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    <title>Andresrue's Comments</title>
    <description>Andresrue's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/user/1075557/comments</link>
    <item>
      <title>Longwei Petroleum: The Most Brazen China-Based U.S. Listed RTO To Date</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1092561/comments?source=feed#comment-13605571</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13605571</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The company responds to GEO's allegations with its own security videos, taken on same dates, which directly contradic GEO's videos:<br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/URU211'>http://bit.ly/URU211</a><br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/NTCRvp'>http://bit.ly/NTCRvp</a><br/><br/>If the company's videos are true, then it appears that the fraudsters and crooks are the short sellers, not the company. In any event, this episode warrants an SEC investigation, because someone perpetrated a fraud here, it is just not clear who - the company or the short sellers.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 11 Jan 2013 16:28:17 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The company responds to GEO's allegations with its own security videos, taken on same dates, which directly contradic GEO's videos:<br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/URU211'>http://bit.ly/URU211</a><br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/NTCRvp'>http://bit.ly/NTCRvp</a><br/><br/>If the company's videos are true, then it appears that the fraudsters and crooks are the short sellers, not the company. In any event, this episode warrants an SEC investigation, because someone perpetrated a fraud here, it is just not clear who - the company or the short sellers.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Longwei Petroleum: The Most Brazen China-Based U.S. Listed RTO To Date</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1092561/comments?source=feed#comment-13305541</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13305541</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I was also wondering about that.  Why cameras on the truck zone, but not the rail area?  And were the cameras on the truck zone correctly positioned?  The short sellers claim they were, and emphasize that in their article, but it may not be so clear cut.  <br/><br/>In any event, the company needs to provide a meaty response, and fast.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 04 Jan 2013 12:03:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I was also wondering about that.  Why cameras on the truck zone, but not the rail area?  And were the cameras on the truck zone correctly positioned?  The short sellers claim they were, and emphasize that in their article, but it may not be so clear cut.  <br/><br/>In any event, the company needs to provide a meaty response, and fast.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Longwei Petroleum: The Most Brazen China-Based U.S. Listed RTO To Date</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1092561/comments?source=feed#comment-13285521</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13285521</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Also, I found GEO's attempts to associate LPH with PUDA unconvincing.  It's a &quot;friend of a friend of a friend&quot;-type argument.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 03 Jan 2013 20:35:56 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Also, I found GEO's attempts to associate LPH with PUDA unconvincing.  It's a &quot;friend of a friend of a friend&quot;-type argument.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Longwei Petroleum: The Most Brazen China-Based U.S. Listed RTO To Date</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1092561/comments?source=feed#comment-13285461</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13285461</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[What I do not understand is... if the company is a complete fraud, why does it pay Chinese authorities so much in value added taxes?  Photocopies of these tax receipts are contained in the company's website:<br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/RvBrsy'>http://bit.ly/RvBrsy</a><br/><br/>Are these receipts fake?  Because these are value added taxes, you can calculate the company's revenues by working backwards.  In fact, the auditor confirmed the tax information, and reconciled it with the company's financials.  <br/><br/>I don't think GEO satisfactorily addresses the tax issue.  Either the receipts are fake, or they are not.  I doubt a company that is a fraud would pay taxes over phantom revenue. <br/><br/>Something fishy here, I'm just not sure who to believe... the short sellers or the company.  In any event, tomorrow we'll have a press release from the company, which should shed light on the situation.  It should be interesting.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 03 Jan 2013 20:32:11 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[What I do not understand is... if the company is a complete fraud, why does it pay Chinese authorities so much in value added taxes?  Photocopies of these tax receipts are contained in the company's website:<br/><br/><a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://bit.ly/RvBrsy'>http://bit.ly/RvBrsy</a><br/><br/>Are these receipts fake?  Because these are value added taxes, you can calculate the company's revenues by working backwards.  In fact, the auditor confirmed the tax information, and reconciled it with the company's financials.  <br/><br/>I don't think GEO satisfactorily addresses the tax issue.  Either the receipts are fake, or they are not.  I doubt a company that is a fraud would pay taxes over phantom revenue. <br/><br/>Something fishy here, I'm just not sure who to believe... the short sellers or the company.  In any event, tomorrow we'll have a press release from the company, which should shed light on the situation.  It should be interesting.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Fed owns about half or even a majority of Treasurys across several different maturities along the yield curve. If we toss in holdings by China, Japan, and banks borrowing for free from the Fed, are there any real-money investors still holding U.S. government debt?