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Niceephore

Niceephore
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  • Alcatel-Lucent: It's Just A Question Of Quarters Before Cash Flow Improves [View article]
    But Serge ,

    There is always a fricken surprises of those quaterly '' Réorg charges '' , Last
    Quarter is $ 275 M

    When this process of réorganising will end & we will see some PROFITS ??

    Nicéephore
    Montréal, North América
    Aug 18 07:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcatel-Lucent: It's Just A Question Of Quarters Before Cash Flow Improves [View article]

    Sometimes I makes Great Trades like this month with Target & Conagra

    But on ALU , i am a complete idiot !!

    Niceephore
    Aug 11 11:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcatel-Lucent: It's Just A Question Of Quarters Before Cash Flow Improves [View article]

    I feel very deceived about ALU .

    I was hoping they can AT LEAST meet the Sales Concensus ( 4.0-4.2 euros ). With all that LTE development & other good technos news going on , I though
    the company was on the mend.

    We have to see Q3 to look for improvment , otherwise , it is no Hope for this
    stock.

    I am very disappointed . I see this thing falling in the $ 2.85-3.05 by mid august
    then to improve to levels we saw recently ( $ 3.65-3.85 ) by end sept/oct

    Then with my "stratégie de trades en dent de scie '' , I will be able to exit out
    that bad trades as I did with Alcoa last year .

    For the community , maybe I am wrong , but I Nomore see some upside (
    like $ 4.75-$ 5.50 ) within end of 2014

    Niceephore de Montréal
    Jul 31 08:07 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Target: A Strong Buy [View article]
    And that' s why the central bankers will never ever set $$$ Policy
    to have the inerest rate to go up , because it will deflate the whole
    Investments world valuation , that is too much.

    Tcheck this , when that 10 years US bond will be passing the 3 1/8 -
    3 3/8 % mark , then the real estates values will start to plummet
    & so the REITs , the utilities , etc , etc . Theck the price of ETR for
    example , never been that high . I had traded this play last fall praying
    to see it north of $ 63 1/2 & now it is $ 81+ ; Same company , same
    fundammental , just to realise that the market is Sniffing ( by the nose )
    too much ...... it is kind of non senses !!

    Nicéephore de Montréal
    Jun 30 12:25 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Target: A Strong Buy [View article]
    Also.

    I am a short term trader . The graphics ( Mountain , RSI,CCI & DMI ) look fine to me . When I predict certain levels of the price of the shares
    it is my convictions what thoses graphics tell me.

    So far , I have around +/- 65 % reliabilities on those graphics.

    But I agree : This TGT can be '' une boite de Pandore '' to you american to know what I mean ............ re : Pandora box.

    Anyway , I dont agree of the évaluation of the stock :

    Payinne 19.50 x P/E for a retail stores , c' est prétentieux !!

    For me , it should Worth 12 1/2 to 14 X P/E

    But as Lyod Blankfein said the other day :

    THE WHOLE WORLD IS OVERVALUED !!


    A good day , The big ballon gonna blow KABBBOOMM !!
    Jun 29 10:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Finisar - Dramatic Margin Pressure Triggers A Sell-Off [View article]
    VI

    I dont know into lookiinne at tiny détails & stuffs , but what I heard from Conférence call & Financial documentation .... it look to me like

    A VERY WELL MANAGED COMPANY

    I Think their guidances are conservatives , to show a Q12015 Gross sales
    of $ 327.5M and a net profit of $ 33.6M seem to me OK.

    It will post total 2015 EPS around $ 1.32-1.48/share ...... @ $19.50 & change
    FNSR look to me as a BARGAIN

    I will not be surprised to see the company in the $22/23 in coming weeks & around $ 24 1/2 to 26 by fall

    Nicéephore de Montréal


    Agree with Mr Marlowe
    Jun 24 07:20 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Target: A Strong Buy [View article]

    Well Portage Michigan ,

    I was not against or For/Pro versus Target

    I was just stating that their op/rations in CANADA is a disaster


    But , dont get me wrong , I have calls interest into that play.
    Even knowing what< s going on in Canada , I am confident that TGT
    will reach $ 60+ by a week or two.

