"Much more than we let philosophies guide our lives, we allow obsessions to drive them; and there is no doubt which has been the great driving obsession of the last one hundred and fifty years. It is money." - John Fowles, The Aristos (1964) Husband, designer/developer, artist, gardener, sailor, reader.
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
It is very hard or impossible to time the broad market consistently — there are no famous investors that got rich by consistently knowing what the broad market would do next. This only makes sense, as there are just too many variables in the broad market. But there are many famous investors who got rich analyzing individual securities, and this is where you should put your focus. You can get an edge in individual securities. Joe Springer was the number 1 ranked stock analyst in the world by tipranks.com, and on most days is still ranked in the top 5%. Joe is a Certified Technical Trainer, and enjoys teaching about the stock market as well as managing portfolios. If you would like to follow Joe on Twitter, his handle is @JoeSpringer.
Reclusive And Eclectic.
One ..often overlooked oil market parameter ..spare capacity or the ability of producers to quickly ramp up output to cushion against unexpected supply cuts elsewhere shows that ..a major bullish trend for prices could be building. http://www.reuters.com/article/opec-production-capacity-idUSL8N1BJ2RS $CHK $SN A collapse in the (corrupt) Venezuela government of Maduro will (can) be good for oil prices. MOXO Reuters
Since 1998, oil production in Venezuela has been reduced by 750,000 barrels per day, with output falling by 250,000 barrels per day in the first half of 2016 alone. http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2016/08/27/doomsday-inevitable-venezuela/89335716/ $CHK $SN USATODAY
Venezuela, traditionally a prominent oil exporter, will make a sharply less contribution to the global oil market in 2017, as an acute political and economic crisis affects its (crude) oil production, Columbia University said in a report release. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-oil-idUSKCN10R1RH $CHK $SN $DNR Reuters
The China - Venezuela storied relations' will soon end (along with low price of oil) when the latter can no longer (exchange) barter cheap oil for low quality Chinese mobile phones, motorcycles, home-building materials and three wheel bicycles. http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-rethinks-its-alliance-with-reeling-venezuela-1473628506 $CHK WSJ
Greece will emerge as an energy hub with success of the TAP [Trans Adriatic Pipeline]. http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-16-541_en.htm $NBGGY $GREK $SBLK
La Niña will drive up (national gas) (distillate) energy prices. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-25/la-nina-weather-pattern-may-boost-u-k-power-price-and-curb-wind $CHK $SN $DNR Bloomberg
For some in OPEC, the issue is settled. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said Persia's production has (already) reached pre-sanctions levels. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-oil-exclusive-idUSKCN11F0HU $CHK $SN Reuters
Iran hinted that it may soon drop its opposition to an oil production freeze. http://gulfnews.com/business/sectors/energy/iran-oil-output-near-target-means-freeze-is-political-decision-1.1892874 $CHK GulfNews
La Niña's will (can) be good for (higher) commodities prices, and demand for US producer products. A higher value add product can claim (demand) a higher charge (rate) for (shipping) transport. $SBLK http://www.agweb.com/article/which-crop-price-could-gain-the-most-from-la-nina-naa-alison-rice/ $SFL AGWEB
$SBLK China August imports rise for first time in nearly two years. Coal imports rose +1.5% in August against a forecast of -4.9% drop. Coal imports recorded their first annual rise since late 2014. $SFL http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-trade-idUSKCN11E09R http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/rupee/baltic-dry-index-soared_7429501.html Reuters CNBC
China imports will keep U.S. soybean market on its toes. $SBLK $SFL http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-soybeans-braun-idUSKCN11F2GT U.S. Department of Agriculture Reuters
Alaska Communications, Akeela First to Connect to Microsoft Azure ExpressRoute Cloud Service from Alaska. $ALSK http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20160901006391/en/Alaska-Communications-Akeela-Connect-Microsoft-ExpressRoute-Cloud http://seekingalpha.com/author/donald-van-deventer/stocktalk/41263413 http://finleyusa.com/microsoft-facebook-building-highest-capacity-transatlantic-fiber-link/ http://www.asdnews.com/news-67043/MUOS-5_Secure_Communications_Satellite_Launch_June_24.htm $FB $LMT ANCHORAGE, Alaska (BUSINESS WIRE)
Greece and its foreign (oppressors) creditors are at odds over who will oversee a new privatization fund, a finance ministry official said, an issue which must be resolved for Athens to qualify for (stalled) fresh bailout aid. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eurozone-greece-bailout-idUSKCN11M18Y $NBGGY $GREK Reuters