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/545611?source=feed#comment-9621711</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9621711</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Fed intervention in the long end of the T-bond curve has created a situation where these instruments are dangerous for investors.  These instruments offer little yield, and are by Fed design exorbitantly expensive right now.  Because of convexity, even a small upward movement in interest rates can cause the price of these long duration bonds to crater.  Extremely high risk (i.e., no so-called &quot;safe haven&quot;!), and no yield.  Buyers beware.   ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Sep 2012 11:49:05 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Fed intervention in the long end of the T-bond curve has created a situation where these instruments are dangerous for investors.  These instruments offer little yield, and are by Fed design exorbitantly expensive right now.  Because of convexity, even a small upward movement in interest rates can cause the price of these long duration bonds to crater.  Extremely high risk (i.e., no so-called &quot;safe haven&quot;!), and no yield.  Buyers beware.   ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Petroleum &amp; Resources Commits To 6% Annual Dividend: Is It A Buy?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/870851/comments?source=feed#comment-9542661</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9542661</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The discount at which PEO trades is not justified by its fees, which are relatively low. Perhaps a slight discount may be warranted by built-in capital gains? These gains are a non-event provided that the fund does not liquidate its positions. <br/><br/>In any event, closed end funds that commit themselves to fixed distributions frequently trade at a premium. The dividend yield on PEO's positions will probably be insufficient to fund PEO's own dividend. Some positions may need to be liquidated, which could result in adverse tax consequences to PEO's investors given the likely built-in gains and pass through tax treatment to investors.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 17 Sep 2012 12:10:47 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The discount at which PEO trades is not justified by its fees, which are relatively low. Perhaps a slight discount may be warranted by built-in capital gains? These gains are a non-event provided that the fund does not liquidate its positions. <br/><br/>In any event, closed end funds that commit themselves to fixed distributions frequently trade at a premium. The dividend yield on PEO's positions will probably be insufficient to fund PEO's own dividend. Some positions may need to be liquidated, which could result in adverse tax consequences to PEO's investors given the likely built-in gains and pass through tax treatment to investors.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>QE3: Ineffective Parachute for Fiscal Cliff</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/868761/comments?source=feed#comment-9475221</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9475221</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[So &quot;fiscal cliff&quot; is the new &quot;Greece&quot;?  Market prognostication by sloganeering is a bore.  Equities are still cheap relative to bonds.  Once that relationship changes, I'll start getting concerned.   ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Sep 2012 19:48:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[So &quot;fiscal cliff&quot; is the new &quot;Greece&quot;?  Market prognostication by sloganeering is a bore.  Equities are still cheap relative to bonds.  Once that relationship changes, I'll start getting concerned.   ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>There's No Longer A Bernanke Put</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/867361/comments?source=feed#comment-9474391</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9474391</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Ok, so irrational negativity will now be replaced with irrational exuberance.  Fine.  At least irrational exuberance is fun. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Sep 2012 19:12:24 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Ok, so irrational negativity will now be replaced with irrational exuberance.  Fine.  At least irrational exuberance is fun. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>More on Consumer Sentiment: Importantly, according to the report authors, the large gain was evenly split between the first and second halves of the month, suggesting continued gains into September. Panic hits the bond pits thanks to a combination of a Fed adding stimulus to an economy maybe not needing it. The long bond yield +13 bps to 3.06%. TLT -2.6%.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/539551?source=feed#comment-9454971</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9454971</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Panic should have hit the bond pits a long time ago. The panic of - gee, I guess I just realized that I did not know what I was doing. Bond traders who paid yields of 1.38%, 1.47%, 1.63%, or even the current yield of 1.85% for the 10-yr bond apparently can't do math. The long T-bonds are a deteriorating asset at recent yields. Anyone with a spreadsheet can play around with the coupons, repayment schedule, and govt inflation data and Fed targets, and confirm the size of the built-in loss. You can also play around with sensitivity to upward movements in interest rates, to confirm the sharp pain as long-term interest rates creep up. Long bonds are the idiot's version of greed: lots of risk for no yield.