Is Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation? [View article]
I predict that in reality JAPAN will lead the US and UK into hyper-inflation. The pent-up inflation from two decades of failed reflation efforts will finally break out with unstoppable force. Currency "stabilization" efforts will cause some of the inflation to leak out of Japan into other countries, a side-effect that will be welcomed by central banks around the globe.
The Risk Premium Puzzle, or Dividend Investing for Math Nerds [View article]
On Nov 25 12:53 PM Owen wrote: > Apple, Dell and Berkshire are all highly valuable companies, despite > the zero value the dividend model implies for them.
I think that's the whole point we all have been missing. In "normal" and low-priced markets, no company would have the "audacity" of offering zero dividends. That only happens during secular mega-bubbles. Once all the glamor of stock ownership is gone, stocks will fall until their dividend yield is meaningful. And without the cheap financing from the credit bubble, no market force will be powerful enough to arbitrage the dividend away.
Is Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation? [View article]
The Risk Premium Puzzle, or Dividend Investing for Math Nerds [View article]
> Apple, Dell and Berkshire are all highly valuable companies, despite
> the zero value the dividend model implies for them.
I think that's the whole point we all have been missing. In "normal" and low-priced markets, no company would have the "audacity" of offering zero dividends. That only happens during secular mega-bubbles. Once all the glamor of stock ownership is gone, stocks will fall until their dividend yield is meaningful. And without the cheap financing from the credit bubble, no market force will be powerful enough to arbitrage the dividend away.