"Never take a position without an exit strategy, discipline is by far the tao of trading."
Graduated from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania with a class load focused on Fixed Income & Fixed Securities, Corporate Valuation, Financial Derivatives, Investment Management, Corporate Finance, Statistical Inference etc.
Have a keen interest in broad knowledge - knowledge that has potential to reorder industries. Consistently sifting the market for arbitrage opportunities in event-driven, contrarian or special situations. Our work has been featured on Yahoo! Finance, Canadian Business Journal, CNBC, Nasdaq, Investment Properties Mexico, Investopedia, Amigobulls etc.
Legal notice: All the information contained here is presented "as is,"without warranty of any kind, whether express or implied, as of the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any such information or with regard to the results to be obtained from its use.
John Rubino manages the financial website DollarCollapse.com. He is the co-author, with GoldMoney’s James Turk, of The Money Bubble (DollarCollapse Press, 2014) and The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It (Doubleday, 2007), and author of Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom (Wiley, 2008), How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust (Rodale, 2003) and Main Street, Not Wall Street (Morrow, 1998). After earning a Finance MBA from New York University, he spent the 1980s on Wall Street, as a money market trader, equity analyst and junk bond analyst. During the 1990s he was a featured columnist with TheStreet.com and a frequent contributor to Individual Investor, Online Investor, and Consumers Digest, among many other publications. He currently writes for CFA Magazine.
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. At the time, I was in the midst of a difficult two-year plus divorce (my ex-wife left for another relationship) and custody battle, which occupied a lot of my time. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
I have been helping startups and investors understand the value of emergent business models in the technology, media, and telecommunications industries. In my own personal portfolio, I have been looking for income opportunities and companies with deep value and strong growth potential whose value propositions are misunderstood by the broader market. I do this by an in-depth study of the markets where these companies operate, marrying that to traditional securities analysis to uncover hidden value and under-appreciated growth.
Nothing I write should be considered investment advice. Only you can decide if any specific financial asset, security, allocation, opinion, idea, etc. is best for your financial portfolio.
Author of two books, available here, Options Strategies Every Investor Should Know and The 5 Fundamentals of Building a Retirement Portfolio (both available in paperback and eBook).
Brandon is a senior in the Gabelli School of Business at Fordham University. He is currently in investment banking (M&A). He actively invests on his own personal time, utilizing contrarian strategies.
Brandon is originally from Los Angeles, California where he studied at Loyola High School.
If you need to get in contact with him, feel free to e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org - Thank you for your time.
Full time investor and independent equity researcher since 2000 after two decennia as financial analyst with ABN Amro and as head of investment research and portfolio management with Deutsche Bank Amsterdam. Holds a master’s degree in Economics from Erasmus University, Rotterdam.
Sophia Suarez is an investor, entrepreneur and writer. She covers companies in a broad range of industries and publishes articles on security valuation and other topics related to investing.
Please note that I do not read comments posted here, nor respond to messages here. I don't have the time. If you want my attention, you must seek it directly at my blog.
Aswath Damodaran is the Kerschner Family Chair Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University. He teaches the corporate finance and equity valuation courses in the MBA program. He received his MBA and Ph.D from the University of California at Los Angeles. His research interests lie in valuation, portfolio management and applied corporate finance.
He has written three books on equity valuation (Damodaran on Valuation, Investment Valuation, The Dark Side of Valuation) and two on corporate finance (Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice, Applied Corporate Finance: A User’s Manual). He has co-edited a book on investment management with Peter Bernstein (Investment Management) and has a book on investment philosophies (Investment Philosophies). His newest book on portfolio management is titled Investment Fables and was released in 2004. His latest book is on the relationship between risk and value, and takes a big picture view of how businesses should deal with risk, and was published in 2007.
He was a visiting lecturer at the University of California, Berkeley, from 1984 to 1986, where he received the Earl Cheit Outstanding Teaching Award in 1985. He has been at NYU since 1986, received the Stern School of Business Excellence in Teaching Award (awarded by the graduating class) in 1988, 1991, 1992, 1999, 2001, 2007, 2008 and 2009, and was the youngest winner of the University-wide Distinguished Teaching Award (in 1990). He was profiled in Business Week as one of the top twelve business school professors in the United States in 1994.
Editors' Note: Seeking Alpha monitors Dr. Damodaran blog and posts relevant articles on his behalf.
I am a former investment advisor and owner of several businesses, and consequently everything related to business - including investing, macro-economics, and emerging products and services come under my research and interests radar.
The most interesting and important to me are the entertainment industry, commodities, BRICs, and the impact of loose money policies on businesses and investors.
These days I invest only for myself, while continuing to write on a variety of financial and economic topics.
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Andy Hecht is the chief market strategist for Carden Capital and Carden Futures. Andy is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving huge quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars and trains to transport and store a wide range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis can be found on a number of market based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. He is currently working on his second book, Luster. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and is associated as a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity-expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
Every stock has a story, and that story is told each day the stock market opens.
Market DJ: Research, Enlightenment, Entertainment
Listening to the market, cutting through the noise... Finding good products & companies, crunching numbers... Looking for long-term macro trends in consumer spending habits... Learning through research and market performance...
Focusing on US Listed Companies:
–retail and technology trends
–media and entertainment products
–food & beverage, restaurant, and hospitality
We conduct independent, boots on the ground research, as well as the numbers. Go with what you know. Every stock has a story, and that story is told each and every day in the stock market. We look at the product, the company, then the numbers. I am djkidm, and teamed with knowledgable family & friends form Market DJ– research with a goal of making money & sharing that research publicly every once in a while to measure performance & receive criticism & advice.
