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options3986

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  • iPad Mini Success Will Sink Apple Margins; Look For 30% Downside [View article]
    Your article assumes way too much and makes you appear very short sighted that future innovation is not even remotely possible without Steve Jobs. You write as if there's nothing left of Apple - PERIOD; as if all there is and ever will be are the current lineup of products or that the dozens of new global markets won't add to their bottom line.

    With a company as large and successful as Apple I have a very difficult time believing that the few paragraphs, charts and graphs included in your article could even possibly scratch the surface of where Apple will go in the future. I'd even venture to guess that there was a thing or two you may have missed. There's just too much going on inside Apple and the world's growing love affair with anything Apple to call for a 30% decline due to the release of a single product. Rest assured, it will be a long time coming before another Maps debacle will blemish this company. Good lesson to learn and a company like Apple only has to learn it once. I am already long Apple and would not waste any time waiting for a 30% decline before adding or entering. Your $500 price target is on the wrong side of where Apple is likely to go.

    If Apple's front office, who I kind of have to believe think of this kind of stuff all the time, ever thought for a minute that releasing a product would give investors a 30% haircut, they just wouldn't do it. Or is it just that you don't think they have crunched the numbers as sufficiently as you did to arrive at your conclusion? With all due respect, your article just doesn't make a lot of sense to me.
    Oct 4, 2012. 05:28 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Arena Pharmaceuticals Could Be Going On A Diet Soon [View article]
    The author's article might have been better titled: Belviq at 12 Weeks --- ARNA at $3.00.

    There is no disclosure from the author which confirms in my mind the biased slant of a typical short seller. It's incredible that Seeking Alpha permits this kind of baseless trash to seep through and get published. The author's message is a warning that Belviq is nothing new and does nothing to enhance weight loss. In my analogy, the author argues that the use of Belviq is the equivalent to the cure to the common cold being that if you drink plenty of fluids and get plenty of rest, in 7 - 10 days you're cured of your cold. Since the drug has not even hit the market, the author makes too many assumptions about Belviq, the most egregious is that it just doesn't work and people will en-mass simply stop taking it, which of course would cause the stock to plummet. What a revelation !!!

    The author fails to reflect on the price action of the stock in response to critical events. Where does the author think the price goes once DEA does its thing? Where does the author think the price goes the day Belviq hits the shelves in pharmacies? Where does the author think the price goes when people realize Belviq does what it says?

    Using the author's own numbers, he is predicting a $3.00 price per share within 12 weeks of Belviq becoming available. Too many assumptions based on a biased opinion makes for a complete waste of perfectly good 1's and 0's. I respect the author's opinion. In my opinion, this article is shameful.
    Sep 25, 2012. 05:02 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple - Stay Objective And Aware Of Threats [View article]
    You lost all credibility on the first sentence of your second paragraph when you wrote, "The purpose of this post is to make the reader aware of a couple of things that could start to go seriously badly for Apple (AAPL) over the next couple of years."

    That's where you convinced me that your article did not deserve another second of my time. Are you kidding? Neither you, nor any other writer knows anything about Apple's future. All we know is the Apple of today is woven intimately into the lives of so many people on the planet and there is nothing to make me believe that Apple won't continue to be the world's leader in innovative "must have" products.
    Sep 12, 2012. 06:14 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • VirnetX: Do You Believe In Fairytales? Part 2 [View article]
    The timing of this "report" is very interesting and very suspect. When was this article written? Once the author saw the impact his first article had on the share price, he simply cashed out when it crashed. Now that it has recovered a significant percentage of its value, up from $20 to nearly $29.00, no doubt he loaded up again on short positions before releasing his next strategic attack on the stock. How much more blatant can it be? That's nothing short of absolute intentional and strategic manipulation of a stock to benefit his own short position. Personally, I think this needs some serious looking into. Let's see how long this post lasts in here before someone deletes it.
    Aug 7, 2012. 12:34 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • VirnetX (VHC -18.8%) is more than giving back yesterday's big gains following a bearish column from SA's Special K. The author suspects VirnetX's recent licensing deals involved trivial payments, doesn't expect Apple and Cisco to settle, and thinks the details of VirnetX's legal victory against Microsoft don't bode well. Moreover, even if VirnetX receives $200M apiece from Apple and Cisco (on par with the Microsoft settlement), that might not be enough to drive shares higher.  [View news story]
    To mcheikin.... You're exactly right. But at this rate, we will be a penny stock by next week.
    Jul 26, 2012. 07:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cerner (CERN): Q2 EPS of $0.59 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $637.4M (+21.6% Y/Y) in-line. Shares -9.7% AH. (PR)  [View news story]
    Getting slaughtered AH..... Sure glad we BEAT estimates. Sheeeesh... imagine if we missed.
    Jul 26, 2012. 07:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Stocks That Might Double [View article]
    The Madoff analogy is completely invalid. His success came from evading investigation for 17 years. HLF has never evaded investigation. For 32 years, HLF has withstood them. As for Belgium, it's a large planet. If you look at enough countries and you're bound to find one that has a law making something illegal. As for the U.S. court system, California's courts are certainly not representative of our mainstream, and the 9th Circuit in particular probably gave Hollywood some good ideas for its Men In Black characters.

