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AlbyVA

AlbyVA
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  • Yellen's Inflation Compensation And GLD [View article]
    Although it makes sense that wage-push inflation will drive up inflation, the big problem is all that money the Fed has printed isn't circulating in the economy because the Banks aren't loaning it out. Thus preventing the velocity of money to run wild. As a result, increased labor costs without any excess money floating in the economy means workers are more likely to receive pink slips than pay increases. All since employers can't get their hands on additional dollars.

    Inflation is DOA until banks start loaning out the $2+ trillion dollars the Fed has printed in the last 7 years.

    Inflation: M*V=P*Y

    M is the money supply
    V is the velocity
    P is the price level
    Y is the quantity of output


    If (V) is zero, inflation can't exist.
    Jan 5, 2015. 08:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Yellen's Inflation Compensation And GLD [View article]

    Until you see the Yield on the 10yr Treasury rising, Gold is a sucker bet.
    Jan 1, 2015. 08:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Yellen's Inflation Compensation And GLD [View article]
    GLD or Physical Gold, trading of both effect the price of all Gold, be it paper or metal. So Collectors, Investors, and Speculators can be lumped into the same Gold Bucket when speaking about the price of gold.
    Jan 1, 2015. 08:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Yellen's Inflation Compensation And GLD [View article]
    There is no, nor will there be any, inflation until the banks start dishing out loans like candy so the velocity of money can increase. Until then, all those dollars the fed has printed is sitting On Deposit.

    I expect a world of low inflation for a LONG TIME.
    Jan 1, 2015. 08:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Trend Following Work? [View article]
    Buy the SPY and sit on it. That's all you need to know.
    Aug 31, 2014. 02:17 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This ETF Is Overreacting To The Sell-Off [View article]
    If they are leaving SPY, they must be leaving the market. Because after all its an Index Fund of the S&P500. If the S&P500 is going to tank, there is no safe place to hide.
    Aug 15, 2014. 06:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This ETF Is Overreacting To The Sell-Off [View article]
    The end of the article says it all: "Despite these recent outflows and the overreaction to the sell-off, I believe that SPY will retain its crown as the world's largest and most liquid ETF for years to come. "


    In other words, the previous commentary of this article is "moot".

    SPY is pretty much on par with the S&P500. It's an Index Fund with the tiny fee and over the long haul will out perform 95% of most fund and hedge fund managers and their limited and lucky wisdom.
    Aug 15, 2014. 06:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Is The Net Real Annualized Return Of The S&P 500? [View article]
    Buying and holding bonds to maturity never made anybody rich.
    Day trading stocks is like playing poker. You might hit a streak and think
    that you are the man raking in the cash for now. But over the long run, you will lose.

    Buy the S&P500 Market and just sit on it. Your long term asset growth with
    near zero risk (over the long haul) beats anything that somebody can offer up. Anybody with a retirement 401k or IRA is best advised to by (NYSEARCA:SPY) or something similar with the lowest fees possible and over the next 20 or 40 yrs, you'll smoke 95% of the competition chasing hot Cramer Stocks or the latest Uber taxi cab business. lol 100 years of data crushes everybody.
    Aug 12, 2014. 11:17 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What Is The Net Real Annualized Return Of The S&P 500? [View article]
    The S&P500 is a better asset to hold than a US Treasury Bond.
    Once Treasuries start to yield north of 7.00%, it's time to reconsider.

    Give me (NYSEARCA:SPY) any day.
    Aug 11, 2014. 08:17 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Is The Net Real Annualized Return Of The S&P 500? [View article]
    Lets say it's 7.00% year over year. They forgot to add in the 2.00% average dividend rate. So now it's more like 9.00%.

    I'd say those returns beat 95% of the smartest fund managers, stock pickers, and hedge funds over the long haul. Buffett is already winning a challenge in which he put $1/million into an S&P500 Index fund with a 0.005% fee and is killing a competing hedge fund trying to jockey it's way to profitability.

    Nobody beats the S&P500 over the long run.
    Aug 10, 2014. 08:35 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Warning! The Fed Could Kill Stocks This Week [View article]
    The market is only about 17x earnings vs. the 26x back before the 2008 crash. So puhlez!!!!! Cool it with the doom and gloom predictions, the market is healthy and moving onward and upwards. After the almost 10yrs (2001-2010) of churn with nearly 0.00% gains, the market has a lot of room to move up. Sell out at your own loss. YTD the S&P500 is up 7.00%. YoY the S&P500 is up 21%.

    Anybody who bought the Doom and Gloom k00l-aid is now "wishing" the market would crash so they can get onboard.
    Jul 8, 2014. 08:05 AM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • History Predicts The S&P 500 In 2014 Will Be ... [View article]
    I smell a bot "Looking at earnings $SPY is fairly valued" Muahahaahaha
    Mar 9, 2014. 09:09 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • History Predicts The S&P 500 In 2014 Will Be ... [View article]
    The thing about Buffett is that he is a man with No Fear and a lot of Patience. Along with being grounded in the school of focusing on the lifetime income an asset can produce and ignoring the ebbs and flows of its price in the market.

    I've got to wonder, could Buffett recreate his success story today if he was starting over?
    Mar 7, 2014. 10:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Bitcoin Matters [View article]
    He should milk it for all it's worth. I'd say, "My speaking fees are $100,000/hr".
    Mar 7, 2014. 10:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Bitcoin Matters [View article]
    Why not? Uncle Sam insures your deposits. You as the depositor are protected from the risk taking that a bank might engage in. Or the bank robbers who knock over the place.

    When it comes to Bitcoin, you've got zero protection. Theft, Accounting sanfus, anything, when your Bitcoins sit somewhere other than in your wallet.dat file tucked safe and sound in your safe, you are at risk of losing everything.
    Mar 7, 2014. 10:19 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
571 Comments
391 Likes