tiredinvestor

The Bull Run Begins This Week

Check TrimTabs, they are specialized in money flows. They say a good portion on money out of the markets by individuals has already been used to pay down debt and daily expenses so do not expect a bull run on risk taking by individuals.

I expect normal investor and saver to be extremely cautios for the next few years.


On Jan 18 05:46 PM Big K wrote:

> I can see many people have a negative view of the future of our economy
> and stock market. With the vast majority of people so bearish, I
> can think there is a possibility of a bull run coming soon. When
> everybody is bearish, all who are going to sell have already done
> so, and big money is sitting on the sideline. At this point only
> long-term investors remain, so there are few people to sell on the
> bad news, hence apparent support. The bearish sentiments have been
> priced in the market. Possibly, many of the above bears have put
> in short positions, which is even more bullish. The market usually
> moves in the direction opposite to what the majority expect. This
> makes perfect sense. Everyone has already positioned themselves for
> the anticipated direction. Why would all these chicken littles saying
> armageddon is coming still be invested in the market? Of course they
> are not, because once armageddon comes, it's already too late. Therefore,
> I think there is a higher probability the market will go up rather
> than down.