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maximumvalues

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  • Update: Cedar Fair Earnings - Again Reduces Guidance [View article]
    SOOOOOOON ... they will be forced to cut the payout some as they are paying this with DEBT and not free cash flow from operations. I have the DEC $45 PUTS. The balance sheet of this company is a mess. The weekly stock chart is also a mess as the stock trades below the 52 WEEK SMA standing at $48. Once the 52 WEEK SMA loses support the average buyer for the year is under water ... look out below.

    GET SHORT FUN is my opinion. I'm short FUN DAVE BBRY AZO TSLA AMZN BKS and soon looking to go long GLD. I see no reason to be be buying stocks at these nose bleed levels.
    Sep 19 10:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Amazon: An American Horror Story - A Fictional Account Of What Does Not Exist [View article]
    My Father in Law had Cancer of the LUNG and lived another 10 years... so all people with Cancer of the LUNG will live another 10 years. AMZN balance sheet is a mess and sales of their dream products suck compared to AAPL ... this article is comical in a way. I'm going to keep trading PUTS in AMZN and I'll hit a big score like I just did not too long ago ...

    AMZN trades below the 52 WEEK SMA and that is simply bearish unless a stock is young and moving up through this average. AMZN WEEKLY chart is a mess and despite all the wiggles and squiggles .. the likely next big move is ... lower.
    Sep 19 10:32 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bed Bath & Beyond Looks Interesting Ahead Of Earnings [View article]
    I BOUGHT PUTS ... AHEAD of earnings

    1. WEEKLY chart looks weak. January/February support $64 .. now resistance. WEEKLY slow stochastic 13 3 is now crossing and rolling over at its previous peak. RSI 13 is under 61. Stock is trading below the 52week SMA which is the average price paid in the past year... so most owners from the past year are underwater and any small decline will most likely lead to some panic sell.

    2. PIR earnings are in the same club... and they missed

    OF course, this is not a perfect science. However, probability based on above is that the stock price heads lower.

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 19 10:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Earnings Preview: Bed Bath & Beyond Q2 2014 [View article]
    I BOUGHT PUTS ... AHEAD OF EARNINGS

    1. WEEKLY chart looks weak. January/February support $64 .. now resistance. WEEKLY slow stochastic 13 3 is now crossing and rolling over at its previous peak. RSI 13 is under 61. Stock is trading below the 52week SMA which is the average price paid in the past year... so most owners from the past year are underwater and any small decline will most likely lead to some panic sell.

    2. PIR earnings are in the same club... and they missed

    OF course, this is not a perfect science. However, probability based on above is that the stock price heads lower.

    Good luck trading!
    Sep 19 10:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Do Mixed Expectations Imply For AutoZone? [View article]
    I USED THE WEEKLY chart action of AZO to decide a position ahead of earnings. I purchased PUT OPTIONS for next month expecting a 10% drop in the stock price over the next few weeks. Look at the weekly AZO chart using these parameters.

    RSI(13) ... THIS is 13 periods or 3months of action. Sub 61 is bearish for me. AZO finished the week at 50.79. 51 rating is ok if the stock is in an uptrend and this could result in a big move higher. AZO has been trading sideways for months.

    SLOW STOCHASTICS (13,3) .. YOU can see that this is crossing and rolling over. A sign of weakness.

    MOVING AVERAGES ... (13, 26, 52) USING the simple moving averages you can see something called convergance. The stock has no momentum upward any more. The 13 and 26 SMA on the WEEKLY are basically the same price. RECENT LOW is $505 and the 52SMA coincides with this price. IF the stock declines and does not hold this level I expect a very swift move lower.

    GOOD LUCK TRADING!
    Sep 19 04:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The $1 Billion CFO Quiz And Other Developments [View article]
    This is why our family sold our house and now rent a small duplex. We asked ourselves .. would we pay $290K for the home we live in? The answer was way no. We paid $140K and the house is falling apart but the market said we could see close to $300K for it... so we SOLD. Same attitude with stocks will make you a winner. If you sold AMZN at or near the peak you could put that money to work almost anywhere in the market for a better return since. NEVER marry a financial asset.
    Sep 16 09:16 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The $1 Billion CFO Quiz And Other Developments [View article]
    I bought AMZN puts last week for $340 and sadly sold them on the 9th for $950 a contract... the buyer has since almost doubled their trade$ .... I agree with most of what Paulo says. However, he is not suggesting the timing in which any trader should short or buy puts. The timing is up to you and this is the trick to making money trading.