South Asia Monsoon season is coming to a close (end of September), and scrapping will pick up (accelerate) along with ton rates for the scrap metal (waste) many dry bulk carriers will increasingly be sending ships heading for demolition. http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/dry-bulk-carriers-increasingly-heading-for-demolition/ $GREK $SBLK $SFL HellenicShippingNews
I retired as CEO of an Automotive Parts supplier, and manage an investment portfolio for myself and family. I have a BA in History from Royal Military College of Canada and an MBA from the University of Western Ontario. My first career was as a fighter pilot in the RCAF, and, following my MBA I joined McKinsey & Company, Inc. leaving them for Canadian GE. I left CGE as a Vice President in 1984 and founded The Enfield Corporation Limited ("Enfield") which grew from 243 employees in 1984 to over 10,000 in 1989 when Enfield was taken over and I was replaced as CEO. In 1989, I acquired control of Algonquin Mercantile Corporation, renamed Automodular Corporation in the late 1990's when I turned it to focus exclusively on automotive parts sub-assembly. Along the way, Algonquin turned a few ageing drug stores into Pharmx Rexall Drug Stores Ltd., sold to Katz group in 1997 and today a major Canadian drug store chain. I have been a private investor since 1971 both directly and through a private company controlled by myself and members of my family.
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
I have been an active investor for almost 20 years. My main focus is on high-yield stocks, particularly MLPs, and high-growth oil companies in the Eagle Ford shale. I have a portion of my portfolio allocated to short-term trading, with a focus on over-reactions to company news and directional plays on VIX-based ETFs. I am happy to answer just about any question sent my way, especially from those new to the stock market.
I founded Seeking Alpha, and lead it for its first 10 years until I passed the CEO role to Eli Hoffmann. I started Seeking Alpha after working for five years as a technology research analyst for Morgan Stanley in New York. Seeking Alpha is now the dominant crowdsourced equity research platform.
I wrote the ETF Investment Guide (http://seekingalpha.com/article/15136-etf-investing-guide-one-page-summary-of-the-entire-guide), and I blog about startup best practices at http://davidjaxon.wordpress.com .
I have a B.A from Oxford University and an MSc from The London School of Economics, and am married with five children.
I am Seeking Alpha's CEO and Editor-in-Chief. My love for the stock markets goes back to when I was a kid. Who else remembers combing through the stock quotes at the back of the business section of your local paper?
I joined Seeking Alpha in 2006 and launched Wall Street Breakfast and Market Currents, our top-of-class short-form breaking news for investors. In 2010 I became editor-in-chief and in 2015 I became CEO.
I live in Jerusalem with my wife and a bunch of exceptional kids. Most days, you'll find me making the commute from Jerusalem to Raanana. Occasionally I get to work from my home-office, from where I keep an eye on the beautiful Judean Hills.
To contact me, send me a direct message, or email me at email@example.com.
James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
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When connecting, be sure to identify yourself as a Seeking Alpha reader.
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
Richard is the managing principal of QVM Group LLC, a fee-based investment advisor based in Connecticut, with clients across the country. . QVM manages portfolios uniquely designed for each client on a flat fee basis through the client’s own accounts at Schwab; and provides investment coaching to "do-it-yourself" investors on an hourly fee basis. The investment approach is based on value, asset allocation, expense control, risk management, customizing portfolios to each client's specific circumstances, and regular communication about strategy and absolute and benchmark performance. Richard's extensive experience includes serving having served as a Board Director of Phoenix Investment Counsel, a U.S. pension and mutual funds manager, now Virtus Investment Partners (New York Stock Exchange: VRTS http://www.virtus.com); as Managing Director of Phoenix American Investment in London; and as a Board Director Aberdeen Asset Management PLC in Aberdeen Scotland (London Stock Exchange: ADN http://www.aberdeen-asset.com). He has been a Trustee of a $500 million pension fund, and was a charter investor and member of the Board of Directors of several internet companies, including Lending Tree (NASDAQ: TREE http://www.lendingtree.com) prior to its IPO. He is a 1970 graduate of Dartmouth College. QVM Group LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor. Visit the QVM Group website. (http://www.qvmgroup.com). Follow him on Twitter: @QVMinvest
I write about dividend growth stocks on my website www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com.
