Retired English teacher, counselor for college admission, and administrator in independent secondary schools in the United States, Egypt, and Taiwan is especially interested in 1) corporations whose work and products have important impact in the United States and abroad; and 2) etfs and stocks that seem likely to benefit from improving international economic conditions.
Vance Harwood is a private investor and consultant whose interests include macroeconomic forecasting, investor psychology, and volatility as an asset class. His investment activities include trading index ETFs, volatility related ETPs and their associated options. He blogs at sixfigureinvesting.com—mostly about volatility, but occasionally about options strategies, bond funds, and general market topics. He tracks the USA based volatility ETPs and has simulated the performance of most of them back to the initiation of VIX Futures in 2004.
A couple things Vance believes:
The past does not predict the future (see Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”). This invalidates much technical analysis–although I think the psychology of stock movements is very important
Past behavior of assets relative to each other (e.g., bonds vs stocks) does not guarantee future behavior
Markets fall a lot faster than they go up, typically at least 2X
“Buy and hold” ensures that you will experience the worst days as well as the best days of the market
Investing in individual stocks carries many more unknowns than aggregates like index ETFs (e.g., earnings surprises, analyst’s ratings)
Mike Scrive: Louis Pasteur famously said that “Fortune favors the prepared mind”.
How true! Although I originally intend to be fitted with a degree in electrical engineering, I had, as they say, ‘a moment of clarity’ and realized that mathematics was my ‘forte’. I was awarded a B.A. from the City College of the City University of New York in June of 1981.
Getting through college on one’s own, in New York City no less, presents a multitude of challenges. Thus, I cobbled together a multitude of jobs: selling children’s books, commercial real estate research, recruiting nurses for a temp nursing service, and the inevitable and occasional ‘final exam tutoring help’.
The recession of 1981 side tracked me but fortunately I was prepared. It just the beginning of the digital revolution, and opportunities were abundant for (ironically) electronics technicians. That’s where the money was and I was well prepared to learn. Hence, it was back to the books.
The skills I learned as a technician eventually lead me to the early internet (bulletin board system) and the early on line brokers and have since made a lifetime study of macroeconomics, investment vehicles and trading. In particular, equity and index options, theories and strategies. I did it the ‘hard way’, with my own capital my own confidence.
So here I am today, happily (early) retired with a lot of really good and useful information to share. I hope I may convey my life lessons, as well as the accumulate knowledge I’ve picked up along the way.
Author of Quantitative Investing. Designer of the Global Household Index and the systemic risk score MTS10 (click here to learn more). PhD in computer science, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries. Investor focused on market-neutral and low risk portfolios, looking for profitable combinations of value and quality factors. Also interested in short volatility trading and excess returns in closed-end-funds.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.
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I am a retired college faculty in Philosophy, with specializations in Ethics, Socio-political Theory and Rational Choice/Decision Theory. My teaching focus was on Business Ethics, Medical Ethics and Logic. After retirement I freelanced as a Grant Writer/Fund Raising Consultant. I have taught at Washington University in St. Louis, the University of Missouri - St. Louis, and St. Louis Community College.
I believe that potential investments ought to be evaluated through an examination of their fundamentals - i.e., fundamental analysis. Those investments can then be analyzed with respect to whatever criteria an investor may wish to bring to bear, but at least the investments they make will be more or less fundamentally sound. For me, one of the more important features of an investment (after fundamentals are satisfied) is dividend yield. I expect my investment to earn money for me.
I also believe that the day of the "traditional" investment strategy based on one's age/proximity to retirement is over. To be sure, one wants to put one's money in places where it is more secure, but in the day and age of internet-based investment services, a variety of ETFs, and reasonably safe investment vehicles, there is no need for retired people to stick the bulk of their assets in relatively unprofitable treasury notes and bonds.
Steve Percoco founded Lark Research as an independent provider of investment research in 1991. He has been the publisher of the Income Builder newsletter since 2001. He is a generalist, but focuses on several key sectors, including housing (and the homebuilders), real estate, utilities (electric, water and gas), telecommunications, energy and technology. Lark Research also offers institutional research services, including company and sector reports and market commentary.
