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    • Relief Rally Likely in Wake of Bailout Legislation [view article]
      LEAVE PARTISANSHIP BEHIND! VOTE THE INCUMBENTS OUT !....

      The ridiculous argument that congress is making boils down to one basic premise: that these 2 ordinary guys (one who never lead anything other than a classroom and the other who made his fortune gambling on Wall Street) can all of a sudden predict with certainty the economic future of this country. If these 2 guys were so smart why weren’t the ringing the alarm bill months ago?

      The fortune tellers however do deserve credit for accurately predicting that top congressional leaders were so beholden to Wall Street for years of financial support that they would work weekends in backrooms to get the big fix in. However it still begs the question that: if this really is a national economic crisis then why are our legislatures negotiating the details of the solution in secret behind closed doors instead of on the floor of the houses.

      You would think that given that the cost of this bailout is almost $10,000 per household that congress would hold lots of hearings with expert economists and scholars far and wide to seek some kind of consensus or assurance that this $10,000 for tax bill every American household would solve the problem.

      According to these two fortune tellers (the gambler and the professor) the bailout purpose is to buy stuff no capitalist will touch in an effort to free up money. Well from my experience there nothing like a bargain to get people to buy and put money to work. Why don’t we pass legislation that forces the banks to sell either write down or sell the assets. If the bank fails we let the FDIC step in and protect the taxpayer. After all it is their job.

      These two fortune tellers (the gambler and the professor) also said it is import that we free up money so that the banks can lend to businesses for investments and to consumers for purchases using credit cards and other loans. They say that absent this bailout companies would have no money to expand or, in some cases, to make payroll. Seems like if companies can’t meet payroll without a loan they are already too far gone. Credit tightening for consumers sound reasonable given that the problem is a result of consumer credit being too freely available. Experts agree that regardless of what happens, good people with good credit who are not overleveraged will still be able to get a loan


      PIGS GET FAT and HOGS GET SLAUGHTERED
      The gambler and the professor bet correctly that the upcoming recess and Jewish holiday would allow them to rush the bailout through. The Congressional leadership did their part by telling their party members that they can sidestep repercussions of voting for the bailout with the same ease as they did for the voting for going to war. They think that if you claim that everyone is suffering and that they believed that they acted selfishly to try and prevent a the deep and prolonged recession that it will give them the political cover they need.

      The American people will not be so easily fooled.
      Despite all the hype and hysteria from the fortune tellers (the gambler and the professor) congress might come to its senses. It might realize that even if the markets do decline that it is not going to be the end of the world despite what those two fortune tellers think. Because if the bailout is the right answer it will be able to rescue and resuscitate the markets from the worst case scenario whether it be 3 days, or 3 weeks or 3 months from now.

