blackbody

25 Comments

    • The Biden-Palin Panderfest [view article]
      It's a matter of trust; when Sarah Palin blames only the mortgage lenders for seducing people to purchase over-priced homes yet places no blame on greedy buyers who was thinking of home of as a cash cow, then she is either incompetent or worse ... How can you trust her to be in a position to become CEO of this country? Oct 03 07:13 AM
    • ECB Worried About Stagflation, Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged [view article]
      In global economy, tricky Trichet is off loading global economic burden on US tax payers shoulder. This is another evidence in a series of policy failure of Bernanke Fed. Oct 02 04:23 PM
    • Options Trader: Temptation Tuesday [view article]
      Here's an idea that will work in lieu of Paulson's stupidity;

      globaleconomicanalysis.../

      Paulson's bailout plan proposes to throw away $700B to bail out bankers and wall-street cronies while creating bigger mis-trust between banks by eliminating mark-to-market-account... and reducing capital reserve ratio to 0. Paulson and Bernanke should be fired immediately for proposing the bail-out plan then trying to ram it down the throat of US public with fear of economic melt down.       Sep 30 01:34 PM
    • The Deal's Getting Done, But Will It Work? [view article]
      so ... the banks are insolvent and the government is stepping up to shower these banks with free money. Unfortunately, asset prices are still too high, and as banks are forced to deleverage, more bad loans will surface. After $700B it is unlikely that there will be another $700B of free money to shower these banks with. The $700B bail-out is basically a time-out to give Bush the exit without economy collapsing on him. However, if there is justice, economy WILL collapse before Bush leaves the white house; it is utterly fitting to have Bush presidency that began with the collapse of world trade center, end with collapse of American economy. The last 8 years, no matter what, is a reflection on the character of Bush administration which includes Bernanke Fed. Sep 28 01:02 PM
    • Barney Frank's Money Quote [view article]
      Instead of bailing out the banks, treasury should form a temporary national bank with capital of $700B and lend directly to US companies that needs to roll their debt. Let the banks fail, and let companies with bad business (such as GM) fail. There will be much pain but in the end killing off leaches will strengthen the economy in the long term. Sep 25 11:30 AM
    • It's Time for the Govt. to Spell Out the Risks of Not Rescuing Financial Markets [view article]
      Aalan, obviously Paulson/Bernanke laid out the consequences to select members of the congress. Thing that I think is important is not the bail-out itself but the urgency of it. I remember that about $1T of debt has to roll-over by the end of the September and my guess is that the credit market has absolutely seized up, meaning papers will not get rolled over and number of companies, with GM a likely candidate, about to roll-over and declare BK. This bail-out will have to go through one way or the other. Thing is $700B bailout will not fix anything and the same problem will come up, only it will come up when someone else is in the white house. Sep 24 04:54 PM
    • It's Time for the Govt. to Spell Out the Risks of Not Rescuing Financial Markets [view article]
      Has Paulson/Bernanke disclosed to the public why there will be a financial melt-down if $700B bailout does not occur "within days". Sep 24 04:28 PM
    • Options Trader: Friday Outlook [view article]
      I've always felt that pre-condition for market melt down was a frenzied market melt up. I think we are seeing that market melt up today (did you zion hit $131?). If banning short sales would prop up the market, then Chinese market would not ever go down. However we have seen a melt down in Chinese market. I suspect, without the buyers of last resort, either the FED and treasury have to buy the market or there will be a melt down of biblical proportion in not too distant future. Sep 19 11:55 AM
    • Options Trader: Monday Outlook [view article]
      I don't think it is a coincidence that the '03 was the bottom for MSCI. As Iraq war caused US to print trillions of dollars and throw them all over the world, the rise in commodity prices certainly did more than help the rise of emerging markets. Therefore, then, it is more than likely that the deflationary pressure emanating from the debt contraction will also propagate through the corners of the global economy, this time triggering the fall of emerging market. Aug 25 11:08 AM
    • China's Looming Hangover? [view article]
      I think China will get Shanghai'ed.
       Aug 21 03:18 PM
    • Options Trader: Friday Outlook [view article]
      FYI:

      russia-insider.livejou...       Aug 15 10:24 AM
    • Value Investors, Remember Margin of Safety [view article]
      ... so, if I want to short FRE, I can short LM instead? Aug 12 02:45 PM
    • California Signaling A Housing Bottom? [Housing Tracker] [view article]
      Greed is a powerful motivator. I suspect at some point in near future the housing will appear to have caught the bottom. People purchasing foreclosures then flipping it for profit will lure other fools into the game, and soon bidding war will break out, giving appearance of support to housing prices. I suspect that little bounce will not last for long. Aug 01 01:42 PM
    • On Liquid Courage: David Brooks and Jim Grant [view article]
      There are plenty of outrage. Only, the outrage amongst the public are marginalized and dispersed into oblivion by the corporate controlled mass-media. What we are witnessing is nothing less than the failure of democracy. Jul 22 04:12 PM
    • As Merrill Reports, Short Squeeze in Financials Continues [view article]
      noni1, good example of one sided market crashing is China. It is not the shorts who drive the market lower. In the end it is fear and greed that drive the market to irrationality. In irrational market you find opportunity betting on reversion to mean. If that means shorting then that's what it takes. Jul 19 08:16 AM
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