buyitcheaper

Options as a 'Gold'en Opportunity

Interesting conversation- where the out of the ground cost of mining an ounce of gold is now $600, there is effectively a floor under us. I'd see $1200 as reasonable in the next 2-3 years. As such, the relative risk reward is compelling for a reasonable portion of a portfolio.

Options as a 'Gold'en Opportunity

I agree I'd go long with the GLD and short the GDX before the converse... it's a "real" asset vs. a paper equity ultimately.

The Bedrock Case for the Return of the Gold Bull

Over a typical interest rate cycle, gold will retain its purchasing power and is convertible to legal tender. so that is specious. And anyone who would buy GLD or any other equity without a stop, deserves to lose their money. So again, somewhat specious.

Inflation doesn't rise 14% in amonth, it rises 0.09% a month, every month, for two or three years, and then you look back and that same suit that cost you $500, now costs you $950. That $1.29 dozen eggs costs $3.99 (CLM a recommendation there.)

Also, you will see beef inflating significantly this fall as the early culling due to grains incredible rise forced beef producers to push their product to market much earlier which will result in a scarcity of supply this fall. This will make support the higher overall inflation numbers which is ultimately why gold will start tracking back up toward the end of the year absent a SERIOUS intervention by the Fed, i..e a real interest rate increase of 1% point or more.

Does anyone have Volcker's number?