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  • Update: Kindle Fire Phone And Kindle Voyage Developments [View article]
    Gary, please let us know your eps estimate for Q4 and the estimated multiple for the stock. The stock is currently at a 900 multiple to earnings. If earnings double the multiple would be 450 and the stock could still fall in half and enjoy a ridiculous multiple. Gary, please let us know your thoughts for the targeted EPS , SHARE PRICE , COINCIDING MULTIPLE. This will help us all decide our positions and profit trading AMZN.
    Oct 1 10:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Should Apple Investors Be Worried By Recent Developments? [View article]
    AAPL ... technical trade update after today's bs action

    1. DAILY 13 SMA stands at 101.03 ... AAPL hung about this price for a while and then went lower. Four days now below this level.

    2. DAILY 26 SMA stands at 100.80 ... AAPL again closed below this level today. Four days now below this level.

    3. WEEKLY 13 SMA stands at 98.55 ... AAPL hit this sma last week and this week. This is the first time the stock has hit the WEEKLY 13 SMA in consecutive weeks since APRIL.

    4. WEEKLY 13 RSI stands at 68.47 ... AAPL WEEKLY RSI is in its third week below the 70 RSI after enjoying a print above this level for 16 of the previous 17 weeks. This is a sign of a break in trend for the RSI

    From this, I believe the stock is in for a correction of at least $10.

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 30 05:53 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Share Price To NAV Discounts Widen To Increase Attractiveness Of MLP Closed-End Funds [View article]
    FUN is using debt to pay its yield imo. Take a look at the balance sheet. This payout will most likely be cut in the coming months.
    Sep 30 09:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Should Apple Investors Be Worried By Recent Developments? [View article]
    Agree, I'm short AAPL now and added on Friday at a lower price than my first entry as that move changes nothing on the bearish look of the WEEKLY chart.

    Clearly, from the INSIDER SELLING as per the MSN insider selling report...a lot of shares were unloaded on the latest "good news" mantra that saw the stock whip around like made in a huge range one day. That day was Sept 9 and insiders unloaded shares in the $101 area. This could be a stong indicator that those with more knowledge than I feel that $101 is beyond a fair price to get for the stock.

    Find out this coming week if the weekly chart sees continuation as we see that $98 once again found support. If it is hit again will it support again?

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 28 01:12 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Climate Pall Over Vail Resorts [View article]
    The fruits of our labour.. see how this all turns out.. so far so good. Take a look at the weekly chart of ACQ.TO .. this was one I was short and took profits a bit early. How these crazy run ups all end.

    MTN PUTS are super cheap considering the possibilities. Run this by your computer just for laughs. GPRO is around the same price point as MTN right now.

    Based on Paying the MID-POINT of the BID/ASK:

    APRIL 2015 GPRO $75 PUTS $2,035 per contract
    APRIL 2015 MTN $75 PUTS $250 per contract

    Quotes for above put contracts checked at 10pm MST 09/26/2014

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 27 12:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update: Vail Resorts Q4 2014 Earnings [View article]
    WENT short ahead of earnings. So many things can tip this stock over at this ridiculous level. 6 days red in a row and more down days to come over the next few months.

    Here are some of the dangers:
    1. snowfall failure
    2. economy hurting middle america
    3. interest rates on thier debt requirements rising
    4. price correction to a normal eps multiple (currently around 100x)
    and should be trading at 30x at most.

    Don't forget risks with investing in a stock like this. It is at nosebleed levels!

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 26 04:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Should Apple Investors Be Worried By Recent Developments? [View article]
    The tester than applies more force to try to bend a Samsung phone and it passes the test no problem. My LG phone would need a hammer to break it. This is a flaw in design. Party on... if a 4% stock drop suddenly makes a stock trading at all time highs ... super cheap .. then everyone has become drunk on the stock koolaid. Look at the earnings price action. $96 to $103 range as big institutions cut back positions on this stock that has no risk priced in. AAPL has stayed in this range since. Don't expect anymore tasty gains from AAPL shares. The next move is likely lower as it is way ahead of itself.