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 14 Sep 2012 12:09:56 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Panic should have hit the bond pits a long time ago. The panic of - gee, I guess I just realized that I did not know what I was doing. Bond traders who paid yields of 1.38%, 1.47%, 1.63%, or even the current yield of 1.85% for the 10-yr bond apparently can't do math. The long T-bonds are a deteriorating asset at recent yields. Anyone with a spreadsheet can play around with the coupons, repayment schedule, and govt inflation data and Fed targets, and confirm the size of the built-in loss. You can also play around with sensitivity to upward movements in interest rates, to confirm the sharp pain as long-term interest rates creep up. Long bonds are the idiot's version of greed: lots of risk for no yield.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monster Energy - The Momo Train Is Letting Off Passengers, Time To Short</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/865821/comments?source=feed#comment-9423951</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9423951</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Yeah, yeah.  Nice analysis.  Blah, blah.  I still don't understand why anyone would short ANYTHING in this market environment, given that the Fed keeps pumping huge amounts of liquidity into the system.  You can easily get your teeth knocked into the back of your mouth, if you short.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 17:31:18 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Yeah, yeah.  Nice analysis.  Blah, blah.  I still don't understand why anyone would short ANYTHING in this market environment, given that the Fed keeps pumping huge amounts of liquidity into the system.  You can easily get your teeth knocked into the back of your mouth, if you short.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Seriously, Can Hewlett-Packard Be This Cheap?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/854761/comments?source=feed#comment-9227591</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9227591</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The technology sector is all about intellectual property.  Research and development costs are not capitalized.  They are expensed when incurred.  Therefore, book value does a poor job of measuring the company's true &quot;capital&quot;.  There are other issues. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 08 Sep 2012 14:19:08 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The technology sector is all about intellectual property.  Research and development costs are not capitalized.  They are expensed when incurred.  Therefore, book value does a poor job of measuring the company's true &quot;capital&quot;.  There are other issues. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Seriously, Can Hewlett-Packard Be This Cheap?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/854761/comments?source=feed#comment-9226821</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9226821</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I disagree.  In the technology industry, book value means very little.  It's almost a meaningless metric in terms of valuing the cash flow potential of a company.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 08 Sep 2012 13:44:08 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I disagree.  In the technology industry, book value means very little.  It's almost a meaningless metric in terms of valuing the cash flow potential of a company.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Is The Outlook For YPF Growing More Positive? (Part 1)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/854711/comments?source=feed#comment-9221471</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9221471</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The obvious question - what about political risk? This is a company that was recently expropriated. Down the road, will minority shareholders be treated fairly? Is there a prospect of dividends resuming at some point in the future, or are would-be minority shareholders buying the proverbial share in somebody else's swimming pool? Given the recent expropriation, is it realistic to assume that the company will be able to secure partnerships to develop its properties, other than perhaps at a huge discount? This may be one of those instances where the share of the company is cheap for good reason.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 08 Sep 2012 10:49:03 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The obvious question - what about political risk? This is a company that was recently expropriated. Down the road, will minority shareholders be treated fairly? Is there a prospect of dividends resuming at some point in the future, or are would-be minority shareholders buying the proverbial share in somebody else's swimming pool? Given the recent expropriation, is it realistic to assume that the company will be able to secure partnerships to develop its properties, other than perhaps at a huge discount? This may be one of those instances where the share of the company is cheap for good reason.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Market Euphoria Continues As We Get Ready To Jump Off The Fiscal Cliff</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/852831/comments?source=feed#comment-9210791</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9210791</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[After &quot;Greece&quot;, the &quot;fiscal cliff&quot; is the new short-sellers' boogeyman. Meanwhile, 10-yr T-bonds stand at a yield of 1.66%, well below inflation. If there is a &quot;fiscal cliff&quot;, long T-bonds would be massively sold off, and where would the dollars go? Other asset classes, including equities. <br/><br/>If the Fed wants you to go long equities, you should go long. End of story. You don't want to end up a statistic - just another short seller who loses his shirt fighting the Fed.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 07 Sep 2012 20:12:06 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[After &quot;Greece&quot;, the &quot;fiscal cliff&quot; is the new short-sellers' boogeyman. Meanwhile, 10-yr T-bonds stand at a yield of 1.66%, well below inflation. If there is a &quot;fiscal cliff&quot;, long T-bonds would be massively sold off, and where would the dollars go? Other asset classes, including equities. <br/><br/>If the Fed wants you to go long equities, you should go long. End of story. You don't want to end up a statistic - just another short seller who loses his shirt fighting the Fed.