Hi, My name is Rich and have been playing the market for more than 25 years. It is a true passion for me. I have learned enough to be ranked in the top 3% of fund managers at "Marketocracy". The blog has evolved over the last 18 months into a site on educating my readers about the market based on my own experiences. It is one of the most rewarding things I have ever done. Come join me at stockmarketdouble.blogspot.com.
The reports that I write are my personal research and opinions. They are not associated with any firm or organization, and are not intended to be taken as investment recommendations or advice. They combine my passions of economics, finance, writing and education, and are intended mostly as educational material. I attempt to write the articles in an easy to understand down to earth style in an effort to help others with their research. This is my effort to bring understandable and educational professional quality research to the public at large free of charge.
General Disclaimer for my Articles:
BS Business, Majored in Finance and Economics, Miami University
MA Economics w/ Managerial and International Emphasis, University of Oklahoma
Past: Economics and Finance Instructor at various Universities
Past: Mutual Fund Portfolio Manager of Family of Mutual Funds
Past: CIO of Mid-Sized Investment Management Firm
Professional: CFA Charterholder
Please note that the content of this site should not be construed as investment advice, nor do the opinions expressed necessarily reflect the views of CFA Institute.
The Green River Intrinsic Value fund is a relatively concentrated, long/short equity strategy. The fund seeks long-term absolute returns investing in deeply mispriced securities which are identified through a careful process of methodical fundamental research and due diligence.
Edge Trader Plus
Michael Noonan is the driving force behind Edge Trader Plus. He has been in the futures business for 30 years, functioning primarily in an individual capacity. He was the research analyst for the largest investment banker in the South, at one time, and he managed money
in the cash bond market for a $5 billion pension fund using Peter Steidlmeyer’s Market Profile.
Proficient in Gann, Elliott Wave, Market Profile, etc, Mr Noonan no longer uses any of those technical procedures. Instead, his primary focus is on developing market activity, relying solely on the information generated by the market itself, such as the interaction between price and volume, and how they relate to important price levels in the market structure. He incorporates proven market principles, such as knowledge of the trend, supply and demand, along with disciplined rules for to find developing high probability trade opportunities.
He can be reached by e-mail at his website: firstname.lastname@example.org
I am a retired college faculty in Philosophy, with specializations in Ethics, Socio-political Theory and Rational Choice/Decision Theory. My teaching focus was on Business Ethics, Medical Ethics and Logic. After retirement I freelanced as a Grant Writer/Fund Raising Consultant. I have taught at Washington University in St. Louis, the University of Missouri - St. Louis, and St. Louis Community College.
I believe that potential investments ought to be evaluated through an examination of their fundamentals - i.e., fundamental analysis. Those investments can then be analyzed with respect to whatever criteria an investor may wish to bring to bear, but at least the investments they make will be more or less fundamentally sound. For me, one of the more important features of an investment (after fundamentals are satisfied) is dividend yield. I expect my investment to earn money for me.
I also believe that the day of the "traditional" investment strategy based on one's age/proximity to retirement is over. To be sure, one wants to put one's money in places where it is more secure, but in the day and age of internet-based investment services, a variety of ETFs, and reasonably safe investment vehicles, there is no need for retired people to stick the bulk of their assets in relatively unprofitable treasury notes and bonds.
I began investing in the early 90s, began trading in the beginning of the next century. I actively traded earnings reports with great success in the mid 2000s and have tested various trading strategies since.
