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andalcie

andalcie
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  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    Sensible points made. Finally another Bear on $TSLA. I was beginning to think I was the only wannabe-Trader holding Puts or Short Calls in the name. Glad you took the time to articulate these points to get over the noise, hype, pump & dumpers. Stock Price may deviate from company performance in the short-term, however eventually stock prices reflect the company's performance.
    Apr 7 05:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    $TSLA Play is over for now to the downside for this Bear so I'm taking-my-ball-and-mov... Closed out all my Puts If TSLA can rally to the $225'ish area, will put some more back on.
    fwiw
    Mar 28 07:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    OK $TSLA Price opened over $235 and seems like it may hold it today off $GS "Upg" Tell me, is the Upg $478 or $200. Either way, I own Puts so my vote is with $200. I'll add more Puts if TSLA sees $245. Volume is < 50eMA so I'm not expecting much action on my Puts bid for now. fwiw
    Mar 18 01:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    Took my gains into the $TSLA Selloff this morning, looking to put them back on if Price gets back to $235'ish
    Mar 14 12:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    Well I guess if you can't baffle them with science, good product, great vision and Bond offerings, baffle them with bs.
    Not surprising that when you have to begin spending on "the message," maybe its time wannabe-Traders look elsewhere.
    Caveat lector! I own Puts on $TSLA
    JMHO
    Mar 13 01:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Excess Reserves: The Elephant In The Room The Fed Doesn't Want To Talk About [View article]
    $TBT has 1/2 Volume of $TLT so a bit more liquid. However, don't think that going Long ETFs (most) is somehow safer than Shorting them. In fact, the reverse is quite likely true. Best play for the TLT/TBT ETFs is to go Long then use Covered Calls (e.g. Buy/Write) to protect/make-profits from your position.
    A more complicated but more rewarding play is to put on a Vertical Spread but choosing the right Strike price takes some experience with trading Options.
    Tricky plays, but unfortunately most ETFs are "fatman" reincarnated. When the curtains pulled, there's very little there and they just issue more stock via reverse-splits.
    These securities are not common stocks but Creation Units...here's some info. that will help explain: http://bit.ly/GO1Smk
    Mar 9 06:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Excess Reserves: The Elephant In The Room The Fed Doesn't Want To Talk About [View article]
    With $TLT down ~3% from Y-T-D highs, would you agree the "Bond crushing" has already begun?
    Mar 8 07:51 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    Agree u01b and would like to add...if $GE were to float a $2B bond-offering to build such a giga-battery-factory to do all the nice things $TSLA is supposed to be planning, would wannabe-Traders buy-up the GE-stock price like they did TSLA's?
    So, just which company's equities (Bond or stock) should wannabe-Traders own at these prices?
    Moi would go with GE's Bond-offering but would play TSLA's Puts (Long & Short) cause that's where the Volatility is.
    Crazy logic? No, just money-making logic for moi so far with TSLA.
    And yes, I did "make a little" on the side with GE Calls earlier this month after its sell-off in January.
    Neither GE's stock sell-off or TSLA's explosive stock rise made sense. But who cares, this wannabe-Trader wants to make money always and sense later.
    Hope that makes..ahem...sense to you.
    Mar 1 06:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    I have to go back and look, but at that time I believe I questioned the validity (i.e. truth) of the NYT article and bought Calls then. My logic then was that a few fueling stations would fix all the issues raised.
    Caveat lector! I play both side of crazy names like $TSLA.
    Its called trading, I play to make money not prove that my theses is right or wrong. I express my thinking and do not recommend you trade it blindly but use it to provoke critical thinking of your own.
    Meanwhile, I look at the chart and trade what the chart tells me. This morning I took profits on some TSLA Puts I bought yesterday that was the 2nd-Leg of a Spread. I took my gains on the sold-Puts, 1st-Leg of the spread yesterday.
    I believe that's called trading, and as a wannabe-Trader I try to make money in my portfolio with this activity.
    I "date" these stocks and that's all. I leave proving the analysis right or wrong to others. Hope they make money doing so too
    Thx for reading my comments'.
    Feb 28 02:13 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Tesla Motors Worth $65 Or $320? Are Ford, GM Or BMW Better Bets? [View article]
    Glad to know I am not the only crazy wannabe-Trader Kirk. Caveat lector! I own TSLA Puts and have played Short-Puts against them for quick scalps into the craziness. $TSLA is so reminiscent of 1998-2000 its scary at times. Fortunately it is limited to a few names and not an entire sector.
    So, is Mr. Musk making a mistake? No, he's quite clever by taking out a loan while interest rates are near-zero so as business opportunity presents itself when the Fed turns off access to the gravy-bowl, he has whatever capital he needs.
    JMHO
    Feb 28 01:53 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • TiVo (TIVO): Q1 EPS of -$0.13 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $82.5M beats by $20.62M. (PR[View news story]
    Was this outperformance expected Ajayyy? Seems pretty good.
    May 20 05:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Visualizing Bob Farrell's 10 Rules [View article]
    So whats the bubble this time?
    How about Mobile Apps and all they offer to "change our lives."
    You can get credit, exchange money (pay bills, buy things), search for things (you probably don't need), lookup interesting trivia...etc.
    Is it different this time?
    Some may say we are not in Excitement, Euphoria...etc., but it is feeling like we are really close.
    How about the Debt?
    "Can't we all just get along?" Sadly the person that asked that question along with Martin Sweig (may both R.I.P.) is no longer around to pose that question to our leaders in Washington.
    So, whats different this time?
    Take a minute and listen to Nazim Taleb on bloomberg.com
    Mobile Apps will be the "difference" this time.
    fwiw
    Feb 19 10:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The NYT's John Broder takes Tesla's (TSLA) Model S up and down the East Coast from Washington on Interstate 95, where the company has installed Supercharger stations 200 miles apart. Things start dandily enough, but then the weather cools, and Broder has to endure freezing feet and white knuckles because he has to turn the heating off to preserve power. Eventually, he needs a tow truck to pick him up because the car runs out of juice[View news story]
    As predicted, TSLA fell to $37.50 then spent most of the day around the $38 area. Now that the TSLA Ceo has come out swinging, expect a gradual stepping down to the $34 - $36'ish area next.
    Feb 12 02:37 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The NYT's John Broder takes Tesla's (TSLA) Model S up and down the East Coast from Washington on Interstate 95, where the company has installed Supercharger stations 200 miles apart. Things start dandily enough, but then the weather cools, and Broder has to endure freezing feet and white knuckles because he has to turn the heating off to preserve power. Eventually, he needs a tow truck to pick him up because the car runs out of juice[View news story]
    Has anyone done or know what the average distance between Gas stations is. i.e. between the points used in this test?
    You can imagine the number would be a lot less than 200 miles so this artificial test is not reality if more "pumping stations" are added for electric vehicles. That is the reality.
    I am not a Tesla owner or driver, just a wannabe-Trader trying to make some money in the market.
    fwiw: TSLA posted a red inverted hammer on Friday so expect some downside in the stock. Due to this story or the NYT article?
    Don't know, but the run-up in the stock price did not make sense either.
    How far down? How about 5-7% from Friday's Close or about the $37'ish area to start.
    Feb 10 10:11 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 4 Reasons To Sell Alpine Total Dynamic CEF [View article]
    I agree, I was a deer in the headlights...frozen hoping it would come back. Lesson learned.
    Apr 23 05:51 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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