sponger's Comments sponger's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/109800/comments The Fallacy of Cash on the Sidelines http://seekingalpha.com/article/138360-the-fallacy-of-cash-on-the-sidelines?source=feed#comment-509357 509357 Tue, 19 May 2009 08:48:15 -0400 The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board ((FASB)) will discuss mark-to-market guidelines at a board meeting Monday. The FASB says it  will focus on "additional application guidance that would clarify how mark to market is used in illiquid markets." Earlier today, FASB chairman Robert Herz told a House subcommittee that new rules could be implemented within three weeks. http://seekingalpha.com/news/market_currents/post/19811?source=feed#comment-425786 425786 Sat, 14 Mar 2009 14:45:07 -0400 DryShips: The Time to Buy Is Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/119353-dryships-the-time-to-buy-is-now?source=feed#comment-386771 386771 Fri, 13 Feb 2009 06:38:25 -0500 The Bank Bailout Won't Save the Truly Insolvent Banks http://seekingalpha.com/article/119907-the-bank-bailout-won-t-save-the-truly-insolvent-banks?source=feed#comment-384251 384251 ]]> Wed, 11 Feb 2009 13:33:39 -0500 ]]> Now's the Time for Buy-and-Hold http://seekingalpha.com/article/118677-now-s-the-time-for-buy-and-hold?source=feed#comment-376560 376560 dollar cost averaging. The trick is to keep enough in reserve. Dollar cost averaging can work wonders even with bad stocks in bad markets. ]]> Thu, 05 Feb 2009 07:40:13 -0500 dollar cost averaging. The trick is to keep enough in reserve. Dollar cost averaging can work wonders even with bad stocks in bad markets. ]]> Plan Orange: Killing the Mortgage Crisis Quickly http://seekingalpha.com/article/118114-plan-orange-killing-the-mortgage-crisis-quickly?source=feed#comment-374280 374280 That makes it difficult to think outside the box, because these people are the box and focus on ideas generated within it. The real challenge is to find a way for proposals like those of Michael White to make their way to the topical agenda of those in charge. Being from Chicago, perhaps Mr. White can find a pathway to Obama's attention. ]]> Tue, 03 Feb 2009 09:16:48 -0500 That makes it difficult to think outside the box, because these people are the box and focus on ideas generated within it. The real challenge is to find a way for proposals like those of Michael White to make their way to the topical agenda of those in charge. Being from Chicago, perhaps Mr. White can find a pathway to Obama's attention. ]]> How to Profit from Goldman Sachs http://seekingalpha.com/article/113085-how-to-profit-from-goldman-sachs?source=feed#comment-356887 356887 Thu, 15 Jan 2009 15:24:34 -0500 Don't Let Bulk Shippers Sink Your Portfolio... For Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/105024-don-t-let-bulk-shippers-sink-your-portfolio-for-now?source=feed#comment-303392 303392 Tue, 11 Nov 2008 17:14:10 -0500 Oil Industry: Farewell, Good Old Days http://seekingalpha.com/article/99489-oil-industry-farewell-good-old-days?source=feed#comment-280483 280483 it is a rising dollar that has caused falling oil prices. The world's need for oil will not diminish until a satisfactory replacement is functional.

In fact, prices will reverse eventually as drilling/production is temporarily
curtailed due to lack of credit financing for those enterprises. It may also follow that exploration/drilling activity will move over to cash- rich large cap integrated companies for the time being. ]]>
Sun, 12 Oct 2008 10:48:05 -0400 it is a rising dollar that has caused falling oil prices. The world's need for oil will not diminish until a satisfactory replacement is functional.

In fact, prices will reverse eventually as drilling/production is temporarily
curtailed due to lack of credit financing for those enterprises. It may also follow that exploration/drilling activity will move over to cash- rich large cap integrated companies for the time being. ]]>
The U.S. Banking System is Effectively Insolvent http://seekingalpha.com/article/97856-the-u-s-banking-system-is-effectively-insolvent?source=feed#comment-269535 269535
Real estate value is not a moment in time but decades of time. To drive our mortgage institutions to insolvency by this valuation method is self perpetuating and self defeating. Real property needs to be valuated based on something like a ten year average. Doing so will not only prevent premature insolvency but it will stop banks from giving out unsafe equity loans based on the highest value as well.