I used to run a limited partnership, boutique hedge fund in the 90s. Retired in 2000 and moved from New York City to Toronto, Canada, got married, raised a family and basically settled down. After a few years in Toronto, my wife got tired of the city’s 8 months of cold weather and insisted that we move to a city where there are 8 months of warm and balmy weather. So we settled on San Diego, CA and moved here in 2005 and now call this lovely city with the most perfect weather, home. After moving to Sun Diego, I decided to come out of retirement and start an Internet company that helps non-profits, especially school PTAs, raise money. After a somewhat long development period, my start-up, called donornation.org, went live this month (December 2012)! The response so far has been quite encouraging and I intend to take the company from its current, local San Diego focus, to nationwide, hopefully in the next 2 years. Feel free to check it out and let me know what you think…any feedback and suggestions to help improve the site is always welcome. Being that my day job is running a tech start-up, I don’t have the time to be an active trader…However, being an avid market watcher and investor, I started this blog to maintain a public record of my views on the economy, the markets and my stock picks. My space here has given me the opportunity to share my analysis, good, bad and the ugly, with everyone. It has also allowed me to keep a running scorecard on how effective my investment ideas have been. About a year ago, just after my Options2Wealth blog's public portfolio recorded 10,000%+ return in less than 6 months, I received an offer to write a book based on my blog's accomplishment by one of the most respected literary agents in the United States. This was a totally unintended and unexpected result of my original motivation which was to simply help demystify derivatives (options) and show how just about anyone, armed with the ability to read stock charts, can take advantage of the most powerful wealth building tool legally available to us all. Based on the fact that some of my readers were able to mimic my moves and achieve returns of as much as 4,000%+ tells me that my blog has succeeded in its raison d'être. Finally, I shall be remiss if I did not acknowledge the many public and private comments / messages that I have received, and continue to receive, from my readers here. I want to take this opportunity to let you know that I'm extremely grateful, and humbled, to all those who have taken the time to share your comments, kind thoughts and warm wishes with me...Should you not receive a reply, please do not take my lack of responsiveness as a sign of hubris...Due to my various interests and activities and the fact that I spend a considerable amount of time traveling, my free time is extremely limited and if I have not responded to your message, please accept my sincere apologies... Best of Luck to All! karim pirani
Senior Options Trading Strategist at Optionity, MBA.
Our trading approach starts with the fundamentals, then through short-term technical analysis, to finally leverage options trading (with the combination of long and short positions) to achieve favorable risk and reward ratio trading plays.
Our main strategy is "Solid Stock + Cash Flow + Options"
"I have the option to give up, but I will never give up my options"
I am a Portuguese independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked for both sell side (brokerage) and buy side (fund management) institutions.
I've been trading professionally for about 20 years and also launched www.thinkfn.com in 2004. Thinkfn (Think Finance) carries thousands of educational articles on finance and the markets.
I trade futures, stocks from the long and short side, forex and options. I trade both discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader, Quantshare and others).
I can be reached at paulo.santosATthinkfn.com or followed on Twitter at twitter.com/ThinkFinance999
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Visit QTR and check out trading ideas, commentary, and me arguing with idiots on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/quoththeravensa
QTR's ARTICLES ARE BOUND BY SA'S CONTRIBUTOR POLICY IN ADDITION TO THIS ENTIRE LENGTHY, YET EXTREMELY PERTINENT ADD ON DISCLOSURE, WHICH SERVES AS BOTH A STANDALONE DISCLOSURE AND AN AMENDMENT TO ANY AND ALL DISCLOSURES ALREADY PRESIDING OVER SEEKING ALPHA:
Quoth the Raven's ("QTR") articles are the sole product of QTR and his personal, individual opinions. These articles are not associated with, in any way, the opinions, strategies, or works of QTR's employer, associates, or entities in any way otherwise related to QTR.
(i.e. This are solely my personal thoughts and opinions)
You agree that by reading Quoth the Raven's articles, you are acting at your OWN RISK. In NO EVENT should QTR be liable for any direct or indirect trading losses caused by any information contained in QTR's articles, StockTalks, or other internet-based dissemination methods. Information in QTR's articles are not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, nor shall any security be offered or sold to any person, in any jurisdiction in which such offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. QTR is not suggesting the transacting of any financial instruments and QTR suggests consulting your personal financial adviser with regards to any such transactions.
QTR makes no representations, and specifically disclaims all warranties, express, implied, or statutory, regarding the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any material contained in this site. Again, you should seek the advice of your personal financial adviser or a security professional regarding your stock transactions.
QTR does not, in any way, guarantee that he is providing all of the information that may be available on any topic written. QTR recommends, again, that you do your own due diligence and consult a registered financial adviser before buying or selling any security.
