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    <title>dieuwer's Comments</title>
    <description>dieuwer's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/user/105533/comments</link>
    <item>
      <title>Brazil: Hit By Social Mood Downturn</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1509842/comments?source=feed#comment-20158692</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">20158692</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[ALERT: Brazilian Real just crashed by 265 pips!]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Jun 2013 15:58:58 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[ALERT: Brazilian Real just crashed by 265 pips!]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Fitch Notices Credit Bubble In China</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1509962/comments?source=feed#comment-20156282</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">20156282</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[China DID have a stock market boom, just like Japan: from 2005 to 2008 the Shanghai Composite rose from 1,000 to just over 5,000!<br/>And considering the disastrous one-child policy, China is in grave danger to follow Japan in its path.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Jun 2013 15:13:22 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[China DID have a stock market boom, just like Japan: from 2005 to 2008 the Shanghai Composite rose from 1,000 to just over 5,000!<br/>And considering the disastrous one-child policy, China is in grave danger to follow Japan in its path.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Brazil: Hit By Social Mood Downturn</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1509842/comments?source=feed#comment-20154452</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">20154452</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Staginflation would imply a moribund economy and soaring commodity prices. I don't see the latter happening.<br/><br/>The problem with the BRICs is the hot money flow that drove their currencies up, and now down again. If the BRICs had been clever, they had used the good times to develop a strong bond market to absorb those flows. Prices would have remained stable with a moderately growing economy.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Jun 2013 14:17:13 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Staginflation would imply a moribund economy and soaring commodity prices. I don't see the latter happening.<br/><br/>The problem with the BRICs is the hot money flow that drove their currencies up, and now down again. If the BRICs had been clever, they had used the good times to develop a strong bond market to absorb those flows. Prices would have remained stable with a moderately growing economy.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Short Sellers Flee Questcor On Sentiment Reversal</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1507782/comments?source=feed#comment-20094842</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">20094842</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[There is no bearish scenario for QCOR. The short thesis is solely based on spreading lies and hoping the stock drops so they can make a quick buck.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 18 Jun 2013 09:40:03 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[There is no bearish scenario for QCOR. The short thesis is solely based on spreading lies and hoping the stock drops so they can make a quick buck.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Spain - Hope Springs Eternal</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1503132/comments?source=feed#comment-20001152</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">20001152</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Spanish Debt-to-GDP skyrockets to an all-time high of 90%, more-than-doubling over the last five years!<br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/121hrgX'>http://bit.ly/121hrgX</a>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Jun 2013 18:54:17 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Spanish Debt-to-GDP skyrockets to an all-time high of 90%, more-than-doubling over the last five years!<br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/121hrgX'>http://bit.ly/121hrgX</a>]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is the short thesis on Herbalife (HLF +4.8%) really "in tatters," as D.A. Davidson's Tim Ramey suggests (I, II)? The analyst debates the point head-to-head with Herb Greenberg on CNBC. Greenberg notes that the YTD rally in the shares in not evidence of anything other than the stock going up, suggesting that the move has little to do with underlying claims about the company's business model. Ramey counters by reminding Greenberg that analysts get paid to make calls on where stocks are going and so far this year, HLF is up 48%.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1085822?source=feed#comment-19993462</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19993462</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[There is no short thesis. There only is a &quot;let's spread lies and make a buck when the stock drops&quot; thesis.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Jun 2013 15:19:25 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[There is no short thesis. There only is a &quot;let's spread lies and make a buck when the stock drops&quot; thesis.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why Is Gold Draining Out Of COMEX Warehouses?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1502552/comments?source=feed#comment-19990122</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19990122</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The thing with the COMEX is that they do not have to deliver physical gold. They can declare force majeur and settle in cash, or just default.<br/><br/>I never understood why anyone wants to do business with the COMEX. Retail investors should buy GLD if they want a paper vehicle, or go to the local (online) coin shop to buy bullion.<br/>Large and institutional investors can buy GLD if they want a paper vehicle, or contact a bullion bank to have physical delivered to their own vault.