The criteria used for assigning real property valuation needs to be
reconsidered. The current method is fundamentally flawed, but
it is carried forward in an effort to provide transparency and honesty.
However, it is a fundamentally flawed concept to apply it as the primary
criterion for institutional health. American society allows its regulators to move from one extreme to the other -- from making decisions based
on non disclosure to making them based on full disclosure as though
financial markets can survive the transition following the same set of valuation rules. At the very least, we can say a home is not really valued until it is sold.
]]>
Tue, 30 Sep 2008 10:29:11 -0400
Real estate value is not a moment in time but decades of time. To drive our mortgage institutions to insolvency by this valuation method is self perpetuating and self defeating. Real property needs to be valuated based on something like a ten year average. Doing so will not only prevent premature insolvency but it will stop banks from giving out unsafe equity loans based on the highest value as well.

The criteria used for assigning real property valuation needs to be
reconsidered. The current method is fundamentally flawed, but
it is carried forward in an effort to provide transparency and honesty.
However, it is a fundamentally flawed concept to apply it as the primary
criterion for institutional health. American society allows its regulators to move from one extreme to the other -- from making decisions based
on non disclosure to making them based on full disclosure as though
financial markets can survive the transition following the same set of valuation rules. At the very least, we can say a home is not really valued until it is sold.
]]>
Nose Cut Off, Face Spited, Now What? http://seekingalpha.com/article/97881-nose-cut-off-face-spited-now-what?source=feed#comment-269532 269532
Real estate value is not a moment in time but decades of time. To drive our mortgage institutions to insolvency by this valuation method is self perpetuating and self defeating. Real property needs to be valuated based on something like a ten year average. Doing so will not only prevent premature insolvency but it will stop banks from giving out unsafe equity loans based on the highest value as well.

The criteria used for assigning real property valuation needs to be
reconsidered. The current method is fundamentally flawed, but
it is carried forward in an effort to provide transparency and honesty.
However, it is a fundamentally flawed concept to apply it as the primary
criterion for institutional health. American society allows its regulators to move from one extreme to the other -- from making decisions based
on non disclosure to making them based on full disclosure as though
financial markets can survive the transition following the same set of valuation rules. At the very least, we can say a home is not really valued until it is sold.
Report abuse]]>
Tue, 30 Sep 2008 10:27:49 -0400
Real estate value is not a moment in time but decades of time. To drive our mortgage institutions to insolvency by this valuation method is self perpetuating and self defeating. Real property needs to be valuated based on something like a ten year average. Doing so will not only prevent premature insolvency but it will stop banks from giving out unsafe equity loans based on the highest value as well.

The criteria used for assigning real property valuation needs to be
reconsidered. The current method is fundamentally flawed, but
it is carried forward in an effort to provide transparency and honesty.
However, it is a fundamentally flawed concept to apply it as the primary
criterion for institutional health. American society allows its regulators to move from one extreme to the other -- from making decisions based
on non disclosure to making them based on full disclosure as though
financial markets can survive the transition following the same set of valuation rules. At the very least, we can say a home is not really valued until it is sold.
Report abuse]]>
Why This Bailout Can't Work - And What Will http://seekingalpha.com/article/97808-why-this-bailout-can-t-work-and-what-will?source=feed#comment-269529 269529
Real estate value is not a moment in time but decades of time. To drive our mortgage institutions to insolvency by this valuation method is self perpetuating and self defeating. Real property needs to be valuated based on something like a ten year average. Doing so will not only prevent premature insolvency but it will stop banks from giving out unsafe equity loans based on the highest value as well.

The criteria used for assigning real property valuation needs to be
reconsidered. The current method is fundamentally flawed, but
it is carried forward in an effort to provide transparency and honesty.
However, it is a fundamentally flawed concept to apply it as the primary
criterion for institutional health. American society allows its regulators to move from one extreme to the other -- from making decisions based
on non disclosure to making them based on full disclosure as though
financial markets can survive the transition following the same set of valuation rules. At the very least, we can say a home is not really valued until it is sold.
]]>
Tue, 30 Sep 2008 10:25:06 -0400
Real estate value is not a moment in time but decades of time. To drive our mortgage institutions to insolvency by this valuation method is self perpetuating and self defeating. Real property needs to be valuated based on something like a ten year average. Doing so will not only prevent premature insolvency but it will stop banks from giving out unsafe equity loans based on the highest value as well.

The criteria used for assigning real property valuation needs to be
reconsidered. The current method is fundamentally flawed, but
it is carried forward in an effort to provide transparency and honesty.
However, it is a fundamentally flawed concept to apply it as the primary
criterion for institutional health. American society allows its regulators to move from one extreme to the other -- from making decisions based
on non disclosure to making them based on full disclosure as though
financial markets can survive the transition following the same set of valuation rules. At the very least, we can say a home is not really valued until it is sold.
]]>
Why This Bailout Can't Work - And What Will http://seekingalpha.com/article/97808-why-this-bailout-can-t-work-and-what-will?source=feed#comment-268484 268484
"It is no more realistic to valuate real property at zero [or nearly zero] worth because of a frozen market than it is to assign it value at its historicaly highest price, [whether] estimated or actual. A more realistic and practical measure of worth could be obtained by figuring an average over ten years or assigning a mean figure for that term. Value of almost any asset cannot be measured solely by one moment in time.