QTR most always holds a position in any of the securities profiled in his pieces and he constructs his SA disclosures in accordance with SA's Contributor Policy, to the best of his knowledge in order to maintain transparency and also to uphold and respect pertinent securities laws. QTR may or may not report when a position is initiated or covered. Each investor must make that decision based on his/her judgment of the market.
I am not a stockbroker or financial adviser. I am a casual investor making casual observations for the purpose of discussion and open communication and analysis of companies and stocks. All articles are my opinion only and are not suggestions to buy or sell any equity, bond, option or other financial instrument. QTR may have long or short positions in any tickers mentioned at any time and reserves the right to open, close, or modify positions at all time without notice. My conclusions are the result of my personal due diligence and have been wrong in the past. There are tons of unqualified people out there offering up financial advice and its your responsibility to sort through the BS. You don't hit the button to fill my orders and I don't hit yours, so no whining or praising over stocks covered by me.
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I mainly focus on two sectors: technology and auto industry. I am long only and I like to take a conservative approach where I sell covered calls on the shares I hold in order to reduce my risks. Some of the stocks I follow closest are Nokia, Microsoft, Ford and Apple. I believe that being able to see beyond numbers and actually understanding business models of companies we cover is crucial to provide useful insight on companies.
Ashraf Eassa is a technology specialist with The Motley Fool. He writes mostly about technology stocks, but is especially interested in anything related to chips -- the semiconductor kind, that is.
Yaron “Ron” Reuven is the President & Chief Investment Officer of Reuven Capital Investments, LP. His expertise is in business valuations, financial model & theory analysis, and financial industry compliance. Throughout his 15 year career, Ron has been a valuable asset to many business owners and executives by managing their investments as well as advising them on countless business matters. Ron began his American dream at the age of 10 when his family emigrated from Israel to the United States. He became involved in business early on and has been exposed to a variety of industries and business models. This eclectic experience has cemented his distinctive investment and business philosophy. Establishing a FINRA MEMBER BROKER/DEALER when he was just 26 years old made Mr. Reuven one of the youngest individuals to ever independently open a FINRA member firm. Ron’s contrarian point of view and broad range of management, financial, and investment experience offers a unique value to the firm’s clients.
Yaron “Ron” Reuven began his career in the financial services industry at a New York City branch of First Union in 1999. There he began developing his own due diligence process and investment philosophy. By mid 2001, he was recruited by Raymond James Financial (NYSE:RJF), one of the largest financial services firms in the United States. At Raymond James, he began to implement his own concentrated investment philosophy and built strong relationships with his clients. Throughout one of the most difficult environments in market history Ron successfully became the third largest producing broker in the United States for Raymond James in August 2003.
Subsequently in an effort to expand the services and products he was able to offer his clients, Ron started a Wall Street office with another national independent broker/dealer based in Florida. He quickly became the firm’s largest producing broker and branch. In order to truly accomplish his long term goals, he realized that he and his team needed to be completely independent. In November 2006 REUVEN ENTERPRISES SECURITIES DIVISION (RESD) A FINRA/SIPC MEMBER FIRM AND MSRB LICENSED DEALER was founded. This was a massive undertaking which allowed Ron to truly implement his long term investment philosophy, and ultimately launch his hedge fund. In 2009 REUVEN CAPITAL INVESTMENTS, LP FUND (RCI) was launched. RCI is a long/short equity fund with a selectively concentrated portfolio. Ron’s ultimate goal for RCI is to have shareholder representation on the board of some of the companies the fund invests in.
Mr. Reuven is a NFL PLAYERS ASSOCIATION REGISTERED PLAYER FINANCIAL ADVISOR, and is involved with multiple charitable organizations, philanthropic work and public speaking. His unique philosophy, track record, and incisive financial commentary have been featured by Bloomberg, CNBC, NDTV, SNN WIRE, MANN, CNN, and GotGame.
MR. YARON “RON” REUVEN HOLDS THE FOLLOWING LICENSES:
Registered Options Principal (Series 4)
General Securities Representative (Series 7),
General Securities Principal (Series 24),
Municipal Securities Principal (Series 53),
Uniform Securities Agent State Law (Series 63),
Investment Banking Representative (Series 79)
Licensed Operations Professional (Series 99)
Licensed Life Insurance Agent and Registered Financial Planner RFP®
and CEO of Member FINRA Broker Dealer.