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Jun 2013 14:07:36 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The thing with the COMEX is that they do not have to deliver physical gold. They can declare force majeur and settle in cash, or just default.<br/><br/>I never understood why anyone wants to do business with the COMEX. Retail investors should buy GLD if they want a paper vehicle, or go to the local (online) coin shop to buy bullion.<br/>Large and institutional investors can buy GLD if they want a paper vehicle, or contact a bullion bank to have physical delivered to their own vault.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why Is Gold Draining Out Of COMEX Warehouses?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1502552/comments?source=feed#comment-19988202</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19988202</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[SUPPOSEDLY, China has been buying 1200 tonnes of gold. Delivered you say? Did you see in fact a line of trucks delivering physical gold, a.k.a. bullion to Shanghai warehouses?<br/>I think you didn't.<br/><br/>As long as &quot;buying&quot; means &quot;placing an order and getting a receipt&quot; they are merely shuffling book entries.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Jun 2013 13:32:08 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[SUPPOSEDLY, China has been buying 1200 tonnes of gold. Delivered you say? Did you see in fact a line of trucks delivering physical gold, a.k.a. bullion to Shanghai warehouses?<br/>I think you didn't.<br/><br/>As long as &quot;buying&quot; means &quot;placing an order and getting a receipt&quot; they are merely shuffling book entries.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Case Of The Bid-Button Happy BlackBerry Short Seller</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1501352/comments?source=feed#comment-19962042</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19962042</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The chart shows a massive continuation triangle. If it breaks the apex, the stock will surge. My target is $40 by the end of this year.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 13 Jun 2013 20:56:22 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The chart shows a massive continuation triangle. If it breaks the apex, the stock will surge. My target is $40 by the end of this year.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Japan's 'Reflation' Policy - Upsetting Global Market Balance?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1500032/comments?source=feed#comment-19950252</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19950252</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;The second thing worth pointing out is that the last time the yen suffered a bout of extended weakness, namely after its 1995 spike high, it very likely helped to trigger the Asian crisis (incidentally, China also devalued the yuan sharply in 1994). A number of Asian countries had pegged their currencies to the US dollar, and so the Greenspan boom was replicated in them. However, as the yen weakened and their currencies remained firm, their current account and trade deficits widened ever further, requiring more and more inflows of money from abroad. When foreign investors became suspicious of the sustainability of the boom, they fled and the Asian crisis was the result.<br/><br/>Something along similar lines may well happen again, and note that this time it is China stands out as the country with one of the strongest currencies in Asia.&quot;<br/><br/>Many Asian countries do not have current account and trade deficits today.<br/>However, South Africa and some of the BRIC countries do.<br/>Thus, I would expect a South Africa or Brazil crises before one from Asia. In fact, the Rand looks like it is going to plunge through 10 and could trade as low as 14 to the dollar this year.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 13 Jun 2013 15:26:15 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;The second thing worth pointing out is that the last time the yen suffered a bout of extended weakness, namely after its 1995 spike high, it very likely helped to trigger the Asian crisis (incidentally, China also devalued the yuan sharply in 1994). A number of Asian countries had pegged their currencies to the US dollar, and so the Greenspan boom was replicated in them. However, as the yen weakened and their currencies remained firm, their current account and trade deficits widened ever further, requiring more and more inflows of money from abroad. When foreign investors became suspicious of the sustainability of the boom, they fled and the Asian crisis was the result.<br/><br/>Something along similar lines may well happen again, and note that this time it is China stands out as the country with one of the strongest currencies in Asia.&quot;<br/><br/>Many Asian countries do not have current account and trade deficits today.<br/>However, South Africa and some of the BRIC countries do.<br/>Thus, I would expect a South Africa or Brazil crises before one from Asia. In fact, the Rand looks like it is going to plunge through 10 and could trade as low as 14 to the dollar this year.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Annaly: Waiting To Buy Still The Best Course</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1498332/comments?source=feed#comment-19936022</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19936022</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;This steepening of the yield curve in a rising rate environment (a so-called&quot;bear-steepener) hurts mortgage backed securities (MBS) and hence mREITs given the interest rate risk in their portfolios. &quot;<br/><br/>It does not hurt floating-rate MBS. <br/>If mREITs are pro-active and switch their portfolios from fixed-rate to floating rate, a rising rate environment should not be a problem.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 13 Jun 2013 11:42:07 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;This steepening of the yield curve in a rising rate environment (a so-called&quot;bear-steepener) hurts mortgage backed securities (MBS) and hence mREITs given the interest rate risk in their portfolios. &quot;<br/><br/>It does not hurt floating-rate MBS. <br/>If mREITs are pro-active and switch their portfolios from fixed-rate to floating rate, a rising rate environment should not be a problem.