kotika98

VIX Withers Down Below Technical Support After Huge Job Loss Catalyst

The phrase used in the article "VIX options" is a dead giveaway - there is no such thing, or actually there is but they are not actively traded and anyway they are not what this author thinks it is. Hahaha...

Portfolio Planning and the Lost Decade

First, you fail to specify what the defualt setting for the average return and volatility on the S&P500 is. The second thing is, I could calculate what that probability might have been with a calculator, no need for fancy-shmancy Monte-Carlo. You only need MC if you are doing a "dynamical" analysis where your decisions in subsequent periods depend on what happened in the meantime. The other way that MC is useful for financial plannning is if you want to consider the effect of regular contributions due to the dollar-averaging. Once again, for the purposes of this calculation of 10 year returns, you dont need MC (that is if you know what a log-normal distribution is)