Over 15 years as an IT Consultant for a wide range of clients including Dell, Ingram Micro, BankAm South and FedEx Data Center. Specializes in technology, contrarian plays and global macro. My articles have appeared on Morningstar.com, IHIQS, Seeking Alpha, Yahoo! Finance, MarketWatch, EIN Newsdesk, Google Finance, Motley Fool, MSN Money, and AOL Daily Finance.
Avi Gilburt is a lawyer and accountant by training. He formerly was a partner and National Director at a national firm.
Mr. Gilburt is also the Managing Member of Gilburt Financial Services, LLC, which provides:
- Financial market analysis to the public through ElliottWaveTrader.net;
- Elliott Wave market analysis to institutional clients;
- Specific stock analysis to retail clients; and
- Webinars and personal coaching on Elliott Wave analysis.
He is also the Managing Member of the of the consulting firm of Gilburt & Associates, LLC, which specializes in transaction structuring and tax services.
Kapitall is the online finance platform for the next generation, where investing is as easy as drag, drop and trade. With an intuitive and playful user experience, Kapitall offers tools that make it easy to build virtual and real brokerage portfolios, share ideas and research stocks and funds.
Ryan Mallory is the founder of SharePlanner.com and has been trading for more than 20 years. He got his start in the stock market at 11 years old when he inherited $5,000 from a relative that had passed away. Instead of putting the money in a college fund until he was 18, Ryan convinced his father to let him invest it in the stock market.
Early on, Ryan never ventured out of the mutual funds, but why should he, here is a kid, not even a teenager yet, learning to make his allowance in the stock market. Growing up in the 80's & 90's, Ryan saw his portfolio grow from $5,000 to nearly $30,000 - a 500% return for a kid who didn't even have his driver's license yet.
But it wasn't until the beginning of 2001, while in college, that Ryan learned his greatest and most important lesson in the stock market - the feeling of losing it all! The portfolio, that had grown into an important lump sum of money had fallen back down to almost its original value at around $10,000.
The lesson learned from his early days of trading, is a lesson that he is reminded of everyday before placing a single trade - and that is the human ability to capitulate a financial portfolio - and it is that lesson that has kept him from ever repeating it again.
Ryan's focus is primarily on swing-trades (with some day-trades) both long and short using technical analysis and secondarily on options and futures. Ryan Mallory has an MBA and a bachelors in Political Science and Economics from the University of Central Florida. He founded SharePlanner in 2006.
O. Young Kwon, NYU Ph.D. in Economics had worked in securities industry for ten years as a Registered Investment Adviser. He taught Macroeconomics and Statistics. Prior to his academic career, he was an Economist/Bank Supervisor at the Bank of Korea (the Fed's counterpart). In 2009 he set up the TANER System in order to synthesize performances and relative strengths of 20 ETFs and 40 equities thoroughly. (“Go TANER: The Market Primer”) The System captures dynamics of momentum changes of individual securities on the daily basis. The System also builds successfully their momentum trends over time.
He is a conservative investor, targeting on a reasonable investment goal (inflation plus 3%). His investment preference is a relatively long-term (three to twelve months) long-only strategy. He allocates his assets as an auto-pilot portfolio: 85% in six mutual funds (currently three bond, two equity, and one international) and 15% in two trading accounts. As the title of his portfolio indicates, any short-term frequent portfolio adjustment is not needed. He adjusts his portfolio gradually several times a quarter, based upon TANER Momentums (TMs), inflation expectations, money supply, and various asset valuations.
The significantly increased market volatility induced mainly by more frequent online trading pattern with ETFs in the recent years, however, forces investors towards somewhat aggressive trading to gain more and lose less. It is a very serious challenge to conservative investors like him. He has traded daily, based on TMs, provided by the TANER System. The investment returns turn out to be incredibly high. (“The Tiger Rule:”).
