MichaelD

Must-Know Info for Investing in Commercial REITS, If You Dare

How would you analyze the prospects of a well-diversified ETF like VNQ over a long time-horizon, say 7 years? Say one assumes that the REIT index returns to its long-term average yield over those seven years. Is this reasonable? Or does one need to factor in above-normal bankruptcies? If so, what would be a reasonable assumption? I am investing through a handful or ETFs rather than individual equities. Thanks.