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GaryD
81 Comments
Playing the Market as Delinquencies Continue to Rise
Gold Coin Rationing: Where There's Smoke, There's Fire
Annual M2 Growth Is Nothing Like the 1970s
seekingalpha.com/artic...
Check out what academic publishers think about this practice (see the section entitled "Ethics" towards the bottom of the page):
www.bioline.org.br/req...
Prominent Economists Make Up Data That Doesn't Exist
Prominent Economists Make Up Data That Doesn't Exist
This is not at all accurate. The Fed has never said this. They do collect the data that underlies M3 (they even publish it; this is there those re-constituted M3 sites get their data), they just don't calculate M3 anymore since it doesn't seem to tell them anything useful. They still need to collect the underlying data for other purposes.
I doubt that the author has even a basic understanding of how the federal reserve system works:
-He mis-states the Fed's stance on M3
-He describes the current Fed stance as "hawkish", which would imply a funds rate higher than inflation, which it is not.
-He does not understand that the data to calculate M3 is available to anyone who wants to examine it on the Federal Reserve site and accuses the people who take the time to dig up the data and calculate M3 as either liars or whack-jobs. They are whack jobs, but the M3 data is coming straight from the Fed, not from thin air.
Is is Mark Sunshine who is making things up by (a) attempting to pass himself off as knowledgeable on the subject of monetary policy, (b) mis-stating the Fed's monetary stance, (c) mis-representing the Fed's policies around data collection and dissemination, and (d) launching an ill-conceived straw-man attack on a nebulous, undefined group of "prominent economists".
Real Estate Bubble Is Only in 4 States: CA, FL, NV, AZ
Alnylam and RNAi: The Truth Hurts
He must be more buffoon than tycoon!
In all seriousness, it takes a long time to get all the details of a new drug technology worked out. Monoclonal antibody technology was invented in the 1970s but drugs based on these technologies took another 20 to 30 years to come to market. Now, they are hugely important and profitable.
Alnylam has a long road ahead of it and admittedly it might fail, but it has an unbelievable scientific and business team behind it, is very well funded, and has collaborations from here to China. They have completed a Phase II study of their lead drug for respiratory syncytial virus infection of the lungs (ALN-RSV01: clinicaltrials.gov/ct2...) and have initiated a second one (see clinicaltrials.gov/ct2...).
To see the kind of hurdles that Alnylam must clear, you can read this article: www.rnainews.com/issue...
RNAi is a very exciting and promising technology. I own ALNY and hope very much that they are able to commercialize this incredibly promising technology. Humanity will be better off if Alnylam is successful.
Who Is Really Printing Money?
King Dollar Roars Back
bp3.blogger.com/_H2DeP...
Like most academics, he probably wants a job at the fed, so he is showing that he is a good little soldier with his posts. He waves his hand over data noise and makes hints about the future. In previous ages he would be reading chicken entrails, or tea leaves, or palms, or conjuring spirits to reveal the future, or...you get the point.
FOMC: Forking Over More Currency?
Get Smart on U.S. Economic Policy
Ooo boy, a quiz, let's see.
1. Yes, the US government is a unitary body when it comes to financial affairs. Votes in Congress on how to deal with the financial crisis have been bipartisan.
2. Yes the government props up shares *in certain financials*. How else do you explain the existence of the President's Working Group on Financial Markets?
3. Yes financials systematically lied about their financial assets. Here's some evidence that the deception was coming from the top:
www.portfolio.com/news...
4. I would report to my chief that the US is run by a bunch of over-bred, silver-spoon-reared, spoiled, short-sighted, corrupt, selfish country-club boys who wouldn't know an honest statement or a day of hard work if it kicked them in the ass, and who despise small business and entepreneurialism. I would further report that it is lucky for Americans that the constitution continues to afford some measure of protection against these yaks, although even that is being gradually eroded. I would conclude that the the question about the inevitable cleansing is silly since, under the Keynesian system that the US operates under, the government is allegedly able to avert financial collapse in a credit-based economy by increasing spending and liquidity.
How'd I do?
SWF: Stands for Stocks Weaken Faster?
Second Quarter Homeownership Rate Has Largest Increase in Four Years
Looking at your chart and using your own methodology, you would have called a housing market bottom in Q1 '05 and Q4 '05 and a top in Q2 '01 and Q4 '02. Great analysis. The fact that you think a 0.3% move on a single data point is meaningful and actionable demonstrates yet again your monumental stupidity. Census data typically has an error of +/-0.5%, so you are looking at noise, doofus. Go blow Larry.
Bill Gross: The Housing/GSE Bill Is Best Way Out of Credit Crisis
This Can't Be Helping Real Estate