He has been posting TMs on his Instablog daily to share the ins and outs of the TANER System. TMs are a summary of the results of the Sythesized Performance and Relative Strength (SPARS) daily. ("Daily TANER Momentums (DTMs)")
In the1970s, he was a visiting Economist (sent by the Bank of Korea) at the NY Fed and the Bank of NY to research long-range planning. After earning his M.A. in Economics at U-Conn, he studied at NYU under Oskar Morgenstern (Economic History, Game Theory), Wassily Leotief (Input-Output Theory), Fritz Machlup (International Finance and Trade), William J. Baumol (Economic Theory and Operations Analysis), M. Isaq Nadiri (Macroeconomic Theory), and Edward Wolff (Econometric Modelling). He workd on various research projects: The input-Output Framework of the U.S. Economy (Leontief), U.S. Productivity Measurements (Nadiri), Knowledge Distribution (Machlup), Firms, Games, Decisions (Baumol), and U.S. Household Spending and Saving Behavior (Wolff).
His Doctoral Thesis under Machlup (1980): Theory of Foreign Exchange and Economic Policy. In the early 1980s .He, as a Research Associate, researched with Geoffery H. Moore at the Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR) on business cycles, growth cycles, international indicators, composite indexing, and forecast of business conditions and inflation.
Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been the leader in social media analytics ('crowd sourced estimates') for earnings. Receive email alerts on those companies most likely to move higher or lower when they beat or miss the whisper number. These are the Whisper Reactors. http://www.whispernumber.com/suboptions_wr.jsp When earnings season gets underway, traders, analysts and investors are watching closely to see if companies' results squared with Wall Street's expectations. Of particular interest is the "whisper number". A veteran in the business, WhisperNumber.com takes a unique approach: its earnings estimates come from regular polling of its members. The site points to independent academic studies supporting its claims that the crowd is wiser than the Wall Street priesthood (www.whispernumber.com/study.jsp). WhisperNumber.com's free registration buys voluminous information related to the profit histories of companies entering earnings season. Type a ticker into its search engine for an exhaustive earnings profile of a company, alongside a calendar of coming earnings and an education center with whisper strategies for trading. A subscription payment of $395 for six months buys access to the company's premium offering, Whisper Reactors (http://www.whispernumber.com/signIn_wr.jsp), a list of highly volatile companies whose prices show a high correlation to their earnings outcomes. WhisperNumber.com claims a variety of double-digit returns for different types of plays over holding periods of 1-to-30 days. Trading on whispers is a technical play on market psychology, rather than a bet on a company's fundamental strengths. To a technician, share price is just a market-clearing mechanism that strikes a balance between buyer greed and seller fear.
Analyst and Fund Manager with almost 20 years investment experience. Coverage includes a variety of industries, with a focus on technology.
Particularly focused on value stocks, poorly understood or under-followed situations, and contrarian perspectives.
Primarily invest in special situations with value that is poorly understood or not fully appreciated, or where we believe there is a highly asymetric risk/reward profile. Also look for long/short ideas in mid/larger cap names where we believe we have a variant view, and the market is dramatically mispricing value.
Follow me on Twitter @valinsights
Jennifer Lynn is a proficient investor, executive and manager working with analytics data to drive smart business decisions. Technology, eCommerce, Management, Healthcare, Consulting, Strategy. Passionate for Finance, IT & Emerging Markets.
Email: consultbydigital @ gmail.com
Most recently, Markos Kaminis predicted the stock market correction of 2015 through a series of prescient reports in August. (see proof here: http://seekingalpha.com/article/3482226-investor-who-predicted-the-stock-market-correction-offers-an-update ) Markos warned his followers to stop buying dips in stocks, raise cash levels for a near-term collapse and special buying opportunity, and he suggested aggressive investors or those in need of portfolio hedge use a volatility instrument to do so. He profited 30-fold in a matter of days on his contrarian view in August.