    What HLF must live with is that since it is MLM it must contend with the fact that there are new MLM haters born every day and since it has for 32 years withstood every scrutiny under the sun, the only thing left is for detractors is to try to convict it in the court of public opinion, which it attempted to do with Einhorn as the judge, jury, and executioner. Yet, Einhorn walked away empty handed.

    lazymanandmoney asks: "Now how about you explain exactly why HLF is a legitimate MLM, and not an illegal using the FTC guidelines or explain why the courts are wrong rather than just relying on arguments such as, "They haven't been caught yet."

    That question is the basis of every previous scrutiny and investigation. Since HLF has been repeatedly scrutinized, examined, investigated and the same questions repeatedly asked and answered, I think the more appropriate and even obvious question would be why has HLF not been found guilty of being a scam, ponzi or pyramid after 32 years of living under a microscope?

    It's about time for detractors to acknowledge the company's legitimacy. Let's not forget a popular definition of insanity as continuously doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. HLF is the wrong tree for MLM haters to be barking up. You'd think that after 32 years of barking with questions asked and answered, they would finally get it.
    Jul 9, 2012. 09:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Stocks That Might Double [View article]
    How long has HLF been operating with this business model? Six months? A year and a half? Let's do a little math. This is 2012. The company was founded in 1980. I think that comes out to 32 years. In 32 years the company has survived every challenge and accusation brought against it. You don't successfully overcome such scrutiny unless you have the bona-fides to back it up.

    One question for the critics: Why, after 32 years, has the FTC, the DOJ or any other watchdog agency failed to shut down this "pyramid / ponzi" or whatever other scam name they want to label it? After all this time, it should be apparent that there will always be those people who simply don't like MLM and they will always be the people who label all MLM's as pyramids, ponzis, and scams. Of course there are some MLM's that fall into that category, and perhaps even most. But they all go by the wayside after very short periods of time.

    By now, it should be evident after all the challenges to its business model, not the least of which coming from Mr. Einhorn, that HLF is a legitimate direct selling company. Not only is it legitimate, it is fundamentally strong and up until the recent Hatchet job by Einhorn, it had rewarded its investors handsomely.
    Jul 8, 2012. 05:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's Worst Enemy: Apple [View article]
    When does the author, or the rest of the world, think that this undervalued stock will catch up to where it should be trading at? I continue to be astonished at how an undervalued company as Apple can start to approach its rightful place in the pps, come out with its best earnings quarter ever, and then plummet more than $111.00 immediately after. We are now a full 1/3 into the quarter. Earnings will be very interesting to say the least. Even more interesting as well as UNCERTAIN, will be the price action following earnings. The stock has fallen $111.00 with a monstrous earnings beat. I'd hate to think where it would be if earnings had missed by even a penny.
    May 17, 2012. 01:06 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 5 Reasons Apple Is A Bad Bet [View article]
    He mentions that growth is unpredictable. He's absolutely right, except it's to the upside. The author fails to mention for consideration the fact that as of today, Apple has expanded into 23 new countries and as of tomorrow, Saturday, seven more new countries. So I absolutely agree with him that its growth is unpredictable. Here is the link dated TODAY, May 11, 2012.

    http://bit.ly/KuVaTC

    This author, like many other self-proclaimed experts on Apple, gives no significance to global expansion when considering what Apple is worth. I really don't understand these guys citing one sided arguments against buying stock in Apple. If he intended to present a subjective and biased case, he certainly succeeded. Further, his "conclusion" quotes the stock trading at $600, which means it was written sometime last month. Not very helpful.
    May 11, 2012. 06:07 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ponder The Future Market's Performance And The Apple Bubble [View article]
    I am continually perplexed with people of the assumption that it would be difficult if not impossible for a company such as Apple, which has nearly re-defined innovation, to innovate further with other successful products. Yes, Steve Jobs is no longer here, but since he is being given near divine status as an innovator, it seems counter-intuitive to imagine he would not have been "divine" enough to outline and put into place his vision and the team to carry it out? One thing that I keep remembering from one of Tim Cook's conference calls is that he did state there are "other things in the pipe." I doubt Apple intends to rest on its laurels that the success of the iPhone, iPad, iPod, iTunes etc. has produced. Nonetheless, thank you for your thoughtful perspective.
    May 9, 2012. 02:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 10 Reasons Why I Think Bank Of America Is A Buy [View article]
    How soon can we expect the lawsuit with Merrill Lynch to be settled? There was an article from SA today reporting that BAC was in early stage talks and that it could cost hundreds of millions. This is concerning. Thanks.......
    May 4, 2012. 03:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Yahoo Back to CENSORSHIP of Posts on Yahoo Finance Chat Boards [View instapost]
    I have been posting to the Apple message board in Yahoo Finance. All of my posts are respectful and informative. Yesterday, 4/28/12, I noticed that my posts are not showing up at all. I went so far as to create a brand new yahoo user ID and tried to post again. Any post attempted using the new Yahoo ID did not show up in any Yahoo message board I tried to post in. This suggests that yahoo is blocking posts that are coming from my IP address, although I can't be 100% certain. I sent an email to Yahoo Customer Care which sent an auto-reply that my question will be answered within 24 hours.

    The only thing I can possibly think of is that members who have opposing opinions have been clicking on the "Report Abuse" link on all of my posts. Perhaps this is what has caused Yahoo to block my posts.

    I am very disappointed that Yahoo would intentionally block my messages.
    Apr 30, 2012. 04:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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