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 26 03:00 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Real Reason Stocks Tanked [View article]
    TELLING people why a market declines, right or wrong, provides little for anyone to profit from. I trade the market to make a profit and what most would like is what will happen next and not why something just happened. I got short AAPL at $102.15 as soon as I started hearing of the problems with the phone. This did not tell me what would happen next. However, the recent price action in AAPL indicated a decline more likely than a rise above $103.

    AAPL support is $98 and when/if this fails we should see $94. This is my target and if they break with ease I will wait for the weekly chart to oversell.

    MTN is trading at nosebleed levels and I just got short this ahead of earnings. If snowfall is light this year expect this pricey stock to fall hard.

    Bottom line. Look at the weekly chart of any index and you will see that we can fall a lot more before the markets fully correct into oversold territory. However, they do not need to become oversold ever... so seller beware.

    I'm 100% positioned short for the past few months... good luck trading!
    Sep 25 06:33 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The SPDR Gold Trust ETF: Will It Bounce Back? [View article]
    I think IT WILL have a bounce here. The WEEKLY chart is more oversold than it has been in recent years. I BOUGHT GLD CALLS today and look for GLD to hold 117 ... the rally today was excused by the fact that Home sales were up a lot more than expected? If this is so great .. why are MTH and RYL shares dead? More bs as per always. GOLD may fall from here but is more likely to have short term bounce until the weekly chart shakes off this oversold level.

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 24 05:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Climate Pall Over Vail Resorts [View article]
    Good ARTICLE ... I bought some APR2015 puts on MTN today. 1. the ridiculous run up in the chart 2. climate change 3. economic uncertainty

    Hopefully you did not take a full position when you wrote this or you were able to punch out and re-enter at these levels. This looks like a gift to anyone bearish on a stock. 10year high .. on what? All the risk is gone because they had one good quarter?

    Thanks for taking the time to write this. I will look to add to my position should this MTN go even higher.
    Sep 24 12:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update: Vail Resorts Acquisition [View article]
    You can purchase PUTS out to April2015 ... Or, you can short the stock. That stock spasm MTN just had is not sustainable. This one will come back to earth. Back to $75 at minimum. A lot of risk holding this one... balance sheet, macro economic, climate ... too much risk not to protect yourself with some cheap options out to April2015 ... better yet, just don't own this one.

    Good luck trading.
    Sep 24 12:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Amazon: An American Horror Story - A Fictional Account Of What Does Not Exist [View article]
    You are all about the Past ... "HAD YOU" etc. ... but , to make money in the market you must forget the past , look at your holdings now, decide where to position in the future

    MTN PUTS,, just bought out to APR2015
    SPLK AMZN TSLA FUN BKS FOX and DAVE puts long term too
    BBBY AZO puts short term ... BBBY kick me in the pants and AZO gave me a nice gain.

    Not many stocks to buy at these levels so I'll stick with these positions and see how well this market holds up as the days get shorter.

    Good luck trading.
    Sep 24 12:16 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • I Am A Dividend Growth Investor. I Want Dividends, Growth, And Dividend Growth [View article]
    I think you love dividends and income. You should buy FUN ... big yield! Who cares that the balance sheet is crappy. Who cares that many companies are now paying the dividend with debt ... like FUN ... hey, it's time to have FUN and when this all collapses you can hope they don't cut the dividend as you will be underwater on most stocks if you are dipping your toes in the market at these insane levels. BUY FUN and enjoy the big yield brought to you by our latest sponsor NOT SUSTAINABLE dividends and more.
    Sep 24 12:10 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The Collapse Of AutoZone Justified By Its Earnings Report? [View article]
    IS THE PRICE PLUNGE JUSTIFIED? ... only if you feel the stock was overpriced to begin with... this is me. I bought PUTS ahead of the earnings and same for BBBY which reports this week. I expect another 6% drop in AZO in the next 2 weeks. IF the company matched expectations those big players would take advantage of the incoming buyers and the stock would still fall. The aggressive debt to buyback program is what is holding this stock up as this boosts EPS.

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 22 06:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Short Famous Dave's With 33-48% Downside [View article]
    I AGREE and I took short at $32 awaiting a print in the teens... however, something keeps supporting this one at $25 and this is testing my patience. Once $25 breaks I feel this could fall quickly.

    AMAZINGLY it still trades above the 52 WEEK SMA which now stands at $24 and is still in an uptrend. This thing may just flutter about for months more.

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 19 10:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment