Seeking Alpha

sl100

sl100
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View sl100's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • Apple's New Television Opportunity [View article]
    hype to promt APPL stock. The stock is very highly priced for its mkt cap of 660billion. No company has sustain this kind of mkt cap.

    -- mkt cap 660 billion next largest is 380billion.
    -- no products for past 4 year to replaced the iPhone. This is the last growth cycle iPhones. I see large decline in revenues starting jan after the holiday season.
    -- IPAD sales and rev have have dropped.
    -- ITUNES big drop in revenues.
    -- Mac sales the same.
    -- stocks up 250 billion in mkt cap just on iPhone big screen launch. All it did was to replace all slowdown in the rest of other products that is for the coming qtr only. This will last for 1 qtr that is it.
    --IPAY is already set to fail as retailers have they own network and are looking to eliminated visa and master card monopoly. Anyway this cannot replace the iPhone revs even if this make inroads a little.
    -- TV is a commodity mkt. Do not see they can make any margin in it.
    -- cash levels have actually declined this year. Debt level now is 35 billion. No taxes paid on most of the cash.
    -- EU is looking to fine 8-10 billion which violated EU rules.
    -- they wasted a lot of cash buying back stock at high price and lot of it went to buy back the stock options exercised by insiders.

    Many more negatives but the media and wall street wants to keep the hype so they can sell to the public as none of the smart investors are buying at these levels. Most of the stock is held by ETFS dumb money and market makers inventory who cannot find many to sell to. Try selling even 10% about 65 billion and see what happens.
    Oct 30, 2014. 08:28 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's New Television Opportunity [View article]
    The article is about hype to promt APPL stock. The stock is very highly priced for it mkt cap of 660billion. No company has sustain this kind of mkt cap.

    -- mkt cap 660 billion next largest is 380billion.
    -- no products for past 4 year to replaced the iPhone. This is the last growth cycle iPhones. I see large decline in revenues starting jan after the holiday season.
    -- sales and rev have have dropped iPads..
    -- ITUNES big drop in revenues.
    -- Mac sales the same.
    -- stocks up 250 billion in mkt cap just on iPhone big screen launch. All it did was to replace all slowdown in the rest of other products that is for the coming qtr only. This will last for 1 qtr that is it.
    --IPAY is already set to fail as retailers have they own network and are looking to eliminated visa and master card monopoly. Anyway this cannot replace the iPhone revs even if this make inroads a little.
    -- TV is a commodity mkt. Do not see they can make any margin in it.
    -- cash levels have actually declined this year. Debt level now is 35 billion. No taxes paid on most of the cash.
    -- EU is looking to fine 8-10 billion which violated EU rules.
    -- they wasted a lot of cash buying back stock at high price and lot of it went to buy back the stock options exercised by insiders.

    Many more negatives but the media and wall street wants to keep the hype so they can sell to the public as none of the smart investors are buying at these levels. Most of the stock is held by ETFS dumb money and market makers inventory who cannot find many to sell to. Try selling even 10% about 65 billion and see what happens.
    Oct 30, 2014. 08:27 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Russia's Crimean bounty [View news story]
    Useless article looks like someone's wants positive news on XOM. XOM has a lot of issues and sitting near 52 week high. Recent years investments have all been very expensive and have declining reserves. @455B mkt cap too big to make any money from the stock appreciation. Dead money here.
    May 18, 2014. 08:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can The Rally In Biotechs Keep Its Momentum? [View article]
    This is pure gambling because the Feds have provided liquidity. The leverage in the system now is much higher than in 2007 this the reason mkts keep going up. For a 401k holder this may be good time to move out the growth funds and speculative funds. Fidelity contra fund , trowe growth fund and fidelity growth funds are some of biggest ones that 401k plan holders should at now. Sell before the tide turns. Move to money market funds or stable value funds in your 401k.

    They will blame the weather next qtr this is already coming from companies
    Feb 16, 2014. 01:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks recover from early losses, as weak data blamed on bad weather [View news story]
    So revenues YOY rise just 0.8% and profits just 8.4(most of this concentrate in just few companies) but the mkt is up on manipulation and money printing by 30% in a year.
    corporate debt increased another 12% YOY from 11T to 12.5Trillion.

    Not sure why 401K equity holders are still in stocks when its up nearly 180% in few years and up 32% plus in 1 year. Greed I guess waiting for another 5% gain geat time to dump it on the algos, banks and market makers.

    Cash is the safest investment now in leveraged world last moth a Just a 25B selling in stock funds caused the mkt to fall 5%. So wondering what happened if say we just sell 200-300B of stock and the chain reaction form it.
    Feb 13, 2014. 06:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • At the close [View news story]
    Nasdaq Index and Small caps are the most overvalued. GOOG for example is now 400B plus with a PE of 35. Also lot of short Squeeze going on in this Space. Some of big funds like Fidelity Contra fund and Fidelity Growth fund which holds a lot of speculative stocks are moving this with new 401K money. If you hold any of these funds its a good time to bail out these as they will drop faster than the mkt as they are big and cannot get out soon and also hold a lot of the highly valued stocks in the name of growth.

    Good time to slowly liquidate long positions due to high valuations and slow to no growth in the economy, especially growth finds are in danger now. Also last week 24Billion money moved out of equities but still the mkt went up this week looks like market makers are holding lot more inventory of equities now and trying to squeeze shorts or sell it mom & Pop.

    Folks look at your 401K and move them to cash/stable value funds now atleast partially as the valuations are very high and debt on corporate balance sheet has in created more than 100% since 2007 from 6.5T to 12.5T. Margin debt is also all time high now and growing every month. They have been waiting for growth and this has not come and this is a structural problem.