    As I said even considering those disastrous op/rating r/sults in Canada
    TGT manage to show a good profit . If they just manage to stop the
    emmoragie in Canada , the consolidated results would show $ 3.75+
    EPS / share , so the price can go up

    Niceephore de Montreal


    By the way , what you are observing , it is a short tendance , Hopefully
    for U & Me , TGT to reach $ 61-62 by mid july
    Jun 24 06:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Target: A Strong Buy [View article]
    Micium & Dunkaster ( pro & Con ),

    I dont know how VERY WELL they compete in the US , but in regards of being able to maintain a div yield of 3.5% & EPS of mostly $3 /sh , I am presuming that US opérations are very good.

    But I ( myself ) be a witness of what the heck is going on in CANADA where I
    presently live.

    My last visit to a TGT store ( & few others ) is not impressive. Actually you feel
    that there is more employyes than clients . It is empty . Marchandises look OK
    but the concept seem to be wrong . In that same day I visit WMT & Sears ( In Canada , it is full , could you believe it ??!! ). At WMT , as usual , packed full , so much , there is huge line up to the Cashiers ...... !!

    Then go visit a Target store ........ It look like the good old Soviet Union !!

    They grilled off the Cdn président , hopefully they will change the concept , try to loose less money or maybe Breakeven ( this it will take at least 3 years )

    Imagine , they took over the old ZELLERS leases ( those Zellers stores were not
    performed in the past , but you saw few peoples , but now I think the clients are
    invisibles !! )

    Or maybe they should take a huge write off & get out of Canada.

    It is what Canadian Tire did 14 years ago when they tried American expansion
    They didnt understand the market , bleed a lot & then Go. Maybe it is what they should do


    Niceephore de Montréal
    Jun 24 03:45 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcatel-Lucent: The Way Back To $4.50 Is Wide Open [View article]


    It look , on this one , I am '' le dindon de la farce ''.

    So , my hope is to wait to see the stock having somme momentum up ( Spike up to $ 4.50-62 ) & gettout Whammo !!

    On stock like that ( ALU et RAD ) some can make you big , Others make you
    take the ground. Fingercrossing to exitout & cost recovery

    Nicéphore de Montréal
    May 14 10:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcatel-Lucent: The Way Back To $4.50 Is Wide Open [View article]
    Nettligent & André AS ,

    Good for you you maid 2.13% + on the stock , I maid last year , ( several option trades ) a whopping return on the stock. I remember to had produced somewhere like $ 1500 CAD on around +/- $ 900 original investment.

    Same Story with Rite Aid (RAD).

    I saw the same HATE on comments over RAD BEFORE they finally produced
    returns. My positive comment on it maid me the fool of the blog ...... & then
    voila ........... an Other $ 1,200 profit on $ 795 investment ( 3-4 consequential options trades ) . After that , devine qui est le crétin du site ??!!

    In résumé ALU ( like RAD ) have some positive feelings for me . Maybe a contrarian instinct , who know ??!!

    We will see tomorrow if I am ...... Le Dindon de la Farce , or simply see it
    right and maybe recuperate( my cost ) to sell a 1/2, 5/8 or 3/4 of LC holding and have the balance
    of long calls FREE so I can sell them in fall when AÙLU will reach 5.90-6.50

    If they dont deliver , then I hope a spike up/Rumor or else and gettout Whammo !!

    We will see tomorrow

    Nicéephore de Montréal
    May 8 07:40 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcatel-Lucent: The Way Back To $4.50 Is Wide Open [View article]
    I am reading throught Andreas & TSB

    You look to see ALU ...... DEAD by 1-2 years from now.

    It is not that a company with accounting Négative net Worth on the balance sheet is necessarally bankrupt or going to Be.

    Best examples are F ( Ford ) , GM , RAD ( Rite Aid ) , AXL , NAV et even LO

    They had/still in the négative shareholders equity ( Deficiency ) in that matter
    but still in business & keeping their NYSE listing.

    If the service/product sold to peoples/client is lousy , then they will go
    Kaputsky !!

    Those companies have excellent rapport to their clientele ( Maybe GM ( not ??!! ) , but all the others seem to deliver OK or be the best.

    What I am reading about ALU ( products/services they sell ) is positive.

    A company that produce such achievement , will ultimetaly be profitable &
    the stock will go up.

    AND IF THEY DONT reach DECENT profitability , well it is just gonna be
    Snap up by competitors !!