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Market Euphoria Continues As We Get Ready To Jump Off The Fiscal Cliff</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/852831/comments?source=feed#comment-9210621</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9210621</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[After Greece, the so-called &quot;fiscal cliff&quot; is the next short-seller's boogeyman.  10-yr T-bond yiels are at 1.67% right now, well below inflation.  If there's a fear of the so-called &quot;fiscal cliff&quot;, long T-bonds would be massively sold off, causing yields to spike.  Where would the money go?  Other asset classes, including equities.  End of story.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 07 Sep 2012 20:04:18 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[After Greece, the so-called &quot;fiscal cliff&quot; is the next short-seller's boogeyman.  10-yr T-bond yiels are at 1.67% right now, well below inflation.  If there's a fear of the so-called &quot;fiscal cliff&quot;, long T-bonds would be massively sold off, causing yields to spike.  Where would the money go?  Other asset classes, including equities.  End of story.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nokia (NOK -8.1%) dives as it unveils the Lumia 920 at an NYC event. As expected, the Windows Phone 8-based 920 has a 4.5&quot; display, supports wireless charging, and (perhaps critically) contains a PureView camera less impressive than the one in the Symbian-based 808. Also included is an augmented reality app called City Lens. Will this be enough for Nokia to gain significant ground against the iPhone 5 and Samsung's high-end lineup? (live blog)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/522771?source=feed#comment-9116941</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9116941</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Market reaction is exaggerated.  The new Lumias appear to be innovative, quality products.  Who knows how well these Lumias will sell.  Wouldn't be surprised if they're a hit, or at least sell decently.  The drop off today is however so steep and out of whack, driven by massive short selling and speculative players, that one can pretty much safely assume that the stock will see a big bounce tomorrow as shorts scramble to profit/cover and in doing so trip over each other. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 05 Sep 2012 15:08:37 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Market reaction is exaggerated.  The new Lumias appear to be innovative, quality products.  Who knows how well these Lumias will sell.  Wouldn't be surprised if they're a hit, or at least sell decently.  The drop off today is however so steep and out of whack, driven by massive short selling and speculative players, that one can pretty much safely assume that the stock will see a big bounce tomorrow as shorts scramble to profit/cover and in doing so trip over each other. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Zagg: 10 Times Earnings And The Shorts Are Sill Not Covering</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/843511/comments?source=feed#comment-9056731</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9056731</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I am not in love with many of the companies described in your article. LULU has been in a short squeezed for years, to be sure; however, it has also been ridiculously overpriced for years. However, in this environment I would not short any of these names, including LULU. There is too much liquidity in the system, compliments of the Fed, and these names could shoot up in no time and really hit you hard in the teeth if you are short. Not because the companies deserve their lofty valuations, but just because there is too much cash out there.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 03 Sep 2012 16:54:29 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I am not in love with many of the companies described in your article. LULU has been in a short squeezed for years, to be sure; however, it has also been ridiculously overpriced for years. However, in this environment I would not short any of these names, including LULU. There is too much liquidity in the system, compliments of the Fed, and these names could shoot up in no time and really hit you hard in the teeth if you are short. Not because the companies deserve their lofty valuations, but just because there is too much cash out there.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Technician Louise Yamada urges clients to keep stops tight as she watches equities with growing unease. &quot;You could call it a vacuum rally,&quot; she says, characterized by short-covering, low volume, and deteriorating new highs vs. new lows. The lagging Transport Index (IYT) has her attention as well, but following this indicator kept some out of the big summer rally.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/519081?source=feed#comment-9056241</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9056241</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Technical analysis is a form of withcraft, in my humble opinion.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 03 Sep 2012 16:31:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Technical analysis is a form of withcraft, in my humble opinion.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>QE3: No Details, But The Market Likes It Anyway</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/841701/comments?source=feed#comment-9033921</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9033921</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[If you have a short position, you need to close it out right now.  Folks with short positions are out in the open sitting on a fishing boat with a hurricane just around the corner.  Even if the CEO of the company is a crook or the company sells ice to the eskimos, you cannot beat Hurricane Bernanke.  Bring your ship to shore, and close out your shorts.  This is a public safety announcement.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 02 Sep 2012 19:21:43 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[If you have a short position, you need to close it out right now.  Folks with short positions are out in the open sitting on a fishing boat with a hurricane just around the corner.  Even if the CEO of the company is a crook or the company sells ice to the eskimos, you cannot beat Hurricane Bernanke.  Bring your ship to shore, and close out your shorts.  This is a public safety announcement.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>ECB Meeting: What To Expect And How To Position</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/841331/comments?source=feed#comment-9010441</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9010441</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Southern euro countries are not insolvent, with the notable exception perhaps of Greece.  If you however charged the US govt the same interest rate on its debt that panicky investors require from Spain or Italy, it would be inches away from insolvent (unless of course Bernanke, with a magic wand, decided to monetize its debt).    ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 01 Sep 2012 12:56:41 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Southern euro countries are not insolvent, with the notable exception perhaps of Greece.  If you however charged the US govt the same interest rate on its debt that panicky investors require from Spain or Italy, it would be inches away from insolvent (unless of course Bernanke, with a magic wand, decided to monetize its debt).    ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bernanke Doubles Down On Fed Put</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/840541/comments?source=feed#comment-9010101</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9010101</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Just a reminder that no matter how skilled you may think you are as a short seller, you should never bet against the guy with the bigger guns: The Fed. You may think that the stock of a particular company is overpriced, but if you discount the company's cash flows at an interest rate of 0% is it really so overpriced? The Fed is telling you to go long, so by jiminy you should go long.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 01 Sep 2012 12:38:07 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Just a reminder that no matter how skilled you may think you are as a short seller, you should never bet against the guy with the bigger guns: The Fed. You may think that the stock of a particular company is overpriced, but if you discount the company's cash flows at an interest rate of 0% is it really so overpriced? The Fed is telling you to go long, so by jiminy you should go long.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>ECB Meeting: What To Expect And How To Position</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/841331/comments?source=feed#comment-9008151</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">9008151</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The moves against the German bunds will be brutal as the ECB plan materializes. German bunds are grotesquely overpriced, with tiny yields, and some recent auctions have seen negative nominal yields. When a bond hits a zero yield, you pretty much know that the run up in prices is over.  I mean, how could it not be?   The herds of panic-stricken euro currency investors have nowhere to go, and will be pushed back into risky assets or periphery debt.  A muscular ECB response will just turn what would be a gradual process into a stampede in reverse.  I would steer clear from Geman debt (particularly long bonds) at this stage.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 01 Sep 2012 11:13:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The moves against the German bunds will be brutal as the ECB plan materializes. German bunds are grotesquely overpriced, with tiny yields, and some recent auctions have seen negative nominal yields. When a bond hits a zero yield, you pretty much know that the run up in prices is over.  I mean, how could it not be?   The herds of panic-stricken euro currency investors have nowhere to go, and will be pushed back into risky assets or periphery debt.  A muscular ECB response will just turn what would be a gradual process into a stampede in reverse.  I would steer clear from Geman debt (particularly long bonds) at this stage.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bernanke Doubles Down On Fed Put</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/840541/comments?source=feed#comment-8986571</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8986571</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I wonder why people even bother to sell equities in this market.  Equities are shooting up, by Fed dictat.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 Aug 2012 13:35:02 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I wonder why people even bother to sell equities in this market.  Equities are shooting up, by Fed dictat.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Revamping Your Bond Portfolio With A Simple Momentum Strategy</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/840031/comments?source=feed#comment-8979971</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8979971</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Your momentum strategy is interesting, but I'd rather stay out of the long T-bond market altogether.  Fed policy is to intentionally make the long T-bonds as toxic as possible, to push folks into risky assets.  Long T-bonds are nose-bleedingly expensive right now, with yields well below inflation.  When the Fed exits the market for long T-bonds - or, worse, when it starts selling - watch out below.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 31 Aug 2012 10:53:50 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Your momentum strategy is interesting, but I'd rather stay out of the long T-bond market altogether.  Fed policy is to intentionally make the long T-bonds as toxic as possible, to push folks into risky assets.  Long T-bonds are nose-bleedingly expensive right now, with yields well below inflation.  When the Fed exits the market for long T-bonds - or, worse, when it starts selling - watch out below.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Long-Term Treasury ETFs: Ultimate QE3 Play?