The FASB directive to mark to market at the latest and (in this case) the lowest price should be modified. Putting accountants in charge of the economy is just as dangerous as putting attorneys in charge of medical practice.

A program to help resolve the financial crisis by allowing federal acquisition of distressed assets at premium prices in order to inject liquidity into the banking credit system is a tacit admission of the inadequacy of the traditional FASB ruling. As excess inventory in the housing market is worked off in the next few years valuations will eventually return to normal and will climb higher than the premium prices paid by the federal program for those assets. That occurence will then validate the recommended change in FASB directives for real estate. ]]>
Mon, 29 Sep 2008 11:36:03 -0400
"It is no more realistic to valuate real property at zero [or nearly zero] worth because of a frozen market than it is to assign it value at its historicaly highest price, [whether] estimated or actual. A more realistic and practical measure of worth could be obtained by figuring an average over ten years or assigning a mean figure for that term. Value of almost any asset cannot be measured solely by one moment in time.

The FASB directive to mark to market at the latest and (in this case) the lowest price should be modified. Putting accountants in charge of the economy is just as dangerous as putting attorneys in charge of medical practice.

A program to help resolve the financial crisis by allowing federal acquisition of distressed assets at premium prices in order to inject liquidity into the banking credit system is a tacit admission of the inadequacy of the traditional FASB ruling. As excess inventory in the housing market is worked off in the next few years valuations will eventually return to normal and will climb higher than the premium prices paid by the federal program for those assets. That occurence will then validate the recommended change in FASB directives for real estate. ]]>
Don't Be Fooled - Short Selling Restrictions Do Work http://seekingalpha.com/article/97102-don-t-be-fooled-short-selling-restrictions-do-work?source=feed#comment-263316 263316 The question is to whom do they sell? Only the market makers? How much inventory can market makers absorb? My question is what prudent fund manager would invest in finance equities if he cannot hedge his position by protective puts? A spread of long financials and short the Dow or something like that will not meet the protection requirement standards of many mutual funds, pension managers and conservative investors of a large scale. Consequently, it seems to me that suspension of short sales removes .buyers from the market, creates considerable slippage in volume, and in the long run leads to lower capitalization. In so doing it also contributes to more rather than less volatility in the finance sector. I have big gaps in my Economics and Markets 101 education, so maybe I am entirely off base on this, but if so I would like to be corrected by those who kjnow better. ]]> Wed, 24 Sep 2008 08:43:50 -0400 The question is to whom do they sell? Only the market makers? How much inventory can market makers absorb? My question is what prudent fund manager would invest in finance equities if he cannot hedge his position by protective puts? A spread of long financials and short the Dow or something like that will not meet the protection requirement standards of many mutual funds, pension managers and conservative investors of a large scale. Consequently, it seems to me that suspension of short sales removes .buyers from the market, creates considerable slippage in volume, and in the long run leads to lower capitalization. In so doing it also contributes to more rather than less volatility in the finance sector. I have big gaps in my Economics and Markets 101 education, so maybe I am entirely off base on this, but if so I would like to be corrected by those who kjnow better. ]]> Read It and Weep for the USA http://seekingalpha.com/article/96510-read-it-and-weep-for-the-usa?source=feed#comment-260744 260744 Sun, 21 Sep 2008 13:39:02 -0400 The Only Chart True Investors Need to See http://seekingalpha.com/article/89693-the-only-chart-true-investors-need-to-see?source=feed#comment-224946 224946 tip) at a major hotel restaurant in New York City (evidenced by my
parents' scrap book). ]]>
Thu, 07 Aug 2008 09:55:09 -0400 tip) at a major hotel restaurant in New York City (evidenced by my
parents' scrap book). ]]>
Is Amazon.com Really Worth Over $70 a Share? http://seekingalpha.com/article/83941-is-amazon-com-really-worth-over-70-a-share?source=feed#comment-209280 209280 content sources, and if the device, itself, is constantly improved
and upgraded with bluetooth interface to various smart phones
without morphing into yet another laptop there would be every
reason for ever higher valuation on AMZN. The outcome rests on the shoulders of AMZN management. ]]>
Sat, 19 Jul 2008 09:06:30 -0400 content sources, and if the device, itself, is constantly improved
and upgraded with bluetooth interface to various smart phones
without morphing into yet another laptop there would be every
reason for ever higher valuation on AMZN. The outcome rests on the shoulders of AMZN management. ]]>