    Niceephore de Montréal
    May 7 06:31 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcatel-Lucent: The Way Back To $4.50 Is Wide Open [View article]
    I am aware of this ( Missing estimâtes )

    But it is a french compagnie ( with a very hostile unionized environment )
    That ' s why they are slow to show some profits

    But if the compagnie want to survive , it have to thrive up ( Product & Financials ) " The french peoples are intelligents , they will not let ALU to die , same story for ALstom energy division.

    Those industries have to be viable to world compete , it will

    Look at Spain , Greece , Italy. Those country were ( 2 yrs ago ) set for dying ( Even Ireland ) and now , today , it is a different story.

    OK maybe I Can be wrong , but story about their technological achiements , it look they are thriving throught. Ia m sure the Financial will make the rest of it ....... we can see a new Stock Marvell here .... !!

    Nicéphore de Montréal
    May 7 09:56 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alcatel-Lucent: The Way Back To $4.50 Is Wide Open [View article]
    If this company produced anything at Revenues + And somekind of Operating profit , it will go like the charts of RAD.

    That company had ( & still ) an awful balance sheet , I bought some long calls on RAD last year when the stock was in the $ 1.00 + & dump it when it was at $3
    An other foolish recommendation of J Cramer ( who' d says , the stock cannot go
    any further up ) ' i dumped my trades at that time on J Cramer' rec' s.

    Now RAD is playing at $ 7.75-$ 8 , I will not be surprised to see it by $ 10 end fall / december 2014.

    Same turnaround story here. I am holders of LEAPS ( expiry on 0115 ) stk $3.83 , I am confident by end summer, Fall this ALU can reach $ 4.95 to $ 5.75
    by that time.

    Nicéphore de Montréal
    May 6 06:21 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Micron: Time To Buy More Shares [View article]
    user123456789

    Playing with options IS NOT GAMBLING !!

    GAMBLING is to play with a machine rigged by the house ( namely Mohawh casino or Loto Québec or NY casino authorités ) or playinne cards with the blackjack table
    where the cards are mixed & controlled by the managing dealer. If you are good enough ( to count cards) , the security guard escorted you out of the place . It is a place where you have to B a looser to be OK.

    Playing/trading with stocks/options or Financial instruments is not rigged
    ( whatever Mike Lewis thinking !! ) . It is strongly regulated by the CBOE,
    SEC & OIC ..... and if you make your moves right , you scorring profits

    You have a chance to beat the house & you are not gonna get boust out
    by security agent !!
    Actually , the pension system is based on the tradings of Stocks & al

    Complaints, complaints , complaints , you will be happy to collect your pension in 10 to 30 yrs from now , thanks to Money managers that had work the so call '' silly '' stock market that some LOUSY gauchistes de salon
    love to hit.

    To be compared to a looser NO WAY !!
    To Let mutual fund/ETF manager charging 2-3 % of my portfolio/year
    & doing schnitty lousy returns...... NO WAY !!

    Do you think the Warren Buffett & Ron Baron of this world are addicted
    gamblers ??

    Les Gauchistes de Salon , I know some . They are the ones who preache
    Left this , equality there , injustice voila , but in the reality , he have
    $ 2.5 M in net equity & ask very expensive rent ( capitalist market, thank
    you for him ) on his condos & 6 units appartments. I dont think he' d maid this money running a taxi in Saint Lambert for 20+ years

    I will not named him or even who he is related to , but He is the prime
    example of Hypocrite of this world.

    I prefer guys like Kevin O' Leary ( Mr Wonderful ) who is preaching for
    $$$ , You will do anything ( legal & Legit ) to be weathty.

    As My previous post on this article , it look that I was right to predict
    MU to go higher.I used DMI & CCI to predict MU share price.
    Using Trading calls options , is a good tool to make money .

    Maybe User 123456789 should read Pete & Jon Najarian's book before
    calling options traders '' Gamblers ''. Maybe , he will discover new ways
    & informatives stratégies that can be constructives to his portfolio ??!!

    Avoid frequenting Gauchistes de Salon , they are not your friend &
    they hide their secret agenda !!

    Nicéephore de Montréal
    Apr 24 12:04 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Titan Machinery Is A Perfect Short [View article]
    Andy 1 million ,

    yes ,I agree with U , the fundammentals of this compagnie is not marvellous , it is obvious that it have to be short now !!

    Nicéephore de MTL
    Apr 13 06:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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