goatfarmer

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80 Comments

    • Sun Mar 23rd 22:18 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Market Outlook: Watch Out, the Signs Can Be Deceiving
      The experience of Asian banks after the 1997 financial crisis might be instructive. In the case of banks in Hongkong, the rebound was quite swift. But in the case of Thailand, most banks made a swift rebound after a year, only to fall for a second bottom lasting 8 years. Some banks have not returned to their 1997 levels, after 10 years. Which category would the US banks fall into? Check out some charts on my site.
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    • Sat Mar 22nd 07:45 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Best and Worst Dow, S&P 500 Performers YTD
      WMT is the news of the week. Finally a breakout after three years of bottoming. This is either a bullish signal or a tease. A week or two should give some indication.

      I would agree with the Missouri man. This forum is no place for moaners, whingers,and the otherwise innumerate. I hope this site doesn't descend to the depths of yahoo message boards. Once again, a challenge for the editors of the site exists. Please edit detritutus.
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    • Thu Mar 20th 08:53 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Coming Crash of 2008: A Result of Overleveraging
      'gargantuan' is a great word. But the author is most likely on pantagruelian.
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    • Thu Mar 20th 08:36 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      An Abundance of Bottom Calling
      No point guessing a bottom. It (the bottom) will announce itself in good time: months, perhaps a year. In the meantime, take a holiday, take up a hobby, distract yourself and remember the great rabellaisian maxim, "interpone tuis interdum gaudia curis".
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    • Sun Mar 9th 10:05 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is Oil Overpriced at $105/Barrel?
      Charming and polite comment from Manny Otero!
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    • Fri Mar 7th 19:21 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Here's Why the Fed Has No Credibility
      Whatever the point was we shouldn't have to guess at it. The editors of this site should be stricter in publishing such unfinished work.
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    • Fri Jan 18th 21:47 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Don't Buy (Sell) The Bear
      True, earnings have doubled since 2001. But more interesting, earnings are almost double those of 1999 when the index was at a comparable level to 2007. As to whether that 100% will repeat again in the next so many years, that's quite an assumption.

      Interesting to see a combination of technicals and valuations.

      as to the f sharp minor, this reader would prefer to see the bear march to the tune of op.53.
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    • Fri Jan 18th 20:47 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Deciding Between Mutual Funds and Their ETF Equivalents
      Nice personal account - but what's the point?
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    • Fri Jan 18th 04:33 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      20 Year Snapshot of Asset Class Returns
      The pattern looks like total randomness. The consecutive years for the Div portfolio and Large core fit within the expectations of randomness.
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    • Wed Jan 9th 21:43 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Vanguard Gets Gold Medal for ETF Growth
      With luck, Vanguard's success will start an expense cutting trend among ETF providers. Why should I buy EFA when I can buy Vanguard's equivalent for half the expense ratio? I guess it's just a matter of time before investors start doing the compounding sums and work out what percentage the expense ratio becomes of, say, 100% profit over ten years. 0.7% works out at something like 10%.
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    • Wed Jan 9th 21:32 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Global Asset Class Returns: U.S., Tech Stocks Off to Bad Start
      Can we draw any sensible conclusions from a 2 week analysis?
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    • Wed Jan 9th 21:23 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      What Kind of Bounce Can We Expect?
      Guessing, guessing and more guessing: I prefer the Doris Day rule: que sera sera...
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    • Mon Dec 31st 21:18 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      2007: How Did So Many People Miss the Signs?
      In one way, Bernstein was right back in the late fifties. The S&P, in the years from 1959 to 1982, yielded a (geometric) average return of around 3.3%. That's more than twenty years of stagnation and a scenario that index fund buy and hold advocates do not take into account when reviewing the past 10 years of index performance.
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    • Mon Dec 31st 07:24 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      2008 ETF Predictions
      "Wait for the wisest of all counsellors, time". So O'Shaughnessy quotes Pericles. But O'sh says nothing of ETFs. How long will it be before the wisdom of investing in ETFs, and in particular, Global ETFs, consumes the retail market?
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    • Mon Dec 31st 06:45 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      International Materials ETF: Profit From Emerging Market Hunger For Basic Materials
      Check that dividend again. According to etfconnect.com the dividend is 0.7%.
      www.etfconnect.com/sel...
      I'm with Anand on MXI
      View article »
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