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BTNelson33

BTNelson33
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  • Apple: The Pullback Might Be Worse Next Week [View article]
    Losers!
    Apr 14 10:40 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: The Pullback Might Be Worse Next Week [View article]
    I think the author thinks $545 is because that's where the BAT's flash crash occurred? This is the "nervousness" of a 200 point rise in the stock since the last earnings report back in January. I can't even imagine what the implied volatility will be in Apple options from 3:00-4:00 pm? There are many positive events for Apple in 2Q: iPhone 4S launch in China, iPad 3 launch, announcement of a dividend, opening Apple shares up to growth + income mutual funds, ETF's and the coming launch of iPhone 5. Get your popcorn ready the afternoon and evening of 4/24!
    Apr 14 10:39 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Will Apple's Earnings Report Compare To The First Fiscal Quarter? [View article]
    I'm not concerned with Apple's projections - I'm more concerned with the "street" raising earnings expectations. The more Apple shares increase pre-earnings - the more Apple's 2Q is being priced for perfection. I realize that Apple depends largely on iPhone sales and have no doubt they will be great (China). I'm a little concerned with Intel being late with their release of Ivy Bridge. This is delaying the Mac refresh. This may be more an issue for 3Q. I want to be heavily invested for the iPhone 5 launch. This will be HUUUUGGGGE!
    Apr 11 09:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Amazon Shareholders Will Not Realize Apple-Like Returns [View article]
    This an excellent review of two popular tech companies. I have difficulty with Amazon's PE being around 140. Amazon continues to innovate and that is good. But there are many headwinds slowly working against it: sales tax, delivery costs, expansion costs, and most importantly, profit margin's below 1%. Apple generates profit margins around 40% and Wal-Mart around 3.75% during major expansion. So why isn't Amazon priced more like a retail stock versus tech? Amazon continues to miss earnings expectations and will likely do it again. I shorted Amazon at 204 and am pleased with the results.
    Apr 11 08:36 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Be Careful What You Wish For [View article]
    I applaud the author for owning up to his excellent call on buying Apple Leaps and his shortcomings for his "short" position. How many "shorts" have been run over? I firmly agree on the idea that the higher Apple share rise pre-earnings, the higher the "perfection" bar is set for April 24th. Be careful - whatever you do. What about the idea of a protective OTM Apple Put - for long term Apple shareholders? The closer to $650 per share, the more I'd like protection for a 10-15% pull back. Think Apple moving back 60-70 points will capture the markets attention?
    Apr 9 09:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Has Apple Become A Speculative Stock? [View article]
    Based on holding the common stock and also trading call options the past two years - investors must evaluate Apple on it's ability to innovate, launch new products to create new revenue streams and increase market single digit market share in China and other emerging markets. I'm done with listening to so called "expert" analysts and doubters who are wrong time and time again. How many times must they be run over? Maybe we should invest in RIM or Amazon or Microsoft or Sony - the list goes on. The fact that Apple trades over $600 per share is the major reason the options market is so active. It's the only reasonable chance for an individual investor to gain leverage.
    Apr 2 10:25 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Wal-Mart Then And Now: A Harbinger For Amazon.com In 2032? [View article]
    This is an excellent analysis. Amazon continues to miss earnings estimates. It appears Amazon is spending considerable revenue building out it's infrastructure, thus further taking profit margin away from earnings. I'd be interested in a future analysis of how fuel prices impact Amazon profitability? I'm considering a short position in Amazon going into 2Q earnings. Good or a bad idea?
    Apr 1 01:27 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investing In Apple 'Too Difficult?' [View article]
    I fully appreciate this article as an investor. One should always focus on what would need to change in order to prompt a sell order? I remain bullish on Apple - but realize 5-15% corrections are expected. If you analyze the last 8 Apple earnings announcements - the stock has pulled back 5-15% in 7 of the past 8. It wouldn't surprise me in the least to see Apple pull back post April 20th announcement. It's important to use puts/calls to protect investment positions and protect recent gains.
    As long as Apple continues to innovate and build out the Apple ecosystem - the stock price will continue to move higher. I've yet to see any SA author to write about the percentage of people who buy Apple products and enter the Apple ecosystem - how many choose to leave Apple? Resistance is futile. Ask RIM/Blackberry users. Besides - the corporate world is just beginning to accept Apple products and China is such a huge market opportunity. There is a lot more growth left in Apple.
    Mar 30 03:38 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will Apple Shares Get A Boost From 'Window Dressing'? [View article]
    Although I agree with this strategy, I wonder if some mutual funds actually take money off the table as many funds top percentage in any one position is 5%. Apple has increased in price so quickly in 2012 - I wonder if we actually see a decline this quarter? Tim Cooke's ability to get significant business done in China this week is more likely to move the stock. Figuring out ways to increase iPhone market share will really move Apple shares.
    Mar 27 09:50 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple VIX Drops, Options Plunge [View article]
    I like the apple VIX indicator - but I'm not sure I completely understand the concept. If implied volatility goes way down (20's) would that indicate a "buy" for apple calls? If implied volatility goes way up before earnings on the 20th - would that indicate a great opportunity for writing "covered" calls? Can anyone help me with strategic moves based on apple VIX?
    Mar 27 09:39 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple And Income Inequality In The U.S. [View article]
    The author of this article is totally uninformed. Foxconn employees received an increase in pay of 20%. How many times in your working career have you been given an increase of 20% for doing the same job? Apple's management is charged with the challenge to innovate - not solve the world's inequities!
    Mar 22 11:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple To Place 98 Billion Where? [View article]
    As a long time Apple Shareholder I would expect management to make this a principled move. For example, if a dividend is announced I would expect a special dividend + quarterly beginning at a later date. If they purchase their own shares - what percentage would they take off the market 10%, 20%, 25%? What ever management decides - making investors long term shareholders in a world of day traders is what I'd like to see. I don't know about you - but I love seeing shorts get runnover! Back the Apple truck up and run them over again!!!
    Mar 19 07:39 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • An Apple Bubble Is Forming [View article]
    How does one accurately value the Apple ecosystem? There are so many intangibles built into Apple - I've read about so many Apple shorts getting run over. This stock will correct - but there are so many investors who want in - it's going to be sharp and short lived. How would you value Apple after tomorrows dividend announcement? There are so many moves management can make to totally screw shorts. Bears beware for now ....
    Mar 18 09:01 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Too Far Too Fast? [View article]
    And this is the same thought process many investors have chosen to use - shorting Apple is not a wise choice. I can see protective puts against a position - but I wouldn't even write covered calls against Apple right now with the line up of new products. The stock also tends to run higher as earnings approach. The iPhone 4S just launched in China - 1 Billion people. Both China carriers have the iPhone 4s - kind of reminds of the explosive growth Apple generated when Verizon joined AT&T. 2Q will be another blow out!!!
    Mar 3 10:47 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's Upside Is Limited In The Near Term [View article]
    Apple remains undervalued. It has an strong line up of new products coming to market. The market didn't move 1 dollar on Apple's announcement of iBooks. This is going to be huge! Apple has proven - market share means nothing - profits do! Good luck.
    Mar 1 12:23 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
91 Comments
170 Likes