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Armour Residentail (ARR +4.8%) surges after holding its monthly distribution steady at $0.07/share. Capstead Mortgage (CMO +2%) gains as well after maintaining its quarterly payout at $0.31. The mREIT sector (REM +1.5%). Some other names moving: Invesco (IVR +2.1%), Two Harbors (TWO +1%), Hatteras (HTS +1.6%), Anworth (ANH +1.8%), Western Asset (WMC +3.4%), PennyMac (PMT +2.1%).</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1082602?source=feed#comment-19935522</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19935522</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[NLY has been a target for bashing as well.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 13 Jun 2013 11:35:35 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[NLY has been a target for bashing as well.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Annaly Capital Management: Bears Don't Get It</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1492332/comments?source=feed#comment-19847312</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19847312</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Wall of Worry much.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 11 Jun 2013 12:25:25 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Wall of Worry much.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Annaly Capital Management And The Spread: One Widening Reason Not To Sell</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1493952/comments?source=feed#comment-19847262</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19847262</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Bull markets climb a Wall of Worry. Looks like the wall the mREITs are climbing is as 'worrying' as can be.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 11 Jun 2013 12:24:23 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Bull markets climb a Wall of Worry. Looks like the wall the mREITs are climbing is as 'worrying' as can be.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Intel Breaks ARM, Sends Shares Down 20%</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1488382/comments?source=feed#comment-19727322</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19727322</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[What do you think of AMD? ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 07 Jun 2013 15:41:27 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[What do you think of AMD? ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>'Panic' In Emerging Market Currencies</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1485351/comments?source=feed#comment-19694641</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19694641</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Problem with the Rand is the very weak South African economy, their deficits, and the possibility of a wage-price spiral in local currency leading to severe inflation and perhaps hyperinflation.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 06 Jun 2013 17:13:23 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Problem with the Rand is the very weak South African economy, their deficits, and the possibility of a wage-price spiral in local currency leading to severe inflation and perhaps hyperinflation.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Far Oversold, Dividend Payer PennyMac Mortgage Is A Buy</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1480361/comments?source=feed#comment-19645851</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19645851</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://nyti.ms/19JcuRr'>http://nyti.ms/19JcuRr</a>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 05 Jun 2013 14:56:08 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://nyti.ms/19JcuRr'>http://nyti.ms/19JcuRr</a>]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why Isn't Japan Rallying Anymore?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1482871/comments?source=feed#comment-19645531</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19645531</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I guess the Abe-Bubble has burst (already).]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 05 Jun 2013 14:48:56 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I guess the Abe-Bubble has burst (already).]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Achillion: Is This Stock For Traders Or For Long Term Investors?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1477761/comments?source=feed#comment-19570061</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19570061</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Target 2016: $80~$100.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 03 Jun 2013 16:53:09 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Target 2016: $80~$100.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why Don't mREIT Dividends Go Up When Rates Go Up?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1469461/comments?source=feed#comment-19488451</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19488451</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I believe MFA is mostly variable rate MBS, but it's dividend and stock price still fell as you described.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 18:53:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I believe MFA is mostly variable rate MBS, but it's dividend and stock price still fell as you described.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why Don't mREIT Dividends Go Up When Rates Go Up?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1469461/comments?source=feed#comment-19488201</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19488201</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[How about variable-rate long-term MBS?]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 18:45:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[How about variable-rate long-term MBS?]