our option screener to find options with the highest probability of expiring worthless.
II. Stock Miner
Stock Miner is use to analyze stocks from a monthly and weekly historical performance. We use Stock Miner for weekly and monthly trade setups.
III. Stock Market Scout (SMS) & Stock Market Level (SML)
We use SMS as a model to indicate allocating cash to an index ETF (such as SPY) by going long on Green, cash on Yellow, short on Red (or stay in cash). We use SML to indicate if the market is overbought or oversold. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell SPY.
I AM A NUMBER DUMMY!!
A term I use for the general public MIDDLE CLASS. We are the financially uneducated, unexposed to the stock market and financial investments. Most of us don't even know what the fiscal cliff is. One woman thought it was 70 ft. tall! WOW!
I for one, think we should start teaching our kids financial responsibilities in schools, at an early age. How about a REAL education for once.
Why we need classes like home eck is beyond me. Cooking & sewing?? Read the box & microwave it! I for one support a small tax on investment income to support financial education in public schools. Could help save America.
I'm coming to the game late, so I'm quite aggressive towards growth.
My thoughts on the fiscal cliff?? Shove ur scare tactics where the sun don't shine!!
As for investing, I shoot from the hip. I go with my gut. Common sense goes along way. I don't buy hype. EPS what? What ticker is that?
HISTORY; 20 yrs. prototype machinist. 12 yrs. construction labor, management, owner.
Current; Investments & gardening (yes, profitable..gardening that is ;)
I am a 66 year old insurance broker and have owned business..Insurance brokerage agency since 1985. My wife is Chinese. I go to China often--and considering moving to Island of Hainan in South China Sea when/if I retire.
My modus operandi has been a modest life style and no debt. My bottom line has been effected more on amount I save more so than high return. In this day and time I'll take 5% return and sleep well at night.
MHAF (Special Situations in Healthcare and Technology)
Fund concentrated in Special Situation growth stocks. We are proponents of only investing in ideas which we can evaluate ourselves (most sell-side research ideas are entirely biased due to investment banking relationships and are therefore almost always flawed).
Our ideas are our own.
Please do your own research as we do not make investment recommendations.
I run a web app screening stocks which only shows insider trades, Revenue, NASDAQ Risk level at http://www.investingNideas.com I just tested MNTA, PGNX, SOMX, CVTX, CLDA, XNPT, and ADLR and still researching these ideas.
Founder of www.thechinamoneyreport.com
Founder of Hong Kong Prop Trading Firm, Tiger Hill Capital
Consultant to multi-billion dollar hedge funds
CEO/President of Chinese Industrial firm
Frequent expert commentator on Financial radio and television
Have worked in China Dan over 15 years holding different positions
in sales, engineering, and management.Fluent in Mandarin Chinese.
Too young to retire, but retired from the Air Force Reserves as a Nursing Officer & Gentleman! Also, retired from the Fresno VA Medical Center as a Staff RN. I am always trying to learn new things in life, and share ideas with my other financial mate friends at http://inteli-mate.webs.com and http://stockworks.webs.com --Of course, and even www.facebook.com/airforcenurse1 and www.facebook.com/inteli.mate.com has some interesting people of all various persuasions that I have talked to there too!I have served in Navy first entering at 17 years old trained in Fire Control Radar Systems, and Divisional Drug Abuse Representative on the "mothballed" USS Bronstein FF-1037 out of San Diego all the way to the Far East, and jumped into the Army Reserves from Infantryman, Medic, and LVN/LPN (359TH Combat Support Hospital. Of like the Stock Market, I jumped into my last opportunity 2003 -2005 & finished my last deployment overseas in Europe, and beyond from Medical Service Technician (2 weeks in Honduras with the 144th Medical Squadron) to a Clinical Nurse RN as an Air Force Officer attached to the Army's -- Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, Germany! The rest is history, and traded stocks, mutual funds on my time off overseas, VA, and my student days at Uppsala University, Sweden (1980-1), when I burned out in my Marketing Research job, and learned immensely from a progressive country buying my first stocks in 1981 in Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken (SAB Banken). Those Swedes fantastic people as well as my Iranian friend who became a citizen there who now has a Restaurant business in Russia! The only thing I do regret is losing touch with my friends in Sweden, Germany, and the Philippine Islands -- Don't be scared to contact me, and I do have 30 years of investing since my 20's! This is besides my Nursing & Psychology Degrees (minor in Business) from California State University, Fresno! It is called surviving the 1987 Black Monday Crash while working at the IRS (Internal Revenue Service), Dot.Com Crash of 2000-1, and the crash Great Recession Crash of 2008-2009, and living to tell about it, and I am still in the Stock Market including DAB Bank in Germany, and in and out a few times in Asian Citrus & China Index Fund 50 in Hong Kong. My newest holdings are in Cisco, Microsoft, Nokia, and Proficient Technology. Left Sirius Satelite about a year ago to my regret, but maybe I do not regret it because I believe Sirius is overvalued at this time, but did have momentum in its earnings and stock price over 8 months ago for those who bought it then and sold out for a profit two months ago! Also, I describe myself as a fiscal conservative, but a socially progressive person when come to supporting a Universal Healthcare System of some type either modeling Germany's System via the various health insurance companies that everyone is covered or a National Healthcare System like Sweden! Please note, these countries seem to be running their economies with healthcare for everyone better than the USA. I give President Obama credit coming into office trying to offer constructive solutions to solve our ongoing economic crisis, and overhauling our broken healthcare system. But, remember, investors like myself comes in all shapes, and sizes! Our mutual goals, regardless of our politics is to make money! (Some more responsibly than others, and avoid getting into schemes such as the "Maddoff crisis", and one of many "ponzi schemes" that are still going here as well "illegal insider trading", but regular people like myself just want a little "piece of the action" without being exploited by others! I consider myself open-minded socially, and try to be open-minded about the Stock Market here, and abroad! I hope to hear from you, and successful financial mate friends at http://inteli-mate.webs.com and http://stockworks.webs.com