BxCapricorn

Back Room Deal? - Cramer's Mad Money (10/10/08)

I dislike Cramer a great deal, and wondered why he would tell everyone to sell off and stay out for 5 years. What did he see? If you look at the 1929/1930 market movements, you will be struck by the correlations between the current ones. You had a peak on Sept. 3rd at 381.17 and a drop to 198.6 on that fateful October day in 1929. The recovery rally went to early April and peaked at 294. From there we had a slow roll down to 41.22 on July 8th, 1932. To correlate in a proportional way, you would need to have our 14,280 top, go to a 7,440 bottom, then rebound to 11,014 only to drop to 1,544 over a long period of time. Maybe this is what Cramer saw, and why he reacted so strangely on The Today Show. Personally, I don't believe any two time periods are governed by mathematics, but others do and isn't TA all about fulfilling preconditioned expectations via "quants" and the computer programs they run?