I am mostly a buyer of high quality dividend stocks, with solid competitive advantages. My holding period is forever, as long as the dividend is at least maintained. I tend to concentrate my efforts on stocks which grow earnings and dividends, which provides outstanding total returns over time. I only focus my attention to stocks with sustainable dividend payments. I am also a firm believer in diversification accross sectors and geographic locations.
I have been focusing my attention particularly to companies that regularly increase dividends to their shareholders on my website. On my blog I share my thoughts on investing in dividend paying stocks that have consistently increased their payments over time and tips on growing my dividend income. I hope that my blog will serve as an inspiration for my readers and that it would change their financial lives for the better.
Visit my website, Dividend Growth Investor (http://www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/)
Bookmark QTR's new blog, where exclusive (and always FREE) content will be available: http://www.quoththeravenresearch.com
Visit QTR and check out trading ideas, commentary, and me arguing with idiots on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/quoththeravensa
QTR's ARTICLES ARE BOUND BY SA'S CONTRIBUTOR POLICY IN ADDITION TO THIS ENTIRE LENGTHY, YET EXTREMELY PERTINENT ADD ON DISCLOSURE, WHICH SERVES AS BOTH A STANDALONE DISCLOSURE AND AN AMENDMENT TO ANY AND ALL DISCLOSURES ALREADY PRESIDING OVER SEEKING ALPHA:
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(i.e. This are solely my personal thoughts and opinions)
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QTR does not, in any way, guarantee that he is providing all of the information that may be available on any topic written. QTR recommends, again, that you do your own due diligence and consult a registered financial adviser before buying or selling any security.
QTR most always holds a position in any of the securities profiled in his pieces and he constructs his SA disclosures in accordance with SA's Contributor Policy, to the best of his knowledge in order to maintain transparency and also to uphold and respect pertinent securities laws. QTR may or may not report when a position is initiated or covered. Each investor must make that decision based on his/her judgment of the market.
I am not a stockbroker or financial adviser. I am a casual investor making casual observations for the purpose of discussion and open communication and analysis of companies and stocks. All articles are my opinion only and are not suggestions to buy or sell any equity, bond, option or other financial instrument. QTR may have long or short positions in any tickers mentioned at any time and reserves the right to open, close, or modify positions at all time without notice. My conclusions are the result of my personal due diligence and have been wrong in the past. There are tons of unqualified people out there offering up financial advice and its your responsibility to sort through the BS. You don't hit the button to fill my orders and I don't hit yours, so no whining or praising over stocks covered by me.
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Senior Options Trading Strategist at Optionity, MBA.
Our trading approach starts with the fundamentals, then through short-term technical analysis, to finally leverage options trading (with the combination of long and short positions) to achieve favorable risk and reward ratio trading plays.
Our main strategy is "Solid Stock + Cash Flow + Options"
"I have the option to give up, but I will never give up my options"
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
DISCLAIMER: Each article or comment written by this author is intended as general information only, and is not intended to provide specific advice, or due diligence to be relied on. As such, the information presented in any article or comment does not consider any reader’s personal investment objectives or financial situation; therefore, no articles or comments make investment recommendations. The opinions expressed in any articles or comments on this website are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any third party. I am not responsible for actions taken, or not taken based the content of this site.
Investment strategies or securities mentioned in any article may not be suitable for all investors. The risk of loss in trading securities, including options, and futures can be substantial. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please understand all risks associated with investing before investing. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person should read a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options (http://www.optionsclearing.com/about/publications/character-risks.jsp). Options or other transactions could involve complex tax considerations that should be carefully reviewed and considered along with each reader’s personal financial situation and all other relevant risk factors prior to entering into any transaction. Probability analysis results are theoretical and in nature, and do not reflect any degree of certainty of an event occurring or not occurring.
While I believe the information provided in any article or comment is reliable; however, I do not guarantee its accuracy, timelines, or completeness. Financial information changes daily and articles and comments are not updated for subsequent changes in financial position or share prices. Transaction costs (commissions and fees) should be considered before entering trades and not accounted for in analyses presented.
Past performance referenced in any article or comment is not a guarantee of future performance. You should always consider the risks of investing in the light of your personal circumstances and your due diligence should include consulting with your professional advisor.
Links to and from websites do not imply any content endorsements. I am not responsible for, nor do I control the content of linked websites which are subject to change without my knowledge or consent.
I graudated summa cum laude with a M.S (Accounting & Information Analysis) and a B.S. (Finance & Accounting). I have over four years of financial markets experience. I actively follow equities with a focus on technology, high yield, and value stocks. In addition, I focus on conservative option strategies such as covered calls and cash secured puts to generate additional income in an effort to outperform the market.
