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JG2000

JG2000
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  • WSJ: Apple shelved plans to launch a TV set [View news story]
    Apple can achieve 99% of what you would want in an integrated Apple TV with just a hockey puck or other box. You just need to add a good display panel and an HDMI cable. It all depends on what features they put in the hockey puck. I would really like a slightly bigger box with an internal drive (or SSD) that included a channel guide and scheduling service using Apple servers...then I could get rid of my TiVo.

    If the box had enough content options to get rid of my cable (other than for internet) that would be the icing on the cake.
    May 19, 2015. 01:34 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: We May See 3 New iPhones In September [View article]
    I'm on board with the three-phone-size approach...it's a no brainer. People will often say, with some legitimacy, that Apple knows far better how to proceed than the throngs chanting from the peanut gallery. However, it's pretty hard to argue that Apple didn't give needless market share to Samsung by being late to the larger phone party. Some of that lost market share will likely never come back. The premium small phone is a minimally exploited area that Apple can use to regain some ground as well as increase retention (for the subset that wants a compact phone).
    May 5, 2015. 08:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple roundup: Watch component defect, tax disclosure, smartphone share [View news story]
    If you look at the trading pattern for AAPL it often takes a breather after even very good quarters...then it climbs higher. FQ1 was an outlier in that it was such a mind bending blowout that the usual day traders and sell-the-news'ers couldn't drive it down. I see this quarter's reaction as being back to the more typical scenario. Unless the market tanks or some major negative story develops (something bigger than EC tax risk) AAPL will head higher after the pause that refreshes.
    Apr 29, 2015. 08:12 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Small Change In Apple Maps, A Giant Leap Into Mobile Ads [View article]
    The author has it all backwards. One of Apple's strengths is the lack of annoying mobile advertising which deserves [and gets] some price premium on that alone. There probably is some growth to be had in subtle customer-friendly advertising but it should be viewed under the lens of creating a better [or at least no worse] customer experience...not a focus on revenue.

    Secondly, innovation has many facets and should not be viewed as exclusively mind-blowing huge new product categories -- many bears cannot see through that fog screen.
    Apr 15, 2015. 03:46 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dumping Apple Makes Sense For Immediate Income Growth [View article]
    Pretend you had a 100 shares and then answer his question from that perspective (not trying to be flippant). We are not here solely to advise one persons portfolio.
    Apr 13, 2015. 04:53 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Could Go Down In The Class Struggle [View article]
    I'm not clear on how the alleged "exclusive experience, only for certain Apple customers" will work. I just don't see Apple requiring people to submit net-worth documentation or eyeballing customers and subjectively estimating their worth. I suppose they could require a credit card authorization (which doesn't actually post the charge but puts the amount as "pending" and temporarily reduces credit balance). However, many middle-class buyers have a substantial credit balance and could qualify by that means.

    So while I am not particularly concerned how this plays out and believe Apple would adjust the program based on customer satisfaction...I am curious how those who predict the creation of this "exclusive experience" see it being implemented?
    Mar 30, 2015. 09:11 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Could Go Down In The Class Struggle [View article]
    I think the concern is overblown. Most people would welcome giving up a place in line for a $9650 discount coupon (just buy the sport watch).
    Mar 30, 2015. 10:24 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Watch, MacBook, PC Industry Challenges (Podcast) [View article]
    Adding a user replaceable battery would increase the weight and bulk and lessen the reliability of the watch (don't forget it does have IPX7 water resistance which adds difficulty). Apple could certainly attempt it but I don't think the average user would find the tradeoffs appealing.
    Mar 16, 2015. 06:43 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Watch Event: A Lot Of Good News For Investors [View article]
    You should be able to sweat indefinitely wearing an IPX7 device.

    As a comparison take a look at the Jawbone UP fitness trackers. They have 3 models; the 'UpMove' and the 'UP24' appear to be approximately IPX7 although I couldn't find that spec'd anywhere. The 'UP3' is rated to 10meters (however, some claim a watch should be rated 50m before using safely for extensive swimming...this is because there is a difference between gradual pressure changes with depth versus water impact forces).