      It is time for the American People to wake up and take this country back from the special interests. Tell everyone you know that we all need to send a message to Washington that the voice of the American people stills counts by voting out each and every incumbent who votes for the bailout without an open debate.
      Sep 29 12:13 PM
    • Case-Shiller Index Falls By Record 4.5% [view article]
      Everyday more Economist’s like Robert J. Shiller are expressing concern that the threat of a recession is coming, but there are plenty of other clues that we are facing unprecedented risks. Consider publicly traded Real Estate Investment Trusts ( REIT). Over the last few years most REIT’s performed extremely well. But the fundamentals are deteriorating and the trading values that took years to build could potentially be wiped out in as many months by the those nasty stock market vultures and fast buck artists commonly known as short sellers. Take Equity One (ticker: EQY) as an example of the perfect storm. Equity One is traded on the New York Stock Exchange. While Equity One’s exposure is nationwide it is based in Florida and so is a huge chunk of its portfolio. The double whammy facing Equity One is that unlike a diversified REIT it primarily invests in “retail” real estate. Equity One disclosed in the latest supplement to it’s quarterly report that its overall vacancy rate is already over 6%, but the shocker is the fact that the rate almost doubles (to a little over 12% vacancy) when the tenants shop is less 10,000 sq ft. The real danger for Equity One is that this group of tenants represents over 70% of Equity One’s shopping center revenue. When you consider that less than 30% of Equity One’s current shopping center tenants are Anchor’s (defined as having over 10,000 sq ft.) you really get goose bumps because at least the bigger retailers have the capital reserves to weather the storm. …And you thought only Realtors and builders had it bad. Nov 28 06:39 AM
    • Commercial Real Estate Faring Much Better Than Its Residential Sibling [view article]
      Everyday more Economist’s like Robert J. Shiller are expressing concern that the threat of a recession is coming, but there are plenty of other clues that we are facing unprecedented risks. Consider publicly traded Real Estate Investment Trusts ( REIT). Over the last few years most REIT’s performed extremely well. But the fundamentals are deteriorating and the trading values that took years to build could potentially be wiped out in as many months by the those nasty stock market vultures and fast buck artists commonly known as short sellers. Take Equity One (ticker: EQY) as an example of the perfect storm. Equity One is traded on the New York Stock Exchange. While Equity One’s exposure is nationwide it is based in Florida and so is a huge chunk of its portfolio. The double whammy facing Equity One is that unlike a diversified REIT it primarily invests in “retail” real estate. Equity One disclosed in the latest supplement to it’s quarterly report that its overall vacancy rate is already over 6%, but the shocker is the fact that the rate almost doubles (to a little over 12% vacancy) when the tenants shop is less 10,000 sq ft. The real danger for Equity One is that this group of tenants represents over 70% of Equity One’s shopping center revenue. When you consider that less than 30% of Equity One’s current shopping center tenants are Anchor’s (defined as having over 10,000 sq ft.) you really get goose bumps because at least the bigger retailers have the capital reserves to weather the storm. …And you thought only Realtors and builders had it bad.  Nov 27 07:41 PM
    • Housing Market Tracker - Commercial Real Estate Review [view article]
      Everyday more Economist’s like Robert J. Shiller are expressing concern that the threat of a recession is coming, but there are plenty of other clues that we are facing unprecedented risks. Consider publicly traded Real Estate Investment Trusts ( REIT). Over the last few years most REIT’s performed extremely well. But the fundamentals are deteriorating and the trading values that took years to build could potentially be wiped out in as many months by the those nasty stock market vultures and fast buck artists commonly known as short sellers. Take Equity One (ticker: EQY) as an example of the perfect storm. Equity One is traded on the New York Stock Exchange. While Equity One’s exposure is nationwide it is based in Florida and so is a huge chunk of its portfolio. The double whammy facing Equity One is that unlike a diversified REIT it primarily invests in “retail” real estate. Equity One disclosed in the latest supplement to it’s quarterly report that its overall vacancy rate is already over 6%, but the shocker is the fact that the rate almost doubles (to a little over 12% vacancy) when the tenants shop is less 10,000 sq ft. The real danger for Equity One is that this group of tenants represents over 70% of Equity One’s shopping center revenue. When you consider that less than 30% of Equity One’s current shopping center tenants are Anchor’s (defined as having over 10,000 sq ft.) you really get goose bumps because at least the bigger retailers have the capital reserves to weather the storm. …And you thought only Realtors and builders had it bad.  Nov 27 07:37 PM
    • Housing Prices Continue to Set New Records - All of Them Bad [view article]
      Everyday more Economist’s like Robert J. Shiller are expressing concern that the threat of a recession is coming, but there are plenty of other clues that we are facing unprecedented risks. Consider publicly traded Real Estate Investment Trusts ( REIT). Over the last few years most REIT’s performed extremely well. But the fundamentals are deteriorating and the trading values that took years to build could potentially be wiped out in as many months by the those nasty stock market vultures and fast buck artists commonly known as short sellers. Take Equity One (ticker: EQY) as an example of the perfect storm. Equity One is traded on the New York Stock Exchange. While Equity One’s exposure is nationwide it is based in Florida and so is a huge chunk of its portfolio. The double whammy facing Equity One is that unlike a diversified REIT it primarily invests in “retail” real estate. Equity One disclosed in the latest supplement to it’s quarterly report that its overall vacancy rate is already over 6%, but the shocker is the fact that the rate almost doubles (to a little over 12% vacancy) when the tenants shop is less 10,000 sq ft. The real danger for Equity One is that this group of tenants represents over 70% of Equity One’s shopping center revenue. When you consider that less than 30% of Equity One’s current shopping center tenants are Anchor’s (defined as having over 10,000 sq ft.) you really get goose bumps because at least the bigger retailers have the capital reserves to weather the storm. …And you thought only Realtors and builders had it bad.  Nov 27 07:06 PM
    • Bill Miller: Countrywide Financial Is Worth $40/Share [view article]
      If I was stuck with a 9% ownership postion in Countrywide and it represented 2% of my fund value I guess I would be compelled to argue that the stock was undervalued. Nice try Bill. There are two kinds of oats. I am afraid what you are selling is the oats that have already been through the horse. Nov 05 06:09 PM
    • Bill Miller: Countrywide Financial Is Worth $40/Share [view article]
      If I was stuck with a 9% ownership postion in Countrywide and it represented 2% of my fund value I guess I would be compelled to argue that the stock was undervalued. Nice try Bill. There are two kinds of oats. I am afraid what you are selling is the oats that have already been through the horse. Nov 05 06:09 PM
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