Markos N. Kaminis generated a 23% average annual return on "Strong Buy" stock selections over 5 years and ranked 2nd among a group of 60 analysts in-house as a Senior Equity Analyst over a seven-year period at Standard & Poor's. After proving his value in-house, he was promoted into a special role as an idea generator, supporting the portfolios of institutional clients as well as driving performance within S&P's recommended lists and portfolios. At times, Markos was responsible for up to 10% of the firm's entire "Strong Buy" list and is due a great deal of credit for the group's outstanding performance during his tenure.
Markos followed a group of 30-40 Small and Mid-Cap firms, and was charged with finding new buy and sell candidates across industry sectors. He generated a 23% average annual return over five years on his "Strong Buy" recommendations, and 26% over three years ended 2004. He was ranked 1st of 60 analysts in-house for his "Strong Buy" performance over 4 years (2nd over 5).
Markos also authored IPO research and wrote for high-level newsletters, The Outlook, Equity Insights and Emerging Opportunities, as well as for BusinessWeek Online. He represented his firm as an analytical expert commentator for major media, including television, Internet and through quotes and interviews in reputable publications.
What I want you to know about my plans: After witnessing the worst of Wall Street firsthand and having the ideal vision of my childhood career choice corrupted by reality, I almost switched to full-time charity work at age 40 and still have plans for a non-profit. However, I've since determined to put my stock selection skills, earned through blood, sweat and tears, to better use, and to make my own way. I've determined to give investors something rare, a dignified partner who can manage money with integrity and a clear conscience about the degree of due diligence behind investment decisions... someone who cares more about your money than your wife. I hope readers will become followers of my column here & at my blog, so that when our numbers are substantial, we might start an investment fund or two.
Prior to his Wall Street career, Mr. Kaminis spent time in the back-office, as a mutual fund accountant, where he managed for a time the work of two men. Before this, from age 11 to age 25, he worked as a carpenter's apprentice and carpenter with his father, in both commercial and residential projects. Mr. Kaminis has an intimate knowledge of the real estate and construction market, as well as the restaurant industry. However, as a generalist stock analyst, he showed the ability to learn any and the most complicated of industries in short time - and he gamed every challenge presented to him.
Mr. Kaminis earned his MBA at the Katz Graduate School of Business at the University of Pittsburgh, and his BA at Temple University in Philadelphia. However, Markos has been studying the stock market since age 13, when he determined his career path. He made his first investment at age 16, and funded much of his undergraduate education with the proceeds of his investing success.
Mr. Kaminis continues to keep busy forecasting the economic path and securities market activity. Markos is considering the eventual start-up a long/short capital appreciation hedge fund. Such a fund would limit risk through beta reduction, using a diversification strategy targeting sector & industry and long & short position inclusion. At the same time, Markos' theoretical fund would seek maximum capital appreciation through the exploitation of Mr. Kaminis' inherent economic & market discernment gift and proven stock selection skills. Mr. Kaminis also has a team of a select few analysts, technicians, strategists and economists that he has been impressed by over the years, which he expects to tap for the project when the time is right. Mr. Kaminis welcomes your interest in such a potential forward effort, and looks forward to discussing his plans with those appropriate and within legal constraints.
Markos is involved in very early stage entrepreneurial efforts in the testing of certain business models, all of which he intends to tie to a planned non-profit project. The tie will be that the businesses will give employment opportunity to individuals who would otherwise have difficulty finding gainful employment. It will house and heal the homeless, ex-convicts, those completing rehabilitation efforts for drug and other addictions, and others in need of help.
Markos is currently Directing the widely syndicated blog he founded, "Wall Street Greek," and is writing for other well-known publications besides advancing several businesses. Markos' column is syndicated across sites like the Boston Globe, Kiplinger Magazine, UPI and other reputable newspaper and TV websites, as well as private networks, Amazon Kindle, iPhone and more. In the past, he has written for RealMoney.com, Motley Fool and others. Requests to research specific companies are welcome, as we serve our readers. You may contact us via the blog contact info.
Mr. Kaminis welcomes you to follow him here at Seeking Alpha, where he is proud to be a long-time contributor to this strong team of writers. He considers the Seeking Alpha team and management close friends, and for you, people worth knowing and following.
Visit his site: Wall Street Greek (http://www.wallstreetgreek.blogspot.com/)
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.