    I'm a lower risk shorter term trader. Paulo has helped many to pick the side to focus on trading this stock. The short side has been the place to be since January. You can see by the weekly chart of AMZN that the RSI was extremely overbought early in the year. The strength RSI of this stock using a 13period or 3month period per the weekly chart is in bearish territory. Look for shorts.

    Put up a weekly chart of AMZN with the 52 week moving average and you will see the average price paid for this equity over the past year is $345 and we are now below this level. The stock recently hit this level and this is when I purchased puts that expire this week. This is a key level. I have since dished this position as the stock moved much quicker than I expected.

    Good luck trading . Timing is everything.
    Sep 16 02:37 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 5 Storms Headed Towards Tesla's Ship [View article]
    IF the GIGA factory happens it will be the demise of TSLA which can't turn a profit now. This factory will require all the world's resources to run and then this will push the cost of electric cars up .. not down... plus, we have oil falling as economies are slowing. Perfect timing for TSLA to push harder.. just in time for the next recession. Business cycles are 7 to 10 years apart. This one is ending now as we hit 7yrs in a weak cycle.

    Stay long TSLA and look out below.
    Sep 12 05:29 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 5 Storms Headed Towards Tesla's Ship [View article]
    I SHORT TERM TRADE TSLA PUTS... I SOLD on a break of $278 expecting an hour or so bounce. One other thing ... OIL softening and economic growth stalling will hurt them too. Finally, this ridiculous pipe dream giga factory with money they don't have and a payback time dream if it should happen.

    Currently have no position... but will execute PUT position again early Monday based on the 1 hour and 15min chart stochastics coming off oversold and the 5min chart becoming overbought.

    Good luck trading.
    Sep 12 04:58 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Shorts Continue To Flee [View article]
    Correct, he bailed it out and then needed a bail out himself when he tapped out of cash. Now where and how is he going to take a non profit company into a factory that won't have enough natural resources fed to it to produce its capacity? He is dumb enough to lend this cash out? Maybe BAC that just lent $2 Billion to AMZN.
    Sep 11 10:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Shorts Continue To Flee [View article]
    Well, Elon's little brother just cashed in selling TSLA shares. ... he knows it is time to take profits. All the bullish calls for $400 plus are for Elon and friends to cash out. Where is TSLA getting the $5 to $6 billion to erect this battery factory capable of using all the existing materials on earth to create batteries? Laws of supply of materials and demand clearly point to higher battery prices if he indeed uses the production of this dream factory.

    This money losing company will get another huge line of credit like AMZN just did? I'm sorry, but TSLA is not the only game on earth and should they indeed be a success one day they will be stripping the world of the materials they need and run into trouble that way.

    I'm short TSLA ... once the scared shorts are gone the rally fuel will be too.
    Sep 11 10:35 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Short Famous Dave's With 33-48% Downside [View article]
    PULL UP THE WEEKLY CHART OF ... DAVE

    PUT UP THE SMA ... 13SMA AND 26SMA WEEKLY

    these averages represent a 3mos and 6mos moving average. They are a necktie bearish move and price just hit this level.

    I'm short DAVE from $32 and added when it hit the 13 26sma WEEKLY average cross and looking for a price in the teens.

    Good luck trading.
    Sep 11 12:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla Motors: Can Market-Makers' Price Expectations Help You Profit In This Stock? [View article]
    WHERE I LIVE ... they burn gas to produce electricity so how on earth can electric be cheaper unless you have hydro power... and hydro power only works when the drought ends. Giving away fuel to your customers is not something other car companies do because it is a quick way to become broke. I'm short TSLA. I trade it on the short side and took short again today. WEEKLY topping candle and retrace completed.
    Sep 9 05:21 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Amazon Acquired Twitch: The Larger Picture [View article]
    GREAT MOVE AMZN ... my 13yo loves Twitch... she has no money... no one else in our house cares to follow... she won't spend a dime with any advertiser ... great investment! AMZN is the best company in the world at making bad decisions and no profits and catering to its customers that make it no profits.
    Aug 28 06:44 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Amazon: It Gets Weirder And Weirder [View article]
    PAULO, a lot of large investors in AMZN from many years ago now want out and no one can sell large blocks of shares on bad news. So, simply recycle good news and slowly bail so that the price is little affected. Doesn't help us who are wagering on a price decline. This is the market we are given and must do our best to play along to profit. Below $338 is bearish as this is the 61,8% retrace from the earnings move lower. However, hovering about at this level for months won't help puts ... lol.

    Good luck trading!
    Aug 26 08:32 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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