what huge intelligence failures? please state your political affiliation nadeem so I can sort through your anti-Bush rhetoric and get at the real analysis here.
Doo-Doo Bank Drill Down, Part 3: Sun Trust Bank [View article]
"Reg-gie! Reg-gie! Reg-gie!".....thanks for the heads up in STI. I trade at a bank and made an absolute bundle the last couple of days since reading your article after the lehman fiasco, all on worthless teenie puts I bought. I covered everything today but bought a boat load of June and July teenie puts in case they have trouble raising $$$. seems like most players in the regionals have been caught leaning the wrong way which is unbelievable considering how far they have dropped (either that or the mkt really believes they won't be able to raise the needed cash). I'm short PNC as well but it acts like it doesn't want to go down, maybe because they're stealing FITB's business. you still long the ferts?
Bernanke: Markets Are Still Far from Normal [View article]
I was wondering what exactly the fed was trying to communicate by saying the markets are far from normal. Everyone knows Libor has been high etc. but I'm wondering if the collateral the ibanks have been posting with the fed in the Tafs is losing value rapidly and what it could mean for some of the smaller ibanks like Lehman and Merrill. any thoughts?
Adding Fertilizer and Mulling the Market as a Commodity [View article]
it's a good thing FDX isn't getting hurt by high oil. yes, just the consumers, not stocks like fdx or ups. the high price of oil will filter through and hurt retailers, transports and eventually, ags. the chinese/indians and others who are starving will go back to eating rice oriented diets instead of protein as protein requires a lot of ridiculously priced fertilizer and most of these countries are self sustaining as far as rice is concerned. everyone in the ag trade assumes there is no substitution at higher prices of fertilizer. there is and this is why the price of rice is skyrocketing. a high price of rice is bearish for fertilizers. why? because rice requires no fertilizer and its high price is portending a move away from corn/protein based diets. if I'm a vietnamese national, do I pay 4 months of salary for a cheesburger or a few cents for some healthy and nutrious Pho. If I'm an Indonesian, do I spend a fortune on a rib eye or settle down for some basically free nasi goreng?
As With Fertilizer Commodities, POT Bubbles [View article]
midwest dude...I agree with you, rationality was a bad choice of words. I'm not talking about speculators, but rather an oligopoly setting prices. It's not beyond politicians to give monopolies and oligopolies a hard time. It happens all the time and is a risk.
As With Fertilizer Commodities, POT Bubbles [View article]
I think, politically, with the food shortages across the globe, that the price fixing authorities in the US and Europe will soon look into the pricing practices of canpotex and other potash sellers and try to force some rationality into the pricing. It's a win/win politically as China would benefit as would the politician who saves the starving masses. Bush has had a soft spot for Africa and other 4th world areas. Also, the potash industry has been investigated before in the earlier part of the century for both dumping and raising prices. too much risk for me.
Potash/Fertilizer Industry: The Week That Was [View article]
one thing I think you missed...there aren't a lot of shorts in these stocks which leads me to believe there are a lot of weak longs at these levels. will be interesting for sure to see if Janus can keep POT up here.
Bill Miller: Credit Panic Ended With Bear Stearns [View article]
Bill, weren't you the guy who was a conference somewhere when Bear Stearns was imploding and you were informed by an attendee that your position was getting killed. My question is, if this is the end of the credit crisis, how did you find out? Did a cab driver tell you? A supermarket checkout girl?
Mr. Marhall, nice call afterall. Not very well written, but nice call on GE. The bullish commentators owe you an apology,that is if they can talk while choking on GE shares...
yes this guy's article is awful but none of the bullish comments from others are making me want to buy GE either. "well managed" "great company" "so far ahead of the curve" "continuously delivers"...yawn. I think there are better stocks for you money that come without the financial exposure..sbux, hd etc.
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As With Fertilizer Commodities, POT Bubbles [View article]
As With Fertilizer Commodities, POT Bubbles [View article]
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Potash/Fertilizer Industry: The Week That Was [View article]
Bill Miller: Credit Panic Ended With Bear Stearns [View article]
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Is General Electric Overvalued? [View article]