Steve is a member of the New York Society of Security Analysts. From 1994-2004, he chaired NYSSA’s Committee for Improved Corporate Reporting. From 1996-2002, he served on NYSSA’s Board of Directors. He received the Society’s Volunteer-of-the-Year award in 1995, 1996, 2001 and 2002.
Prior to founding Lark Research, Steve was Vice President in the High Yield Corporate Bond Research Department at Salomon Brothers (1987-1990) and investment officer at Bank of Boston (1983-1987).
From 1994 to 2010, Steve chaired the Springfield NJ Investor Education Group of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII). He served as a member of the FASB’s User Advisory Council from 2004 to 2006.
Steve is a graduate of Bowdoin College and Harvard Business School.
I am a retired professor, a retired investment adviser, and currently a private investor and full-time tennis pro. I bought my first stock in a custodial account in 1958. I am a student of history, particularly military and economic/market history. The intellectual passions of my retirement years are markets, mathematics, and quantum theory. I like to travel. I served in Vietnam.
I'm a well-informed retail investor and post on SA in order to expose my thought process to critical examination and comment from readers. It makes me a better investor.
I'm particularly proud of bullish macro articles posted in 2009 and later, in which I presented ideas that encouraged me to invest very profitably in a rising market. I also did articles on individual stocks, many of which contained insights not available elsewhere. Finally, I wrote a number of thoughtful articles critical of financialism and the lack of ethics on Wall Street.
I do not post for compensation, as I am concerned that editorial policy encourages and pays a premium for articles that invite the reader to speculate on the short term movements of microcaps, penny stocks, and controversial issues. The best way for me to monetize my insights is to invest accordingly.
As a retail investor, I don't give investment advice. I write about what I'm investing in, and the thought process involved in decision making and stock selection. Hopefully some of what I write is of benefit to others, by sharing my experience as I interpret it and helping them improve their investment thinking and process.
I worked in New York's financial sector for almost exactly 20 years, mostly as a healthcare analyst (drugs, biotech, and medical devices), but also as an assistant research director, portfolio manager, and options strategist. My last formal job had me in charge of Value Line's premium priced "Select" and "Special Situation" products. The former highlights the company's top stock pick of each month and the latter introduces relatively small companies. I quit that job in June, 2009 for reasons that a dozen or so confidentiality agreements preclude my discussing. In September of that year, I launched 3DimensionalResearch.com (3DR), which allows me to continue doing what I was doing previously.
I am a strong believer in maximum transparency, in both personal and business relationships. So, in that vein:
A google search will show that my former employer sued 3DR and me in November, 2009 for copyright infringement, hot news misappropriations, and the proverbial kitchen sink. Although a search won't show this, unfortunately, I represented myself in a federal courtroom in December and, in accordance with the judge's instructions, the case was settled in a matter of minutes.
Additional Disclosure: 3DR has been a financial failure thus far, in terms of getting subscribers. I detest marketing and few people want to pay for information anymore, least of all from a no-name website. That said, the vast majority of my recommendations have done very well and my personal portfolio is doing extraordinarily well (65.5% in 2013) since I tend to follow most of my own recommendations, the "event driven special situations," in particular.
Over 15 years as an IT Consultant for a wide range of clients including Dell, Ingram Micro, BankAm South and FedEx Data Center. Specializes in technology, contrarian plays and global macro. My articles have appeared on Morningstar.com, IHIQS, Seeking Alpha, Yahoo! Finance, MarketWatch, EIN Newsdesk, Google Finance, Motley Fool, MSN Money, and AOL Daily Finance.
The Jaded Consumer (pseudonym) has master's and doctorate degrees in fields related to health policy and policy analysis, and routinely assists small businesses operating in fields characterized by complex or uncertain regulation. TJC believes that an investment produces enduring returns when backed by compelling reasons that profitability and competitive position can be maintained over time in the face of competitors eager to succeed in the same markets. TJC views real-world markets as ordinary human institutions subject to common mistakes and fears, and is eager to invest in companies whose businesses appear to be widely misunderstood in ways that discount their apparent future performance.
Class President of the National University of Singapore MBA Program and former FX trader at CIBC (NYSE: CM). Sean holds a Bachelor of Commerce Degree with a Major in Finance and Minor in Economics from the Sauder School of Business at the University of British Columbia.