Rubenov

Rubenov
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  • Should You Short Volatility Here?  [View article]
    Low volatility post 2011 had a lot to do with QEs and 0 interest rates. With those gone we're back to more normalized volatility; XIV won't experience those massive gains again until there's a more accommodative Fed monetary policy, which would only happen after a recession or some kind of meltdown (which would bring another large loss to XIV).
    Feb 13, 2016. 04:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why OPEC Will Cut Production  [View article]
    When oil went from $40 to $60 briefly last year, rig counts and US production went right back up with it. I hope they've learned a lesson but I'm not too sure.
    Feb 13, 2016. 02:47 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why OPEC Will Cut Production  [View article]
    @Dave Shafer:

    You call a 75% beatdown in 18 months "orderly"?
    Feb 13, 2016. 02:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Linn Energy Died  [View article]
    Agreed, except with the oil market being 'irrational' part. Given the supply/demand imbalance along with no desire to address it by OPEC, I would say it's rational.
    Feb 13, 2016. 08:52 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Short interest in energy sector hits highest in more than a decade  [View news story]
    26 was the high, 10 the low. In today's dollars, that's about a drop from $58 to $22.

    This current meltdown has already surpassed 1986 going by percentage, by quite a bit as well. Back then, oversupply was much more than today's oversupply. The difference is that back then the Saudis said they were going to make things right, whereas nowadays they are watching the world burn.
    Feb 11, 2016. 07:52 PM | 16 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The End Game Comes To Many In The Oil Patch  [View article]
    Drill Baby Drill. And Drill, they did.
    Feb 10, 2016. 12:04 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Wall Street Breakfast: Yellen Testimony Takes Center Stage  [View article]
    You did not mention that there are two candidates on the democratic side, and 8 on the republican side. Of course republicans will have their votes split more. Let's see how it looks like with a less crowded field.
    Feb 10, 2016. 09:02 AM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Oil Inventories Are Even Higher Than You Think  [View article]
    "I would counsel investors to hold off on USO, or any other oil-related investment, until inventories are in fact below historical norms."

    By the time this happens oil won't be a bargain anymore.
    Feb 8, 2016. 05:40 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is oil in the $20s an inevitable reality?  [View news story]
    Wow, those are likely the riskiest bonds out there.
    Jan 7, 2016. 07:37 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Iran’s return to oil market could sink crude prices $5-$15, IMF says  [View news story]
    Short until we're all paid to use gas
    Dec 22, 2015. 07:23 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. oil rig count falls by another 10 in third straight drop  [View news story]
    As long as OPEC keeps dumping their oil stocks in the US, this doesn't matter. US reducing production while OPEC maintains course and speed... silly us that keep buying from them.
    Dec 4, 2015. 02:10 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Oil dives below $40 as OPEC holds production steady  [View news story]
    $40 is looking very tenuous right now... wouldn't be surprised if it breaks forcefully to the downside
    Dec 4, 2015. 10:24 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. weekly oil rig count drops by just one  [View news story]
    Been dropping steadily for a while now. Can't see the rig count go much lower than this, except if oil goes to the mid-30s.
    Oct 23, 2015. 02:10 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Crude Oil Is Seeing Improving Fundamentals  [View article]
    It's a trap.
    Sep 8, 2015. 09:52 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed's Lacker makes case for rate hike this month  [View news story]
    Do it!
    Sep 4, 2015. 08:43 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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