AlexR

Investment Ideas for an Inflationary Environment

I don't buy this "knife edge" analogy. For the longest time, Fed maneuvers have more closely resembled skateboarding on the half-pipe. Economic policy will always overshoot and then revert. As soon as the Fed smells inflation, rates will start going up again, and liquidity removed from the markets, guaranteed.

The Risk Premium Puzzle, or Dividend Investing for Math Nerds

On Nov 25 12:53 PM Owen wrote:
> Apple, Dell and Berkshire are all highly valuable companies, despite
> the zero value the dividend model implies for them.

I think that's the whole point we all have been missing. In "normal" and low-priced markets, no company would have the "audacity" of offering zero dividends. That only happens during secular mega-bubbles. Once all the glamor of stock ownership is gone, stocks will fall until their dividend yield is meaningful. And without the cheap financing from the credit bubble, no market force will be powerful enough to arbitrage the dividend away.