dscianni's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/110269/comments http://seekingalpha.com/article/122307-major-indexes-hit-multi-year-lows?source=feed#comment-414557 414557
If as a trader you look at daily market action to guide your decision, stick to that timeframe also in your predictions... ]]> Thu, 05 Mar 2009 13:16:55 -0500
If as a trader you look at daily market action to guide your decision, stick to that timeframe also in your predictions... ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/122049-how-low-can-the-s-p-500-go?source=feed#comment-399897 399897
> In short, price action drives the charts; charts do not drive the
> price action!

sure and granted, but what you're looking for is a way to anticipate the "next" price action..

> Price action is driven by basic equity fundamentals, which in turn
> drive our emotions from fear to greed and vice versa.

well, I'd like to be explained how "fundamentals" drive 35% moves over a few days (plenty of examples out there) sometimes in both directions!

IMHO, history doesn't repeat, but rhymes.. and so do chart patterns.. why? because it's us i.e. all of us human beings participating in both making history and trading in the market..

and by your own admission:

> Technical analysis is most useful in giving us a visual, quantitative 'snapshot' of market psychology and sentiment

in other words, what moves the market in the end!

don't disregard this tool, rather learn how to properly use it.. ]]> Mon, 23 Feb 2009 10:28:33 -0500
> In short, price action drives the charts; charts do not drive the
> price action!

sure and granted, but what you're looking for is a way to anticipate the "next" price action..

> Price action is driven by basic equity fundamentals, which in turn
> drive our emotions from fear to greed and vice versa.

well, I'd like to be explained how "fundamentals" drive 35% moves over a few days (plenty of examples out there) sometimes in both directions!

IMHO, history doesn't repeat, but rhymes.. and so do chart patterns.. why? because it's us i.e. all of us human beings participating in both making history and trading in the market..

and by your own admission:

> Technical analysis is most useful in giving us a visual, quantitative 'snapshot' of market psychology and sentiment

in other words, what moves the market in the end!

don't disregard this tool, rather learn how to properly use it.. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/121092-how-much-lower-will-equities-go?source=feed#comment-399592 399592
Getting there would plain and simply confirm the double top it's made over the last 12 years.. a minimum target is 400, and a possible target (and a rather likely one in my view) is in the 70-200 points range.. it should take some 6 to 12 years to get there.

Enjoy the ride... ]]> Mon, 23 Feb 2009 06:55:29 -0500
Getting there would plain and simply confirm the double top it's made over the last 12 years.. a minimum target is 400, and a possible target (and a rather likely one in my view) is in the 70-200 points range.. it should take some 6 to 12 years to get there.

Enjoy the ride... ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/114905-using-the-ka-poom-theory-to-invest-after-black-swan-events?source=feed#comment-357352 357352
I can think of at least a couple of well-known blogs, which should be given their due credits.]]> Fri, 16 Jan 2009 07:44:22 -0500
I can think of at least a couple of well-known blogs, which should be given their due credits.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/109796-give-me-three-reasons-to-stay-in-this-market?source=feed#comment-326457 326457
At this times, you can either play market timing (but need the tools and the discipline) or not play at all.

Every season has its tools..

]]> Thu, 11 Dec 2008 12:19:15 -0500
At this times, you can either play market timing (but need the tools and the discipline) or not play at all.

Every season has its tools..

]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/110183-confessions-of-an-austrian-economist?source=feed#comment-326429 326429
However, I now recognize the very real need to mitigate economic fallout from this downturn through monetary and fiscal stimulus in order to prevent worst-case outcomes that result from the deleveraging downward spiral. "

well, I guess here lies the prob: "We need to save more, spend less and reduce debt" means getting rid of current excess capacity (SUV, McMansion every other block, etc.) .. no stimulus will get you down that road, only take you on costly and longer sidepaths!

A change in habits is no economic affair, albeit it reverberates in the economy... ]]> Thu, 11 Dec 2008 11:53:12 -0500
However, I now recognize the very real need to mitigate economic fallout from this downturn through monetary and fiscal stimulus in order to prevent worst-case outcomes that result from the deleveraging downward spiral. "

well, I guess here lies the prob: "We need to save more, spend less and reduce debt" means getting rid of current excess capacity (SUV, McMansion every other block, etc.) .. no stimulus will get you down that road, only take you on costly and longer sidepaths!

A change in habits is no economic affair, albeit it reverberates in the economy... ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/110115-third-trendline-break-may-be-a-charm?source=feed#comment-326358 326358 Thu, 11 Dec 2008 11:00:39 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/79861-chesapeake-energy-reverts-to-resource-acquisition-mode?source=feed#comment-178687 178687 Tue, 03 Jun 2008 14:44:01 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/73572-origin-agritech-planting-the-seeds-for-success?source=feed#comment-159508 159508 Wed, 30 Apr 2008 13:36:19 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/68783-is-trouble-brewing-at-glg-partners?source=feed#comment-152803 152803
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