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yoyoma1

yoyoma1
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  • Busting Medbox [View article]
    I should warn you against short selling even if you believe a stock is doomed. For day trading it is okay if you can borrow shares for free or cheap, but overnight shorts charge you borrowing fees that can easily exceed 25% APR. Also most of these scam companies are familiar with how to squeeze short positions using market manipulation strategies like pump and dump or announcing huge stock dividends. Would you have wanted to be short MDBX Jan 6-7, 2014 when the price doubled? I'm sure Citron knew it was a scam before that, but shorting would have been a disaster.

    It is much more difficult to make a profitable short trade with 1 month hold time than a long trade. The odds are stacked against short traders. It is better to just avoid scam companies.
    Feb 19 01:48 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • StoneMor: With Dividend At Risk, Shares Could Fall Sharply [View article]
    Yes totally different business models, but WHX and STON do share one characteristic; they both have a dividend that is unsustainable.

    With WHX the realization that the dividend would eventually be cut caused the price drop.
    With STON a large price drop could actually cause the dividend cut since STON relies on the issuance of new equity (and debt) to fund the dividend.

    But the author's point is the price drop can (and probably will) precede the cut.
    Aug 12 12:58 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed's got it right. Data going back to 1962 shows the 10-year Treasury yield is far more correlated with core CPI than it is with the headline rate, notes Matt Busigin. Since 1986, the Treasury/core rate correlation is even higher, getting pretty close to 1. The data also gives truth to the argument that energy and food price shocks (which affect the headline) are deflationary[View news story]
    Inflation is deflationary! You are blowing my mind...

    Are you saying that price increases in energy and food are a leading indicator to deflation or what?
    Aug 20 03:21 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's Troubling Risk-Reward Profile [View article]
    "coal smoke and mirrors" -- Hahahaha, nice jab at EV. John, it's amazing you have the fortitude to continue writing intellectual articles with 80% of the comments completely ignoring your analysis... or analysis in general.

    I would be happy to leave Tesla alone, except they're part of the faux-environmentalism corporate lobby that is draining tax dollars to pay for toys for the ultra rich.

    Stop the tax credits and incentives, and I will be happy to let Tesla (and the solar companies) live in peace for as long as they can delude themselves.
    Jun 7 04:51 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Cisco Is Ridiculously Underpriced [View article]
    Why are people impressed with 3% dividends?
    Apr 1 10:33 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Will The U.S. Default? An Introduction To Sovereign Default Risk [View article]
    Would you explain this comment in laymen terms? Also would you explain why Taiwan and Singapore are not suitable counterparties for China risk? Is it the geographical closeness, or related to China's desire to take over Taiwan or what? Thanks.
    Sep 13 12:26 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Bill Gross's Dreadful Analysis Of The U.S. Economy's 'Wounded Heart' [View article]
    I have to agree strongly with point #1. The complaint banks are making is not the lack of risk premium, but the lack of RISK-FREE PREMIUM. They are used to buying 3-12 month T-bills and paying deposits 25 basis points lower. They can't do that anymore since 3-month T-bills are yielding 5 basis points and 12 months are yielding 14 bp. So their risk-free spread is approximately nothing. Now they have to actually make loans or buy riskfull bonds to make a spread.
    Jun 19 01:04 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • More from Grantham: Courtesy of the donkey-beatings, all global assets are once again becoming overpriced, but not uniformly so. Pockets of value can be found in emerging markets (EEM) and Japan (DXJ), and the great global franchise companies. Much of everything else is "brutally overpriced," with U.S. stocks selling at an implied negative 7-year imputed return ... As for fixed income - fugetaboutit!." [View news story]
    Would you explain what a "implied negative 7-year imputed return" on stocks means?
    Feb 7 11:11 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Annaly Capital - The Slippery Slope Continues [View article]
    Even someone who types with CAP-LOCK on can be clever in online forums.
    Nov 16 12:46 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • At The Fed, Will Pride Precede A Fall (In Treasury Bonds)? [View article]
    If you put on a short trade of TLT for years, you're pretty much guaranteed to get your borrowed shares pulled before you want to cover. You need to think of a better way to short treasuries than shorting TLT. An article that was written about the same time as yours suggests buying gold or silver, which I don't love, but at least you can't get a forced buy-in. Buying a put on TLT will rock your wallet (in a bad way) if you get the time frame wrong. Shorting a call might work but will require huge margin and very limited gains. So I'm inclined to say that buying inflation hedges may be a better long-term trade than shorting anything indefinitely.
    Nov 9 12:27 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • StoneMor: With Dividend At Risk, Shares Could Fall Sharply [View article]
    @giorgiolb, Yes this is an old story, but you have not provided any argument against the assertion that STON is a Ponzi scheme.
    @DividendInvestorLA Yes the bashers are trying to make profits shorting this stock, but you have not provided any argument against the assertion that STON is a Ponzi scheme. I agree with you that manipulative articles are more reason to not trust the stock market.
    Aug 13 01:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bill Gross's Dreadful Analysis Of The U.S. Economy's 'Wounded Heart' [View article]
    "5. Representation without taxation is worse than taxation without representation. The votes of those who do not pay any Federal taxes, uneducated, criminals should be counted as half vote. A kind of controversial."

    Tony Pow, I agree this is a huge problem -- one that cannot be solved without either taxing the poor or reducing their vote.
    Jun 19 01:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Oracle - Unfriendly To Shareholders [View article]
    Not double-speak at all. There are many great businesses that are not good buys. From valuation perspective, companies like AMZN, FB, and AAPL are all very profitable but have unreasonably high valuations. For companies like ORCL and a large percentage of publicly traded companies, the company exists for the profit of the employees, particularly top executives and board members. It creates conflict of interest to have multiple small owners (shareholders) because the ones steering the ship (execs and board) are incentivized to reward themselves more than the owners.
    Feb 14 04:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Could Happen To Long-Term Treasury Bondholders If Interest Rates Rise? [View article]
    How were your projections formulated and why is the adjusted price higher? You wrote, "...we should also be able to adjust for our fund's fluctuating dividend rate." Please elaborate.
    Feb 13 10:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why The Long Bond Will Continue To Defy Gravity [View article]
    Which form of physical gold (and silver) do you think has the lowest transaction cost, should I decide to cash out at some point? Please cite references used. Thanks!
    Dec 30 06:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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26 Comments
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