Rocco Pendola is an associate editor at Seeking Alpha focusing on technology and the sectors it overlaps with.
In addition to technology, I am interested in dividend growth and income investing.
I make references to music I'm obsessed with (e.g., Old 97s, Elliott Smith, Bruce Springsteen) in my writing. If you notice any of these references, it makes me happy.
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
Analyst and Fund Manager with almost 20 years investment experience. Coverage includes a variety of industries, with a focus on technology.
Particularly focused on value stocks, poorly understood or under-followed situations, and contrarian perspectives.
Primarily invest in special situations with value that is poorly understood or not fully appreciated, or where we believe there is a highly asymetric risk/reward profile. Also look for long/short ideas in mid/larger cap names where we believe we have a variant view, and the market is dramatically mispricing value.
Follow me on Twitter @valinsights
Recently: Learning how to play options/warrants.
Just another retail trader from Europe seeking for more knowledge about markets and stocks in general. My lessons so far:
1) "Never follow the trend" - You will just get ripped off by the big sharks.
2) "Expect the unexpected" - Especially during QRs and product presentations.
3) "Be patient" - So far 90% of my judgement was correct long term.
4) "Accept the game rules" - Hedge funds and other large institutional investors influence the markets in their favor, not in yours.
5) "Don't hold onto your losses in defiance. Reflect your judgement." - It is never wise to love your stocks. You want to earn money, not to sport a tattoo of your favourite band.
I consider myself conservative in terms of risk management and look closely to P/Es and book values.
I consider the following stocks long: $BBRY, $BMW.DE, $EBAY, $TM, $V
I monitor: $AMZN, $AAPL, $FB, $HLF, $INTC, $JCP, $LNKD, $NFLX, $NVDA, $QCOM, $TSLA
Over 15 years as an IT Consultant for a wide range of clients including Dell, Ingram Micro, BankAm South and FedEx Data Center. Specializes in technology, contrarian plays and global macro. My articles have appeared on Morningstar.com, IHIQS, Seeking Alpha, Yahoo! Finance, MarketWatch, EIN Newsdesk, Google Finance, Motley Fool, MSN Money, and AOL Daily Finance.
I am a Portuguese independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked for both sell side (brokerage) and buy side (fund management) institutions.
I've been trading professionally for about 20 years and also launched www.thinkfn.com in 2004. Thinkfn (Think Finance) carries thousands of educational articles on finance and the markets.
I trade futures, stocks from the long and short side, forex and options. I trade both discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader, Quantshare and others).
I can be reached at paulo.santosATthinkfn.com or followed on Twitter at twitter.com/ThinkFinance999
Now at 89 i'm a former poster on SA..
82 years of trading and 65 owning my own firm..
I've lived through WW2 and other bad situations in countries before I arrived in the US.
And this situation on SA has become something that has no place in the USA ~!
This used to be a great place for open chat and a great place to get valuable views on the market. Now, the site is a commercial crap trap site run by left wing progressive slime ! Nazi~like lowlifes who censor the most bizarre stuff .And, now they just found themselves a survey that hints at their view and sent me a link. #@(^!+*** ( scatological barrage)
Many of you have my personal email addresses and feel free to use them. I will always do my best concerning the market.And, if I don't know about your symbol or subject I will say so..
Pura vida amigos/amigas
Ashraf Eassa is a technology specialist with The Motley Fool. He writes mostly about technology stocks, but is especially interested in anything related to chips -- the semiconductor kind, that is.
I am a market enthusiast and part-time trader. I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2011, and it has been a tremendous opportunity and learning experience. I have been interested in the markets since elementary school, and hope to pursue a career in the investment management industry. I have been active in the markets for several years, and am primarily focused on long/short equities.
I hold a Bachelor of Science Degree from Lehigh University, where I double majored in Finance and Accounting, with a minor in History. My major track focused on Investments and Financial Analysis. While at Lehigh, I was the Head Portfolio Manager of the Investment Management Group, a student group that manages three portfolios, one long/short and two long only. I have had two internships, one a summer internship at a large bank, and another helping to manage the Lehigh University Endowment for nearly a year.
Disclaimer: Bill reminds investors to always due their own due diligence on any investment, and to consult their own financial adviser or representative when necessary. Any material provided is intended as general information only, and should not be considered or relied upon as a formal investment recommendation.