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Yagottabe Kidding

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  • Nothing to Fear from a Sirius XM Reverse Stock Split - Palm's Lesson [View article]
    Your logic is false and you have left yourself wide open for further criticism.

    That is to say, this blog entry has not made things better.

    [I do not follow SIRI at all nor have any opinions whatsoever about its reverse split nor the viability of the company as a whole. This comment is directed at your baseless leap of logic, poor "proof" that a reverse split is not a negative, and apparently personal attacks against someone elsewhere]
    Feb 2 06:09 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Does CEO Age Affect Stock Performance? [View article]
    Now graph college degree and performance. Or location and performance. Or sex and performance. know... CEO experience and performance.



    That sample population above was hand picked!

    Oh good grief.


    Dec 13 06:34 AM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Buy What You Can't Value [View article]
    But...but...but...there's no NEED for this week's "Palm investors" to apply a value to the stock! All the media is saying Palm is worth one to two billion dollars at LEAST so that's that! Plus a hedge fund ( performance history) just bought in tens of millions of dollars worth! It MUST be a good investment!

    Apr 15 05:49 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Palm Has a PREcarious Channel Issue [View article]
    If Palm has quietly changed the used-over-and-over-again definition of "sell-through" to simply mean that someone they sold to has in turn sold then they have materially changed a key number that they discuss in their earnings calls.

    Since Day One "sell-through" has ALWAYS meant "sales to a consumer" and has NEVER meant "sales to a retail venue". The difference is SO radical (especially the "hidden inventory" angle) that such a change would require overt mention, IMHO.

    In their 10Q Palm does not define sell-through, however they say only that they are relying on their customers to accurately report sell-through numbers. That is a rather wide hole in the reporting of a key statistic.
    Sep 30 09:06 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: iPhone Now Accounts for 50% of Mobile Web Traffic [View article]
    Though I wouldn't doubt the conclusion of the Subject TOO much, it should be noted that the statistics being gathered are for web pages on which the statistics gatherer has ads which undoubtedly is a VERY small subset of mobile web pages out there.
    Mar 24 10:40 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Palm Keeps Plunging but This Bull Doesn't Care [View article]
    Options traders are no more knowledgable about stock price movement than anyone else - they're just laying down bets at a different table.
    Feb 25 10:09 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Mobile Ad Click Rates: Symbian Destroys iPhone [View article]
    The "average was set to 100"?


    I don't suppose raw numbers of click-throughs matter huh?

    What if the average number of click-throughs was, like, 10. Would the data in this blog entry thus have any real meaning at all?

    The book "How to Lie with Statistics", though half a century old, still has relevance today.
    Jan 14 06:39 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Big Will Android Get? [View article]
    Good grief - someone actually noticing the ridiculousness of number of significant digits used by some sites!

    What!? Did you take a math course or something and actually REMEMBER what it taught?

    'Bout time someone did.

    Good article.
    Oct 8 06:25 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • iPhone 3GS Owners Are Happy, Good for Apple [View article]
    That survey was invalid simply due to lack of respondents - the results MIGHT reflect reality but surveying only =200= iPhone users (WHICH 200?) is so into the noise-level of iPhone users it's just silly.

    And they "surveyed" 40...yes, only 40...Pre users at the same time.

    Why is this even newsworthy?
    Aug 16 03:41 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • I Quit the iPhone [View article]
    >>> "...So what phone will I use next? Well, that decision is
    >>> easy, too. I’d move to the Palm Pre..."

    What makes the author think in-totally-dire-financ... Sprint will like Google Voice any more than AT&T?
    Jul 31 06:58 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Palm: Despite Upbeat Results, Challenges Up Ahead [View article]
    The 4th quarter was not good; it was lousy. In fact, it was horrible. In actual fact, it was a disaster.

    Never ever confuse, as pretty much all the Media World has, that very poor "analyst" estimation being "beat" means a company has done a swell job. All it means was some very poor analysis was the bar over which Palm had to jump. NONE of the analysts took into account sell-in of 60,000 Pres; take away the Pre dollars and suddenly the results look as bad as they were. Those dollars, of course, aren't going to be in the NEXT results now, either.

    Palm management mentioned 1 million downloads of applications as if it represents something great about the Pre - instead it very clearly shows the Pre sell-THROUGH fell flat - 1 million applications SOUNDS good until you start figuring out how many applications (and updates?) a single Pre owner is going to get (they were all free, remember), then suddenly that 1 million applications downloaded starts translating into 100,000 or so Pres or so and one gasps at the suggested lack of sales.
    Jun 28 07:01 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Palm: It's Official, Pre to Launch June 6 for $200 [View article]
    WHAT misinformation!!!?

    $300 up-front-walk-out-the-... price for the phone - like it or not.

    $70 for the first Touchstone and back - like it or not.

    $50 for every extra Touchstone (major marketing point of the Touchstone was you could have one at home and at office) and an ADDITIONAL set of bucks for the CHARGER that the Touchstone uses (unless you want to carry around your Pre charger and plug each Touchstone into it as you arrive at the location!). An expensive Everything plan and an ADDITIONAL cost for that "select" unlimited data plan.

    THAT'S what the buyer is confronted with at the store - like it or not.

    "Misinformation" my ass - you're going to see massive "Ya gotta be kidding!" comments coming out of no-longer-potential buyers when they see THAT.

    May 19 10:20 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will Consumers Line Up for the Next iPhone? [View article]
    > ...In tough times it’s hard to drop three bills on a new iPhone, no
    > matter how many magnetometers it contains. Your thoughts?

    A whole lot of folks are betting that "you" will drop three bills (at least?) on a new Pre even without magnetometers.

    This should be interesting.

    Apr 14 06:43 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Palm Needs to Maintain Mobile Share to Justify HP's $1.2 Billion Purchase Price [View article]
    Palm already told us THIS quarter is going to be the pits - only $90,000,000 worth of business worldwide. If you are a carrier and see that Palm is going to cease to exist NEXT quarter, are you going to buy their phones knowing the likelihood of successful integration into HPQ , at BEST, is going to take a year?

    Palm isn't going to maintain marketshare.
    Apr 30 07:26 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Gaining Ground in Smartphone Race [View article]
    The survey was NOT of "4255 consumers" but instead "4255 high income high education senior tech-field consumers".

    I think that may have import w.r.t. how well this survey is representative of the general phone consumer population.
    Oct 29 02:27 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment