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OneLongTrade

OneLongTrade
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  • OneLongTrade
    TLT huge, huge reversal today. SPX overstretched, full candle outside BB band, I'm expecting sharp reversal next week.
    9/7/12
    Reply (14)
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    • OneLongTrade: Anyways this is just my musings, the signs I'm seeing. Maybe Monday morning Benny says the magic letters QE3 and my hypothesis goes to hell.
      9/7/12
    • realornot: your coat looks slightly better today
      9/7/12
      • OneLongTrade
        First time we've had a negative divergence on SPX's RSI since April.. for what little that's worth.
        9/6/12
        Reply (29)
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        • Hillbilly Stock Star: If I knew for sure I would be in Las Vegas and you know the rest of the story! LoL!
          9/6/12
        • OneLongTrade: Very true. 1565 all time highs, that's the next long term target for the market. Maybe they get overexcited and push to 1600.
          9/6/12
          • OneLongTrade
            The rally on Friday did seem suspect to me. It's amazing how much buying was being done then just to dump some of it today at a loss...
            9/4/12
            Reply (2)
            • realornot: "suspect" You have enough evidence now so go arrest him! Btw, are you naming Ben??
              9/4/12
            • OneLongTrade: Suspect as in there was a rash of buying even after Ben was shy about saying the words QE3. There's no reason to buy. More reasons to sell.
              9/4/12
              • OneLongTrade
                TLT... amazing strength today.
                8/31/12
                Reply (1)
                • Hillbilly Stock Star: Lots O' newbies in bond market today, I would suggest limit orders to maximize profits!
                  8/31/12
                  • OneLongTrade
                    Another sudden move in the market, SPX just dropped 5 points. Did Ben sneeze?
                    8/31/12
                    Reply (2)
                    • Yo' Mamma: Yeah, it was a bit confusing. Spanish bonds in Catalonia were just cut to junk status, though (at 12:13pm). I guess that's the catalyst.
                      8/31/12
                    • OneLongTrade: Spanish yields were rising all day, but market didnt really care. If ECB still has the implicit backstop, the Catalonia incident isnt major.
                      8/31/12
                      • OneLongTrade
                        I would not trust this sharp bounce back. TLT making new highs on the day, AAPL decidedly negative. Large players are weak.
                        8/31/12
                        Reply (1)
                        • bdy: Bought Dec TLT Calls and sold weekly (9/7/12) Bull put spread on AAPL at 650/645
                          8/31/12
                          • OneLongTrade
                            Boom. Outside reversal in progress as I highlighted this morning. TLT about to bust out of the 50 day ma. Things are as expected.
                            8/31/12
                            Reply
                              • OneLongTrade
                                Come on Benny boy, break out the irrational exuberance speech for old time's sake.
                                8/31/12
                                Reply (1)
                                • Perkins Cove: Interesting he walked in with the Isriali governor...wink
                                  8/31/12
                                  • OneLongTrade
                                    TLT was down 60 cents this morning, now up 21 cents. Was a stealth signal for yesterday's drop lower. Let's see today.
                                    8/31/12
                                    Reply
                                      • OneLongTrade
                                        If Big Ben's speech goes awry and market ends this day in red after opening here, we'll see an outside reversal, spelling at least 10%
                                        8/31/12
                                        Reply (1)
                                        • OneLongTrade: downside to come in the next few months. If his speech adds fuel to this rally, we go take out previous highs and shoot for 1340 SPX.
                                          8/31/12
                                          • OneLongTrade
                                            TLT up a buck in early trading. All eyes are on Bernanke tomorrow, but TLT may have been sending an advanced signal.
                                            8/30/12
                                            Reply (1)
                                            • Bret Kenwell: Has been rallying along with equities. even more, TBT has been falling while equities rally. Bonds not buyin it.
                                              8/30/12
                                              • OneLongTrade
                                                Potential outside reversal in AAPL. SBUX had an outside reversal in mid April and look what happened after...
                                                8/21/12
                                                Reply (12)
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                                                • OneLongTrade: In addition, AAPL has rarely stumbled in their earnings enough to warrant even the slightest worry. The most the stock dips is 10-15%.
                                                  8/22/12
                                                • OneLongTrade: That being said, you can observe certain periods where AAPL goes through boom cycles (Jan, Aug) and bust cycles (Apr, May).
                                                  8/22/12
                                                  • OneLongTrade
                                                    http://seekingalpha.com/n/aowp AAPL receives rare downgrade. Hmph.
                                                    8/21/12
                                                    Reply (4)
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                                                    • OneLongTrade: there asap. We need to see that next quarter is as good as they are expecting it to be, because they did miss on a few numbers last time.
                                                      8/21/12
                                                    • OneLongTrade: A little selloff never hurt anyone, just wait a little while, then buy the dip and enjoy. Great company for the long term.
                                                      8/21/12
                                                      • OneLongTrade
                                                        Divergence between AAPL and SPX. Keep an eye on it! Last handful of times this happened has been a great "tell."
                                                        8/21/12
                                                        Reply (38)
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                                                        • OneLongTrade: P.S. AAPL stock now down $14 from when I first posted this thread.
                                                          8/21/12
                                                        • wigit5: yep watching it closely, I'll probably buy 10 shares if it drops below 650 lol
                                                          8/21/12
                                                          • OneLongTrade
                                                            Yet another day where we end mixed/flat and another dip that is bought. So easy, the etrade baby could do it...
                                                            8/13/12
                                                            Reply (9)
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                                                            • TruffelPig: Interesting. You still have that tumor or you got it removed?
                                                              8/15/12
                                                            • DaLatin: Shrank to almost nothing. But received a transplant on the 29th. Still recovering. The treatments were in the early 90s
                                                              8/15/12
                                                              • OneLongTrade
                                                                Put/call ratio lowest in 3 years... yeah that's not a sign at all.
                                                                8/13/12
                                                                Reply (27)
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                                                                • realornot: U feel better now!? I have artificially painted your feather with fake matte black!
                                                                  8/13/12
                                                                • OneLongTrade: I don't feel better because it's fake.
                                                                  8/13/12
                                                                  • OneLongTrade
                                                                    Yawn, not this again. Are we going to hover around flat all day?
                                                                    8/13/12
                                                                    Reply (3)
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                                                                    • realornot: for now, it is.
                                                                      8/13/12
                                                                    • Bob de'Long: It's so exciting that I'm going outside to mow
                                                                      8/13/12
                                                                      • OneLongTrade
                                                                        Market is a roller coaster. Buckle up your seatbelts and keep your hands in the vehicles at all times. Slowing down as we near the fall.
                                                                        8/10/12
                                                                        Reply
                                                                          • OneLongTrade
                                                                            Doug Kass is shorting more (was 25% short as of this morning) based on reversal in the Euro, FWIW.
                                                                            8/9/12
                                                                            Reply (1)
                                                                            • sundate36: EPV is at the bottom of its trading range. Just took a small position.
                                                                              8/9/12
                                                                              • OneLongTrade
                                                                                JPM, yet another company revising profit forecasts down and the honey badger market just don't give a damn.
                                                                                8/9/12
                                                                                Reply (16)
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                                                                                • OneLongTrade: rather stick to cash and forget the market completely.
                                                                                  8/9/12
                                                                                • anonymous#12: Well, extra liquidity on the credit markets usually finds risk assets.
                                                                                  8/9/12