    Last few weeks many companies announce Job layoffs this occurring more frequently recently some are doing with out announce under a 3year plan. Lot of the financial companies have reduced work force by 10% from the past year Bank of America had 270K now have 245K in the recent filing, so are many companies. Jobs from Govt are also stalling soon.
    Feb 13, 2014. 06:23 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. has less than three weeks to increase debt cap [View news story]
    they will increase it, just do little drama for the public and international buyers of treasury. They are just addicted to debt. We always have a buyer of treasury no matter what the feds will soak up whatever the treasury issues. We cannot afford to default, how can one default if they can print unlimit amounts. Folks the paper is getting worthless every passing day and the only people who are getting rewarding are the bad guys who leverage and borrow insane amount to speculate and do mal investments. The saver are big looser in this game. This is why the system is decaying.
    Feb 9, 2014. 08:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed set to continue tapering despite disappointing jobs data [View news story]
    The reason they are reducing is the balance sheet is bloated and is really not helping what they wanted to achieve. Also by year end they will have about 5T and about 40% of the 10y treasury. So they are kind of trapped. All it did was push up asset prices into a bubble territory and benefiting a very few and screwed the savers and helped the speculators.
    Feb 9, 2014. 11:07 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Tim Cook's Brilliant Move [View article]
    APPL had to buy back it shares to avoid collapse of the stock. Institutions have be net sellers for the stock. Give the mkt Cap of 500Billion it is hard to sustain any growth and saturation in the cell phone and tablet mkt. It is very very hard for them to replace the phone and tab mkt by any breake through product they come out with. The only advantage I see is it cash position. Future cashflow will slow down dramatically for sure and so wil the revs. In a year or 2 most phone companies will avoid subsidies and which mean consumers will either buy cheaper phones or they retain existing phone. There is no need to replace tablets.

    Avoid AAPL(500B institutions net sellers) and GOOG (410B and insider selling like crazy)both are big mkt caps and are kept up because if they go down so will the mkt. likely many institutions are bailing out as well now that's why the MSM media talks about these 2 stock daily atleast a few times.
    if you are in fidelity contra fund or growth fund they have a big concentration in these 2 stocks and they are in many 401K plan holders which is risky. 401K holders of these 2 funds need move out because these funds hold a lot of overvalued growth stocks as well. when the mkt turns these 2 will get hit fast. Alternative is to go conservative funds or money mkt funds until the true economic picture comes out. This year the growth expectation around the world is not going to occur it wil take a few years until the debt de levearage occurs to some extent.
    Feb 8, 2014. 12:53 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks rally to end bumpy week on an upbeat note [View news story]
    Also corporate debt has now reached twice the level from 2007. And additional 145Billion was issued in Jan. Daily pump on biggest stocks like AAPL and GOOG and short squeeze stocks make the news to keep the heard in the game.
    Feb 8, 2014. 11:12 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The AT&T Fire Sale [View article]
    Agree May be good entry point for a short term trade. You can make low risk trade buy T and then buy puts 6 moths out about 4-5% premium. You get paid 5.75% yield and even if take margin @ 3% max loss will be around 3-4% but could return excess of 8-10% if you play it right. This trade could work quicker at these price levels
    Feb 7, 2014. 10:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Analysts Rate Salesforce.com A Buy. They Should Be Ashamed Of Themselves [View article]
    converts at around 62.50 so bankers can cash in so this is going up not because it is great company but just a fraud company cooking books and bankers want it to. So more stock dilution to occur soon. I will not short the stock nor should any investors not because I like but Fidelity and few funds have very concentrated bets plus the bankers will be cashing so be careful being long or short here. buy some calls and puts so it could go either way. Horrible company.

    Mkt in general has no buys except algos move the crap up and down and most moves come pre/after hours
    Feb 6, 2014. 08:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Analysts Rate Salesforce.com A Buy. They Should Be Ashamed Of Themselves [View article]
    I agree with most of it CRM is a fraud company. Accounting is such a fraud not sure what SEC is doing, first do not short stock it is in a up move and fidelity holds a chunk of the stock plus few others so will keep pushing this up. I would instead buy puts to limit losses.
    Fidelity holds a big chunk and few others too so it is very easy for them to move the stock as they hold most of the inventory. Also shorting makes it easy for them to move it up future. Wait for the mkts o turn down and for the stock to trend down, too much momentum in this stock and too many shorts on the stock. Also long investors should bail out over hyped and they just have a interface application the db is oracle, they do not have any propriety stuff.
    I hope benioff the CEO and CFO who are cooking the books go to jail.
    Feb 4, 2014. 10:00 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • NetSuite Inc. beats by $0.01, beats on revenue [View news story]
    Its up just because of 2 things they cloud and fidelity holding big stake this company may not be there in 3-5 years. Cloud companies will not make money except for MSFT, ORCL, IBM etc as they will use subscription model to generate rev/profit while . small ones are going away they do nto have the capital or profits to growth other than debt. NO large company will go for it they will have they own private cloud.

    Next set of hacking of data stealing will be on the cloud because it all in one place in the cloud.
    Jan 30, 2014. 10:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • At the close [View news story]
    wrong manipulation in bio tech and GOOG, FB, AMZN leading to gains. It is so easy to move the mkts with fake earning beat and revn beat.(Actual does not matter if they do not have to beat either just MSM brainwashing could do the trick) Majority of the moves come in pre/post mkt hours with little volume and the algos take over. Wow what a country we have become full of gamblers in a rigged casino with endless pit of money supplied by Feds, leverage and idiotic politicians who can not control the Feds or the financial industry. Media has done a terrible job as well.
    Jan 30, 2014. 10:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
112 Comments
98 Likes