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PalmDesertRat

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  • Apache (APA -2.1%) should sell its assets in Egypt, which have dragged the company’s valuation by 20%-30% and is likely to get worse given the country’s "dysfunctional government, deteriorating economy, polarized society and exploding population," Oppenheimer says, adding APA should use the proceeds to buy back 15% of its shares and reduce debt. [View news story]
    if selling the assets and buying back stock and debt really works, that means that the assets are worth more than the stock and bonds being purchased.

    I would keep going with the Egyptian business.
    May 23 12:06 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Market recap: It was quite a day for the tea-leaf readers. Stocks spiked early on release of Bernanke’s prepared testimony, then began to fade as he seemed to break with the dovish tone during his Q&A, and then turned red as the Fed meeting minutes indicated a bit of a dilemma over when to taper. Gold futures, up more than 1% early, finished negative. The dollar rallied; Treasurys fell, lifting 10-year yields to 2%. [View news story]
    It's how the market is,always has been.

    the market goes up,down,sideways. the best way to make money is buy low,sell high.

    I was a net buyer today,sold some in the a.m.bought in the p.m.

    It could go down more,but it might go up. I stay invested at all times and continuously re-balance.
    May 22 10:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Market recap: It was quite a day for the tea-leaf readers. Stocks spiked early on release of Bernanke’s prepared testimony, then began to fade as he seemed to break with the dovish tone during his Q&A, and then turned red as the Fed meeting minutes indicated a bit of a dilemma over when to taper. Gold futures, up more than 1% early, finished negative. The dollar rallied; Treasurys fell, lifting 10-year yields to 2%. [View news story]
    If the "tapering" or ending of QE causes a major market decline, the Fed will be scared into implementing QE4. They've put themselves into a cycle they won't be able to get out of for many moons.
    May 22 10:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market recap: It was quite a day for the tea-leaf readers. Stocks spiked early on release of Bernanke’s prepared testimony, then began to fade as he seemed to break with the dovish tone during his Q&A, and then turned red as the Fed meeting minutes indicated a bit of a dilemma over when to taper. Gold futures, up more than 1% early, finished negative. The dollar rallied; Treasurys fell, lifting 10-year yields to 2%. [View news story]
    I think that's why it's called "taper".

    It's interesting to see what happens everytime there is a whisper about ending QE. Imagine what will happen when it actually ends.
    May 22 07:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Low Volatility Way To Play The Natural Resource Sectors [View article]
    buck-
    you need to add back the annual distributions,which are large. unfortunately it's not an easy task.

    even after adding back,it lloks like irr outperformed xle since irr's inception,although it looks like it outperformed xle for the same period.
    May 10 09:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Industrias Bachoco: Finger Lickin' Chicken, Mexican-Style [View article]
    the founding family owns about 83% of the stock,and dominates the board.

    under "related party transactions" it is stated that the company buys cars,feed,and other things from businesses which are controlled by the family.

    Mexico has had a history in recent years of mass exterminations of chickens because of infectious disease. particularly in the state of Jalisco where they have operations.

    this is a relatively young, one product company,in a volatile commodity industry, controlled by one family who does business with itself to the potential detriment of the outside stockholders.

    good luck with it,count me out.
    May 10 12:48 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • On Being Rick Santelli [View article]
    scar-
    thanks for that. When I listen to Santelli,I usually think he's speaking some other language. He's frequently completely incomprehensible. I thought it was probably some high-tech version bond-speak. His ranting and raving,unfortunately, are entirely comprehensible
    May 10 11:55 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On Being Rick Santelli [View article]
    What I would like to get from CNBC (and any others) is information as to what the markets are doing and why.

    I have absolutely zero interest in hearing Santelli, Kiernan,or any of the other so-called experts spouting their political babble.

    Which is why I rarely watch CNBC at all.
    May 10 11:30 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On Being Rick Santelli [View article]
    I rarely watch CNBC,but if I do I mute the tv when Santelli comes on. What value he brings to the show is unknown. Except a lot of people hate him so maybe it helps their ratings. After all,CNBC exists to sell advertising.
    May 10 08:00 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Key Signals To Watch For A Major Stock Market Top [View article]
    Margin debt is close to its 2007 high,and today's WSJ reports a major increase in the number of CEF new issues.

    I believe we're closer to a top than to a bottom just now,but I don't see the excesses in the credit market that we had in 2007 with no doc loans,etc. So I don't expect a correction to be a major catastrophe as 2008/09.
    May 10 07:57 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best And Worst ETFs And Mutual Funds: Materials Sector [View article]
    took some xme profits today at 37.50
    May 3 10:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • More on Devon's (DVN) Q1 results: Overall loss of $1.3B was mainly due to a $1.9B non-cash impairment charge related to lower oil and gas liquids prices in North America. Also ran up a $320M derivatives loss on energy commodities vs. a $145M profit a year earlier. Total average production fell to 686.9K boe/day from 693.6K, which was still slightly above the top end of company guidance. [View news story]
    NatGas prices are up more than 25% since year-end when they last took an impairment charge.

    So why more impairment charges now?

    Something doesn't smell right. Are the books being cooked?
    May 1 09:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Low Volatility Way To Play The Natural Resource Sectors [View article]
    Looks to me that even after adding back the distributions,irr has underperformed spy in the last five years, which is roughly the total life of irr.
    Apr 30 08:22 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 Q1 Earnings Seem Positive: Is It Enough For More Gains? [View article]
    initiated a CAT position today at 85.08
    Apr 29 12:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equal-Weight Versus Cap-Weighted ETFs [View article]
    It's especially good here if you like hot weather-we had 104 yesterday. I inaugurated our pool yesterday.

    But it's very dry. I remember humid summers on the East Coast, I'll take this any day.
    Apr 29 09:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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