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nafar

nafar
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AIG, BAC, C, CSCO, CVVT, GM, GS, HPQ, JPM, MRK, MS, USB, WFC
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  • Citigroup Is Overly Favored By The Analysts [View article]
    I think once they begin to return capital through dividend and buy back, the shares would go up even the EPS is lesser than previous quarters. People look for the yield more than the P/E for investors who look for actual payout.

    Banks would continue to perform well so long as economy is growing in USA in particular and weighted average growth rate of the rest of the economies is positive.
    The current method of Stress Test and other regulations seems to prevent the economy to grow faster but would sure prevent recession normally foreseen with large growth rates. So I think banks would perform well.
    All the analysis as such depends on what the new rules are in place. If these regulations were not inplace, I am sure the economy would have grown faster (normally it is so after recession period) and banks without Dodd Frank regulations would have been making huge profits. Now much of their freedom is done with.
    May 31 11:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Have Insiders, Institutional Investors, And Shorts Reacted To Turmoil At JPMorgan? [View article]
    Ref: To Robert's remarks

    The interest rate is not expected to increase because of QE so long the money do not find the way in the hands of people. Currently, nearly half of the funds went back to Fed as a depsoit from banks. Further huge sum found its way in the international market. So there is no money ( I mean not much) in USA market because of QEs.

    Banks have a cyclical nature and its related to the economic performance. So long performance is positive in the world, the banks would do well.
    May 9 02:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Have Insiders, Institutional Investors, And Shorts Reacted To Turmoil At JPMorgan? [View article]
    A good analysis. The institutional investors are avoiding sale of JPM shares in fear of price being falling further as there is no support or new buying from institutional buyers. The price dived by over 10% when they reduced their holdings from 80% to 78%. Further, There is heavy net selling from insiders.

    What I am failing to understand why JPM or any bank is not doing good when fundamentals are intact. There is no recession in major exconomies of the world and IMF has forecasted higher GDP of world from 2013 to 2014. Banking sector needs a growing economy to sustain their profiatability. What more they need?
    May 8 07:55 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • JPMorgan's Prospects Look Bleak In The Short Term, But Patience May Prevail [View article]
    I consider the banks to do good business till such time the economy is growing. The economy of USA (barring the Q1'14) is doing good. The employment is continuing at a good speed that reinforces that the economy is doing good. The business houses would not hire for the sake of hiring.

    JPM has large funds parked with Federal Reserve at virtually zero interest rate. This huge amount if invested in loans and securties would widen the Net Interest Margin.

    Further, JPM should avoid stock compensation to employees as this increases the quantum of stocks.
    May 7 10:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • JPMorgan: Nibble The Dip? [View article]
    Business is the variable for to judge the reputation. Since many big banks were involved in one way or the other, the people are not left with any choice then to stick to their banks.

    What is disappointing why they did not retreat again the expected earnings for 2014 to be range from 15% to 16%. Had they made the mistake earlier and now quietly getting back from this forward guidance. This is the biggest negative during the conference call. I expect they should come forward and clear the forward guidance.
    Apr 13 08:14 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • JPMorgan Deserves To Be Down After Reporting Decreased Revenues [View article]
    The Net Income for 1Q'14 is virtually same as last quarter - 4Q'13. How come EPS is 1.28 now and the last quarter 1.40 as stated above. If credit losses are subtracted from both periods, then there is more profit than Q4'13 by 742 million / EPS 0.20. Credit losses let's assume relate to period prior to 4Q'13. Is this, should not be the way to look at it? Anyway things get clearer if one put's is point of view.
    Apr 12 02:15 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why JPMorgan Chase Will Beat Estimates Despite Sluggish Economy [View article]
    Yes these analysis just misled us. Every year JPM used to give expected retrun on tangible equity which they omitted in quarterly review presenation. I just do not understand why then they mentioned in their letter to shareholders just a couple of days back. Strange. Whom to believe.
    Apr 12 09:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bank Of America, JPMorgan Kick Off Upcoming Mega Bank Results [View article]
    As far JPM is concerned, I have seen analyst estimate of 1.40 for now over 3 months. That is not new. Everybody knows that the profit from corresponding period of last year it would be low. Why analyst do not compare also with the last quarterly result? Why then price is falling?
    Apr 10 07:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Notable earnings before Friday‚Äôs open [View news story]
    I also feel JPM has a tremendous potential. Have HQLA over $700 billion which when utilize in some investment can turn the corner with massive earnings. Interest margin which are currently down can bounce back when interest rate moves up. Another plus IMF has projected 3.6% growth for 2014 which is higher than 2013. For 2014, EPS would be 6.14 being 15% earnings on TBV. This has stated in Jamie Dimon, CEO's letter to shareholders attached with the Annual Accounts 2013.
    Apr 10 07:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why JPMorgan Chase Will Beat Estimates Despite Sluggish Economy [View article]
    What analysts estimate, Jamie Dimon in the letter to the shareholders estimated return on tangible equity of 15% instead of 16% predicted earlier. Even with 15% return, the EPS then comes to 6.15 for 2014. That's great.

    Operating expenses (excluding litigation ) is targeted one billion less in 2014.
    Apr 10 03:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why JPMorgan Is Heading To $65 [View article]
    I read in the Letter to Shareholders released today - 3 and half month passed of 2014 Jamie Dimon again mentioned that expect earnings to be 15% of tangible equity in 2014. This translated into EPS 6.15. This is great. Why don't we give this news to investors.

    The world economy as projected by IMF for the world is also on the upside from 2013 estimated actual growth. With economies going up, Jamie Dimon goal would be achieved for sure.
    Apr 10 02:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Citi Has Tremendous Upside Potential [View article]
    The Citi shares are trading at discount perhaps its tangible book value is included of Deferred Tax Asset amount which is slightly above US$ 50 billion at the year end.
    Mar 31 06:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Citigroup: No Dividend Hike Now, But What About The Long-Term Future? [View article]
    Is the quantative result not the outcome of qualitative input? If quantative is far than better there is no reason to bring the subjective things while rejecting Citi;s proposal by Fed. For sure they can give suggestions but the onous of implementation should rest with the BOD. Well this is my view.

    If Fed thinks, the minimum Tier 1 common capital ratio is too low, they can increase it. One thing that needs to be considered that USA banks should not be made uncompettive.
    Mar 28 05:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Citigroup: Compelling Valuation Is Too Good To Ignore [View article]
    Good argument. Fundamnetals are the same even today.
    Mar 27 06:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Citigroup's among 5 rejected capital return plans [View news story]
    Absolutely the market over reacted to the rejection news. The TBV would improve further by US$ 5 (nearly the expected EPS for 2014). The EPS seems achievable as CEO is confidant that Citi Holdings would break even in 2014. So what adds up is US$ 1.5b+ in profit. Once the CEO announces the time line for submission of revised plan, the price would jump back to atleast to its pre levels.
    Mar 26 05:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
217 Comments
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