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Avoid These 5 Dividend Monsters</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1474121/comments?source=feed#comment-19487911</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19487911</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Never mind. PVD has been bought by Metlife.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 18:33:52 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Never mind. PVD has been bought by Metlife.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is This The Start Of A New Bull Market?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1474001/comments?source=feed#comment-19487901</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19487901</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Remember Reinhart and Rogoff and their &quot;Excel error&quot;? Maybe Shiller made one too...lol]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 18:33:08 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Remember Reinhart and Rogoff and their &quot;Excel error&quot;? Maybe Shiller made one too...lol]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Team Alpha Portfolio Update: Taking Profits, Hedging, And Redeploying Some Cash</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1472301/comments?source=feed#comment-19480631</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19480631</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Probably a buy on a breakout above $32. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 15:40:51 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Probably a buy on a breakout above $32. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Avoid These 5 Dividend Monsters</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1474121/comments?source=feed#comment-19480021</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19480021</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[What do you think of PVD?]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 15:30:32 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[What do you think of PVD?]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is This The Start Of A New Bull Market?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1474001/comments?source=feed#comment-19479091</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19479091</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[What's the alternative? Cash? Europe? Gold? Bonds? Commodities?<br/>Maybe it just is a case of the best looking house in a bad neighborhood.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 15:07:45 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[What's the alternative? Cash? Europe? Gold? Bonds? Commodities?<br/>Maybe it just is a case of the best looking house in a bad neighborhood.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is This The Start Of A New Bull Market?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1474001/comments?source=feed#comment-19478801</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19478801</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I am not convinced the Shiller's Cyclically-Adjusted Price/Earnings ratio is a good measure. In fact, it is probably outdated as the S&amp;P500 today includes many more growth stocks than in the past.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 15:00:27 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I am not convinced the Shiller's Cyclically-Adjusted Price/Earnings ratio is a good measure. In fact, it is probably outdated as the S&amp;P500 today includes many more growth stocks than in the past.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is This The Start Of A New Bull Market?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1474001/comments?source=feed#comment-19478271</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19478271</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Could you please  include data from the period 1950-1970? At the start of those two decades, rates were very low as well AND there was a secular bull market stocks.<br/><br/>Also note from your graphs that TURNING POINTS in the direction of yields correspond with BOTTOMS of the stock market, while MIDWAY POINTS in the direction of yields correspond to TOPS of the stock market.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 14:48:31 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Could you please  include data from the period 1950-1970? At the start of those two decades, rates were very low as well AND there was a secular bull market stocks.<br/><br/>Also note from your graphs that TURNING POINTS in the direction of yields correspond with BOTTOMS of the stock market, while MIDWAY POINTS in the direction of yields correspond to TOPS of the stock market.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Should We Allow Kyle Bass To Bet On The Economic Implosion Of Japan?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1473301/comments?source=feed#comment-19467651</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19467651</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;Capitalism isn't supposed to work that way&quot;.<br/><br/>Says you.<br/><br/>Let me rephrase: <br/><br/>&quot;I think that capitalism is not supposed to work that way, but I might be wrong&quot;.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 11:12:39 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;Capitalism isn't supposed to work that way&quot;.<br/><br/>Says you.<br/><br/>Let me rephrase: <br/><br/>&quot;I think that capitalism is not supposed to work that way, but I might be wrong&quot;.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Young And Restless Portfolio: Aggressive Growth Of Over 40% In 5 Months</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1473141/comments?source=feed#comment-19467011</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">19467011</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Where did the $21,600 cash come from? So, in reality your portfolio went up 15% (from $80,000 to $91,800).]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 May 2013 11:02:28 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Where did the $21,600 cash come from? So, in reality your portfolio went up 15% (from $80,000 to $91,800).]]>
      </description>
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