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Demi9OD

Demi9OD
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  • The S&P 500 jumped 1.8% in the first five trading days of the year, so legend tells us 2012 will be a positive year for stocks. The market has never fallen in a year when the first five days added 1.8% or more, and most of those gains were strong - if any real conclusions can be made from an event that's happened only 17 times in history.  [View news story]
    Stocks close pennies off flat for the year. Stocks jump 1.8%, market has never fallen when first five days added 1.8% or more. It's just too scripted.
    Jan 9 05:51 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Paired Switching for Q1 2012 [View instapost]
    What about diversifying more by using a combination of the buy and hold weighting with the paired switching?

    Remove TLT from the buy and hold weighting and you are left with something like this:
    VTI 17%
    EFA 16%
    EEM 17%
    IEZ 15%
    USO 17%
    GLD 18%

    Substitute TLT for each side of the pair which it outperformed in the ranking period, and you are left with:
    VTI 17%
    EEM 17%
    IEZ 15%
    USO 17%
    TLT 34%

    Have you had a chance to re-balance the buy and hold portfolio for this year? How is this done using historical data?
    Jan 7 11:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Quick notes for upcoming week ! [View instapost]
    Please include on your calendar all EU rumors, rebuttals, reaffirmations of rumors, reaffirmations of rebuttals, and finally the date for when the rumor will finally be affirmed or denied (some time in 2012 works).

    Haha, thanks GB!
    Nov 5 08:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • October Blog Report Card [View instapost]
    Great job Bill. Taking any profit in these troubled markets is a remarkable thing. Looking forward to more updates and congratulations on staying mean and green!
    Nov 1 06:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Long Gold/Short Stocks ETF Drops 12% [View article]
    Be nimble and you can ride this one from low 40s to high 40s every week.
    Sep 8 11:02 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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