Seeking Alpha

taylz

taylz
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View taylz's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • The VIX started showing signs of life this week, a development that historically doesn’t bode well for stocks. The so-called fear index closed above 20 Thursday for the first time this year before pulling back a bit yesterday. The odds of a market rally over a three-, six- and 12-month time horizon are at their lowest when the VIX is 20-25, according to Citigroup data that goes back to 1990. [View news story]
    Key Words, "Not always a leading Indicator"....but thanks for the heads up. Worth keeping an eye on..
    Jun 23, 2013. 04:23 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The VIX started showing signs of life this week, a development that historically doesn’t bode well for stocks. The so-called fear index closed above 20 Thursday for the first time this year before pulling back a bit yesterday. The odds of a market rally over a three-, six- and 12-month time horizon are at their lowest when the VIX is 20-25, according to Citigroup data that goes back to 1990. [View news story]
    The rug hasn't been pulled here. The Fed's in and committed until the data improves(and we have a long way to go to hit those targets). We held the 100 day on friday, which is good. If bonds stablize and we get a decent(but not too good) number on the housing data, the bear trap could spring and cause a massive short covering rally and an instant push up to the 50 day...Somebody once said, "Be greedy when others are fearful"...
    Jun 23, 2013. 04:18 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Bears Will Have A Field Day In This Market, Bulls Will Find It Tough [View article]
    What about valuations? Most of the commentary I've read and seen seems to believe the S&P is fairly valued at 15-17 times earnings. I listened to Allen Greenspan in an interview talk about market irrationality. Here is a perfect case! The market knows nothings been taken off the table as of yet. Could this be a bear trap? A solid housing number on tuesday could equal a huge short covering rally. I'd be fearful the big money isn't going to play the contrarian!
    Jun 22, 2013. 02:16 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • More on the VIX below 15: A chart of the VIX going back to 1994 shows 2 lengthy periods in which it held below that level - both were accompanied by healthy returns for the S&P. The VIX today -1.5% to 14.63. [View news story]
    wish I could short that call!
    Aug 15, 2012. 10:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Volatility Players: Commence Nibbling [View article]
    Looks like we broke the downtrend(volatility).... like the markets getting fatigued=Opportunities to DT...OK, I get that the negative roll effect is hurting on a daily basis, but really, half of 1% daily is the cost of doing business here...
    Aug 14, 2012. 05:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • With the meme circulating that a sub-15 VIX is rare, not likely to last, and consequently bearish for stocks (I, II), Bespoke reminds that prior to 2007, sub-15 was closer to the norm. In one 3 year period - 1993 to 1995 - the VIX closed below 15 on 89% of all trading days. [View news story]
    Markets fatigued....Expect a pull back(nothing major) but S&P 1390(1385) is a certainty in the next few trading days...little bump on the VIX and little bump in the wallet
    Aug 14, 2012. 05:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Please Sir, May I Have Some Volatility? [View article]
    Do contracts that far out really affect performance? I thought futures contracts were only one month out?.....
    Aug 14, 2012. 01:56 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Volatility Players: Draghi Saves The Day, For Now [View article]
    We shall see!...might just be noise and smoke coming out of that bazooka mouth(Draghi)....Buying more time, kicking the can..."c'mon we've seen this before."------Trade in the morning Surf and Dive in the Afternoon..Aloha Players!!
    Jul 28, 2012. 02:11 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • So You Want To Trade Volatility: Understanding Contango [View article]
    Thanks again Josh...one of your best and something everyone trading volatility should know....Aloha!!
    Jul 28, 2012. 02:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Volatility Players: Time To Lock In Your Profits [View article]
    Yeah, that was a good call...I missed it today, exited on Friday not wanting to be committed over the weekend.....I'm thinking range trade the short term futures indexer....Aloha!
    Jul 23, 2012. 10:51 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why You Must Never Ever (Ever) Invest In A Leveraged ETN For Much Longer Than A Day [View article]
    Just want to thank you for this article....awesome analysis!!
    Jul 20, 2012. 02:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Volatility Players: It's Time To Buy [View article]
    Yeah, I'd say it's a little premature
    Jul 20, 2012. 02:15 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Volatility Players: No Man's Land [View article]
    What Volatility??....
    Jul 15, 2012. 12:14 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Will This VIX ETP Go To Zero? [View article]
    BUY IT and HOLD IT!!! chances of tvix going to zero? 1/1,987,654,321....
    Feb 20, 2012. 01:44 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
14 Comments
6 Likes