If you copied Kia Investment Research's ratings since 2014 and opened each position for the duration of 1 Year , then 100% of your transactions would have been profitable with an average return of +16.2%. https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/kia-investment-research ---------------------------------- A little bit about me:I hold two US issued software patents, one of which is issued internationally. I have 3+ decades experience as a software architect and 16 years as an intellectual property researcher specializing in security. I've delivered 1/2 a dozen shrink-wrap retail software packages to market and spent 3 years at Xerox's Palo Alto Research Center (PARC).
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
I am a retired college faculty in Philosophy, with specializations in Ethics, Socio-political Theory and Rational Choice/Decision Theory. My teaching focus was on Business Ethics, Medical Ethics and Logic. After retirement I freelanced as a Grant Writer/Fund Raising Consultant. I have taught at Washington University in St. Louis, the University of Missouri - St. Louis, and St. Louis Community College.
I believe that potential investments ought to be evaluated through an examination of their fundamentals - i.e., fundamental analysis. Those investments can then be analyzed with respect to whatever criteria an investor may wish to bring to bear, but at least the investments they make will be more or less fundamentally sound. For me, one of the more important features of an investment (after fundamentals are satisfied) is dividend yield. I expect my investment to earn money for me.
I also believe that the day of the "traditional" investment strategy based on one's age/proximity to retirement is over. To be sure, one wants to put one's money in places where it is more secure, but in the day and age of internet-based investment services, a variety of ETFs, and reasonably safe investment vehicles, there is no need for retired people to stick the bulk of their assets in relatively unprofitable treasury notes and bonds.
If you copied Kia Investment Research's ratings since 2014 and opened each position for the duration of 1 Year , then 100% of your transactions would have been profitable with an average return of +16.2%. https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/kia-investment-research
A little bit about me:
I hold two US issued software patents, one of which is issued internationally. I have 3+ decades experience as a software architect and 16 years as an intellectual property researcher specializing in security. I've delivered 1/2 a dozen shrink-wrap retail software packages to market and spent 3 years at Xerox's Palo Alto Research Center (PARC).
PhD in Computational Physics. Developing new models for stock trading (focusing on long SVXY). Predicting future accurately enough for trading purposes is surprisingly difficult... :)
Contrarian investment philosophy. I am in particular interested in undervalued technology stocks with multiple x upside potential and limited downside risk.
I am currently long $MSFT, $LNVGY, $INTC, $CRAY, $VRNG, $OCAT, $F, $TLT, $ALU and $NOK. $NOK (and now $ALU) are still the largest position in my portfolio, although I sold 70% of my $NOK position since the Devices and Services deal with Microsoft was announced. $NOK/ALU, and $TLT are currently my largest individual stock/ETF positions.
I also swing trade inverse volatility (long $SVXY) depending on market trends. I do not touch $VIX or other direct volatility products under any circumstances.
Additional disclosure: My comments, Stocktalks, articles etc are not an endorsement to buy or sell securities. Investing in securities carries with it very high risks. The information contained within my articles and commentary is for informational purposes only and is subject to change at any time. Do your own due diligence and consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.