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/838761/comments?source=feed#comment-8964671</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8964671</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[No, hold your long T-bond for its entire term and there will be no capital gains. You will end up with a bunch of miserable, tiny coupons and a principal that on an inflation-adjusted basis is worth much less than your initial investment amount. Only if you can dump the stuff down the road on somebody else (maybe the Fed (?)) in a game of musical chairs will you see so-called &quot;capital gains&quot;. There is little fundamental value in long T-bonds at today's prices.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 30 Aug 2012 21:00:24 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[No, hold your long T-bond for its entire term and there will be no capital gains. You will end up with a bunch of miserable, tiny coupons and a principal that on an inflation-adjusted basis is worth much less than your initial investment amount. Only if you can dump the stuff down the road on somebody else (maybe the Fed (?)) in a game of musical chairs will you see so-called &quot;capital gains&quot;. There is little fundamental value in long T-bonds at today's prices.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Long-Term Treasury ETFs: Ultimate QE3 Play?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/838761/comments?source=feed#comment-8963911</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8963911</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Long-term T-bonds are a deteriorating asset, if inflation adjusted.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 30 Aug 2012 20:30:24 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Long-term T-bonds are a deteriorating asset, if inflation adjusted.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Vale: Don't Miss This Buy Opportunity</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/835361/comments?source=feed#comment-8900361</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8900361</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The answer is that prices may go lower, but they will eventually rebound.  Short-sighted investors are dumping Vale as if iron ore prices were permanently anchored at the bottom.  If you hold Vale for at least 1 yr you may see gains on your position in excess of 100% as the price of iron ore (and the price of the stock) reverts to norm.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 29 Aug 2012 11:55:09 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The answer is that prices may go lower, but they will eventually rebound.  Short-sighted investors are dumping Vale as if iron ore prices were permanently anchored at the bottom.  If you hold Vale for at least 1 yr you may see gains on your position in excess of 100% as the price of iron ore (and the price of the stock) reverts to norm.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Good Dividend Payer BreitBurn Energy Partners Brightens Its Future With New Oil Asset Purchases</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/828141/comments?source=feed#comment-8795061</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8795061</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[You got a tough audience, but nobody really questions the basic premise of your article - an investment in BBEP is a solid investment.  The company has good prospects and sound fundamentals.  You did not mention this, but BBEP has an unusually low P/E ratio for an MLP.     Profitability is of course a plus, although in the MLP context the investor unfortunately directly bears the pass-through tax consequences!]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 26 Aug 2012 14:49:20 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[You got a tough audience, but nobody really questions the basic premise of your article - an investment in BBEP is a solid investment.  The company has good prospects and sound fundamentals.  You did not mention this, but BBEP has an unusually low P/E ratio for an MLP.     Profitability is of course a plus, although in the MLP context the investor unfortunately directly bears the pass-through tax consequences!]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Good Dividend Payer BreitBurn Energy Partners Brightens Its Future With New Oil Asset Purchases</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/828141/comments?source=feed#comment-8794981</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8794981</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[One of the best entry points for BBEP and other dividend/distribution payers is right after the effective date of a dividend/distribution.  Many people dump the stock right after the dividend/distribution becomes effective.  The fall in the stock is typically more than the dividend/distribution amount.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 26 Aug 2012 14:41:42 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[One of the best entry points for BBEP and other dividend/distribution payers is right after the effective date of a dividend/distribution.  Many people dump the stock right after the dividend/distribution becomes effective.  The fall in the stock is typically more than the dividend/distribution amount.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Treasurys extend a big 2-day rally following the FOMC minutes, the 10-year yield off 8 basis points to 1.71% (after nearing 1.9% yesterday). If the Fed is truly going to launch QE3, bond bulls (and bears) should take note because past QE episodes have sent Treasury prices lower.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/501861?source=feed#comment-8679191</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">8679191</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[At these price levels, long-dated T-bonds are the idiot's version of greed - great risk for no reward.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 22 Aug 2012 23:04:47 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[At these price levels, long-dated T-bonds are the idiot's version of greed - great risk for no reward.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
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