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schatzl

schatzl
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  • Investors Should Keep Apple In Their Portfolios [View article]
    Growth rates are always a look back to past performances. What's putting Apple under pressure is market dynamics and waning faith in that growth story - in particular due to margin compression caused by capable competitors.

    Still the same company, it's just being put under more pressure by competitors. I'm waiting for the next quarter results and will decide on my next steps then.
    Apr 17 12:06 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lessons Learned From An Apple Bull [View article]
    I find this "no Jobs = no innovation" argument completely silly. If you've worked for a large corporation, you'd realize there's thousands of people working hard and given opportunity to input ideas and innovation. Yes, they need to innovate otherwise they'll die in that industry, but it really isn't dependent on one person. It is something I noticed that began with the hero worship of guys like Lee Iacocca at Ford/Chrysler. Yes, these chaps make an impact, but its not like the company lives or dies with them. It's the same hyperbole that drove Apple up to 700.
    Jan 26 05:44 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lessons Learned From An Apple Bull [View article]
    I'm very bearish on the fundamentals of western economies, but at 444 I couldn't resist, let alone being able to buy them with my overpriced €. I wouldn't be surprised if they slip further, but lets be honest here, they are still the same highly profitable company they were 4 months ago.

    I remember telling people to hedge their shares when apple went past 600, only for it to carry on to 700. If you're on such a steep uphill ride, always secure with stop-losses, shorts or options.

    First time apple buyer here.
    Jan 25 02:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Small Dose Of Reality [View article]
    It nearly always is bad timing with Apple. Unbelievable how one company can force the Nasdaq up and up.
    Apr 3 09:56 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Small Dose Of Reality [View article]
    I wish I had your balls, but I'm stuck in enough short positions in Europe as is, but I'd agree - tulip territory. This share price rise was done on the back of lowest volume today btw. Another good shorting signal. The general market has lost appetite and is just riding the wave.
    Apr 2 05:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Small Dose Of Reality [View article]
    Funny, because I was an Apple user/owner more than 10 years before you were and guess what? They dominated the PC market at the time of the Apple II & IIe. Then the competition woke up and comps like the Commodore took over. I even had a Mac that had weaker specs and cost a multiple more than better competition in a time when Apple played a very small role in the PC market. It all happened very quickly, from dominance to marginal player. You think it can't happen with smart phones or tablets? Dream on.

    & "ecosystem they occupy" ...what utter nonsense.
    Mar 17 12:55 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Small Dose Of Reality [View article]
    I actually followed that link. Is this some kind of religion akin to Scientology?

    I mean come on:

    "The greatest company the planet has ever seen. Why is the stock so under priced? Because it hasn't yet clicked that Apple is the most amazing company ever created"

    how are you going to argue with that?
    Mar 15 09:32 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Small Dose Of Reality [View article]
    Hmm I'm on the sideline here, but generally have a very bearish outlook on the world economy: China's landing is not so soft, Europe is not saved but in the process of falling apart (for those interested look at national central bank target2 imbalances) and the US is living off borrowed time. For those not aware, your government is spending 1$ for every 35c collected. Not even Greece is that bad.

    What would a global recession mean for Apple? Demand for their products will fall sharply and profits will drop sharply, simply because less people will be able to afford their outrageous pricing.

    The growth trajectory is very dependent on a recovering world economy - especially at their pricing and I simply don't see it.

    Their size has reached a point where there are not more people out there that can buy their product - at least not at a 20% growth rate. Sales growth will come from where? There are only so many gadgets you can plug into your body.

    Their products are replaceable, they can be copied and the barriers to entry are not a deterrence. The larger the margins are, the more competitors will be crowding into that market space. Great brand, but a brand alone will not be there so protect your backside forever.

    Still an impressive company, albeit with very questionable business practices - margins need to come from somewhere and most probably one of the best stocks to have in a long term portfolio, but there are too many reasons out there that could cause a major correction.

    Usually shorting Apple is suicide, but at the moment that price is begging me to take a bite.
    Mar 15 08:32 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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