Seeking Alpha

Windwood Trader

Windwood Trader
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View Windwood Trader's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >jpau-

    Re: (WRES)

    Ownership is interesting

    Institutional and mutual fund is about 59% with insiders only having 10%. Usually a boutique company like this is heavily closely held.

    Their Price/Book is .3 !!!

    If the book number is believable you could buy the whole company for less than a third of book value!

    My thinking is that there are a few predators licking their chops but are waiting for oil to find a base. Of all the analysts following the company there is just one sell rec and six neutral. They are able to get financing for operations so far so it's not like a Radio Shack.

    I have a large position and will wait it out.

    WT
    Mar 17, 2015. 03:57 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >DG-

    Had to grope around a bit to get it. Here is the link to the sub-topic. Lots more in there that would interest everyone-

    http://bit.ly/1Csx8GG

    WT
    Mar 17, 2015. 03:38 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    Closed out positions in (EUO) for a 16.5% gain and (TMF) for a 6% gain on Monday- missed an additional 2% today.

    The euro needs a couple of days in the sun.

    Added to positions in (AAPL), (GILD), (INCO), (DBGR) and (LUV).

    Emerging markets should be improving- (VWO) up a bit coming off the bottom around $39 to about $40 today. (EEM) almost identical from $38.11 on Friday to $39.11 right now. (EPHE) <Phillipines> up around 10% for the year so far.

    WT
    Mar 17, 2015. 02:26 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    FWIW--

    Ed Yardini's blog is particularly interesting today providing some logic and vision to the mess.

    http://blog.yardeni.com

    Actually the links to the right of the actual blog are even more interesting. Check out the commodities/gold section.
    WT
    Mar 17, 2015. 12:46 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >DG-

    The Joule method sounds almost like turning water into gasoline!

    Thanks- Great concept-

    WT
    Mar 17, 2015. 12:27 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >jpau-

    Re: Coal "What a pity the pollution is so bad. "

    Germany has an abundance of coal. A couple of years ago the leadership was lauding the fact that due to an advanced process they now can burn coal with LESS pollution that other carbon fuels.
    It just depends upon the whether the priorities are for cleaner air or for greater profits.

    WT
    Mar 17, 2015. 12:21 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >Mercy-

    Thanks. Attempting to grok the significance of the data is a challenge.

    I think the next quarter of the same metrics will show some dramatic changes in the trends.

    WT
    Mar 17, 2015. 11:04 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >Mark-

    Re:Messy fast

    I had the same situation. Long on a bundle of pork bellies on a terrific double-down run just when the 40 point headlines hit that BACON CAUSES CANCER-

    Rather upsetting that was.

    WT
    Mar 16, 2015. 09:26 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >Mark-

    Deja Vu, All over again!

    WT
    Mar 16, 2015. 04:57 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >SHB-

    Yup- I too find the guy to be in the gotta-read-his-stuff category.

    The last para is what it's all about- No secret formulas nor guarantees. I truly don't think anyone out there has a clue as to long term outcomes nor solutions to get there. I see only the whole world devaluing and deflating. Our increasing jobs but no meaningful wage increases a good example.

    I believe that's what some call a depression.

    WT
    Mar 15, 2015. 04:13 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    Excerpts are from an interesting article on corporate assets held offshore to avoid taxes and the issues with a strong dollar

    >>>>>
    ..as much as $2 trillion of equivalent cash is outside the US and unrepatriated. The largest non-US dollar holdings are in euros, Swiss francs, and other European currencies, including the currencies of those countries that are linked to the euro under the exchange rate mechanism (ERM) or that are geographically next to the Eurozone, like Sweden and Denmark.

    ...corporate treasurers worldwide are reallocating as rapidly as possible in order to limit the losses they will have to report on March 31? They have been doing so for several months, which is why the dollar is so strong and the euro is so weak.
    In 1Q 2015 and 2Q 2015, earnings reductions are likely to show up in S&P 500 multinational companies. Those companies that have substantial activities abroad have to redo their currency relationships and report the changes in their earnings denominated in US dollars. We will see how much each company reports when those reports are made public. The first quarter of 2015 is a key one."
    <<<<<

    Link here: http://bit.ly/1FkOCnr

    WT
    Mar 15, 2015. 12:21 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    Hey, Mark- Re: CALLs and PUTs

    My approach is similar to yours right now. I am working with (AAPL), Looking to write CALLs- Just had a short series expire worthless.

    (GILD) CALLs write- Waiting for a pick-up in price to sell PUTs at $100; Currently short CALLs for 3/20 at $103.
    I'm short CALLs on (LUV) for 3/20 and for (TSO) may go short PUTs for $85 after a little more pick-up in PPS. Nice profit on same setup two weeks ago.

    WT
    Mar 14, 2015. 01:12 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Trading The Parabolic U.S. Dollar [View article]
    >Jeremy-

    I agree with your assessment.

    "money flows look like they are trumping economic reality"

    Follow where the money is going and it's not going into euro debt instruments. With all the QE going on the greenback and its debt instruments will be in very high demand. This demand will accelerate as the easing picks up speed.

    I see no rational reason to think the euro will reverse its decline against the dollar for quite a while. If the fed kicks the base rate up a few basis points this will just add fuel to the fire. I frankly don't see the fed concluding that an increase is necessary but certain politically active groups may be pushing for some movement anyway. Unfortunately politics always yanks the bureaucratic chains.

    WT
    Mar 14, 2015. 08:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    >Maya-

    Did you note that (PBIO) had a 6% pop right at the close?
    Mar 13, 2015. 04:10 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • QuickChat #278, February 5, 2015 [View instapost]
    LOL!

    Very clever, Mercy.

    Amazing what you can do with software!

    WT
    Mar 13, 2015. 04:01 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
3,243 Comments
316 Likes