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  • The Strongest ETF Sectors [View article]
    Yes, what IS the "model", specifically? Move to the sectors that are up the most on a monthly or quarterly basis?
    Jul 12 10:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • "Bonds are acting like the bond market is manipulated ... because it is," says Jeff Gundlach, as QE is far more of a put on Treasury prices (TLT -2.3%) than it is on stocks. A salve to bond bulls on a day when the yield on the 30-year is 14 bps higher, Gundlach says yields won't go on a sustained rise anytime soon because QE is going nowhere. A favorite of the bond bears, TBT +4.6%[View news story]
    You may be a year too early on TBT. It will only go down until rates go up.
    May 4 01:54 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Strategies For A Rising Rate Environment: Inverse Bond Funds [View article]
    I am approaching retirement in 14 - 21 months. I light of low interest rates, the conventional strategy of shifting more from equities to bonds doesn't make much sense. I am considering IGS and TBF as alternatives to bond funds, but I am wondering about the pros and cons of doing so now (maybe too soon) vs. waiting until interest rates are clearly rising or unemployment is down to 6.5% (maybe too "late"). I don't feel that I have to buy in at the bottom and I can live with no increases in the share prices or even declines for a while. Is there some interest rate or unemployment rate signal to watch for as a good time to get into IGS and/or TBF? Or, assuming that the fed will try to keep interest rates low through the end of 2014, would it make sense to get into inverse ETF's about 12-15 months from now?
    Apr 1 02:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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