    Here's what Jawbone says about their waterproofness...
    UP MOVE™ and UP24™ are splash-proof. No need to worry about rain, sweat from a hard workout, or getting it wet in the shower. But you shouldn't submerge them, so just make sure you take it off before swimming, surfing, or other extreme activities like saunas and steam rooms.
    UP3 is water-resistant up to 10 meters, so you can swim, and even dive with it.

    Although I haven't proven anything, I think the similarities of the Apple Watch to the Jawbone UP Move & 24 suggest the Watch has similar abilities to withstand extensive sweaty workouts.

    In the future hopefully Apple will find a way to improve the waterproofness or offer a variant optimized for very rugged usage & water usage.
    Mar 10, 2015. 11:58 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple sets Watch prices; pre-orders start on April 10 [View news story]
    The Apple website specs on the Watch say IPX7 water resistance. This is supposed to handle 30 minute immersion in 3 meters. Apple seems to not be over hyping the water resistance to their credit (IPX7 has it's limits although we don't know how much of a margin Apple has built into the watch within the IPX7 standard). You should be able to shower with the Watch unless you have a leather band which might be an issue. If you workout a lot I would think the elastomer band would be the choice anyway (or swap bands for special occasions, etc).
    Mar 10, 2015. 04:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's Dirty Little Rare Earth Secret: Follow-Up Points [View article]
    All businesses face risks and evaluating the risk/reward is what investors do...BUT why should investors pay much attention to this particular high-risk/very-low probability factor when there are other higher-risk/very-low probability scenarios in the same region? Most of these concerns fall into the category of the Chinese government "cutting off their nose to spite their face". It's fine to look at low probability risks but at the end of the day you have decide how well you can sleep and I can say I am sleeping fine with AAPL.
    Feb 26, 2015. 05:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Focus On Apple Watch Edition Pricing [View article]
    It will be interesting to see when they change the form factor. The appeal of the watch will increase when they can make it thinner. Also, the screen technology could change. If/when those things occur...replacing the internals would be more of a challenge. Note that I am bullish on the Watch, just pointing out a potential challenge to the replace-the-internals idea.

    I can see the first Apple Watch, especially the high-end ones, becoming collector items. Also, there will be a resale market for watches and while the depreciation on the high-end ones will presumably be significant...it will nonetheless be a vehicle to support reoccurring purchases.
    Feb 26, 2015. 02:22 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Focus On Apple Watch Edition Pricing [View article]
    Michael, let's apply your logic to the TV remote...

    A TV remote is not a stand-alone product, just a TV accessory. It's largely redundant. Your TV can already change channels and adjust volume and has all the physical connections required to activate it. Unlike a TV remote, your TV will never need to have it's batteries replaced. The remote adds unnecessary layers of complication to adjusting your TV for the sake of bundling so many functions into a hand held device.

    People who own TV's should be at least concerned. The TV remote has the potential to make you the laughing stock of your friends who enjoy adjusting their TV's without a device that is all hype.
    Feb 26, 2015. 02:00 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • WSJ: Apple car project is for real, and it's a minivan [View news story]
    I can't see Apple getting into EVs unless they believe they have some extremely disruptive technology and ideas that no one else appears to have or likely to be moving on. Could it be an inside track on some battery technology breakthrough that could also be used in portable electronics? I've been pretty skeptical of an Apple car but if the rumors of the skill sets and size of the car team is true it would seem they must be trying to hatch something significant.
    Feb 13, 2015. 09:50 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple And The Financial Impact Of Streaming Video [View article]
    Just creating a Netflix clone is not a worthy cost/benefit for Apple or it's users in my view as well. However, streaming could be somewhat like Apple Pay in that it has little direct earning value [currently] but bolsters hardware sales, loyalty and the ecosystem (which you mention). The key to streaming would be some kind of notable improvement in the experience on Apple devices and/or user cost (while being at least mildly accretive in direct revenue).
    Feb 11, 2015. 08:03 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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