Market DJ is mainly interested in growth & value. Companies that make money, preferably American, but we invest around the world. We look for at least 10% or more growth per year, and want a good product, company, and market, no excuses.
Range Bound or Down?
As of late 2015, we have turned bearish, at least in the cyclical sense. We shall see. In January of 2016 Market DJ formed Portfolio Lab: $100,000 of real cash with the goal of making money in a Bear Market, or Side Bear, which ever the case. Portfolio Lab serves a trading account with nimbleness being the golden rule. More details via articles or instablogs will be forthcoming depending upon time constraints. So far we have made very few moves; currently Long F, Long APPL, Short NFLX, Short W, Short TUR, Short V, and sitting with 80% cash....
waiting to strike...
I have a background in Journalism, and I hope to shed some light upon the media practices I witness each day in the Stock Market. I graduated from Portland State University in 2003 with a BA in English. I make money as a restauranteur, deejay, and writer. I joined the market in June of 2013, which presented some terrific buying opportunities. Recently I quit my night job as a bartender to concentrate on business plans, market research, and to continue making money in the market. So far so good :)
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In 2010 24/7 Wall St. named Angry Bear among the top twenty independent financial blogs on the net.
Quote: "The Angry Bear www.angrybearblog.com. Half a dozen professionals, including a tax law expert, a historian, PhDs in economics, business consultants and financial professionals provide perspectives on the financial world. Despite their expansive coverage of economic issues, their articles are as deep as their coverage is extensive. Topics include world trade, industrial production, U.S. Government programs, and major regulatory issues."
2010 FINS from The Wall Street Journal named Linda Beale's Ataxingmatter in The Top Five Tax Accounting blogs to read for 2009-2010.
Our current economists are Mike Kimel, Spencer England, Robert Waldmann, and Rebecca Wilder. Linda Beale is an expert in tax law and matters related to taxes. Ken Houghton has expertise in finance. Bruce Webb has added his expertise in particular on Social Security. Daniel Becker brings a small business perspective to his writing.
Daniel Crawford: aka Rdan and Angry Bear blog
Bios in alphabetical order:
Linda Beale: I am a law professor at Wayne State University Law School who teaches various courses in the area of federal income tax, such as introduction to federal income tax, corporate taxation, partnership taxation, international taxation and perhaps in the future a course in statutory interpretation focussed on tax.
Daniel Becker: I have two businesses: a practice in the health care field and a retail business of flowers and plants. I have served as an officer of 2 non-profits and my state society. I have testified before my state legislature. I have personally won in my state supreme court.
Ken Houghton: A principle in his own company and former economist for several major financial companies.
Spencer England: Before I started my own consulting business I was an economist for the CIA for 10 years and worked for a couple of Boston investment management firms as their in house economist, investment strategist for some 12 years. My original field of study was international economics and international finance. I celebrated the 20th anniversary of publishing SEER -- my equity strategy product. I model the S&P industries and advise portfolio managers on how to structure their portfolios by recommending industry weights.
Mike Kimel: Formerly an economist for a Fortune 500 company and now an economist for a private corporation and author of Presimetrics blog and the book Presimetrics: How Democratic and Republican Administrations Measure Up on the Issues We Care About to be published August 2010. The book can be pre-ordered.
RobertWaldmann: I have a PhD in economics (Harvard 1989) and teach economics at the University of Rome "Tor Vergata". Oddly, I don't blog much at my own site rjwaldmann about economics or Italy. As an economist (roughly) I am interested in behavioral economics, growth, and the economics of inequality. Actually much of my current research, such as it is, is really in econometric methodology and statistics. I was very unorthodox in the 80s, but the orthodoxy is much less rigid now.
Bruce Webb: is a current member of the National Academy of Social Insurance (NASI). I am by training a historian who then has spent my working career in information retrieval and land use regulation. My interest in Social Security arose when I noticed in passing that the dates related to 'crisis' were moving but that nobody seemed to be noticing that and still less asking the key questions 'why?' and 'can this go on?'
Rebecca Wilder: After receiving my Doctorate in Economics, I was an assistant professor for two years. However, I realized that teaching just wasn't for me and took a job in private sector. Now, I am an Economist in the financial industry. As an economist in finance, I analyze data, write commentary, and offer economic insight to traders, chiefs of staff...
Frances Coppola worked in banking for 17 years as a business analyst and project manager, running business and systems projects for (among others) RBS, Nat West, HSBC, Midland Bank and SBC Warburg (now UBS). Her banking experience encompasses retail and investment banking, front office, operations and settlement, but her particular area of expertise is financial control and risk management. She is particularly proud of the fact that RBS still produces its financial and regulatory reporting using a group consolidation system that she designed.
Frances is now a writer and commentator on banking, finance and economics. Her blog Coppola Comment is widely read and her writing has featured on the Financial Times, City AM, The Economist. The Guardian and a range of online publications. She also writes for the online magazine Pieria and occasionally for the ICAEW, and she is a frequent commentator on banking matters for the BBC.
Frances has an MBA from Cass Business School with a specialism in finance and risk management. And since financial people can be creative too, Frances is also a professional singer and singing teacher. She has a B.Mus from London University and is an Associate of the Royal College of Music. She also has two teenage children and not much time to do the garden any more!
I have been following the markets since I was in my teens and invest as both an academic exercise and to increase my net worth. While I am not confined to one type of investing, I tend to invest primarily in special situations, strong companies with pricing power, and owner-operators. I also invest for the long-term and do not trade in and out of securities.
CFA Institute is a global community of more than 100,000 investment professionals working to build an investment industry where investors’ interests come first, financial markets function at their best, and economies grow.