Nuclear Pharmacist fairly new to the world of investing. Would really rather be a geologist and may very well change careers after the kids are gone. Very interested in commodities. Want to learn more, that's why I joined this forum.
Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst.
He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015.
From his website:
Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors.
Rules of Investment
Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing.
Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off.
Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.)
Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'.
Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions.
More information on CGTS is available at:
His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address:
His writing portfolio can be found at:
Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at:
Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.
I am retired and live in San Francisco’s quaint Sunnyside neighborhood; I live just five short blocks from San Francisco’s only wilderness park: the world renowned Glen Canyon Park!
My investment approach is based on my belief that the US economy is transitioning from a currency based economic system to an earnings/wealth creation based economic system.
I think we are now in the middle stages of this transition: the dollar is still used as global legal tender, but there is vocal group of central bankers advocating changing the global currency system. And indeed, even among our friends, the dollar is losing its luster as a global tender. Our ongoing budget deficits, our ongoing trade deficits, and our ongoing commitment to deficit financing to finance whatever. Our policy wonks decisions makes many conclude that we are no longer in control of our money supply! Can we control expenses? The end will come because we cannot stop printing more money to pay for things;, our expenses must be paid for through revenues, not credit.
The only questions is how and when the end will occur: I think the global currency system will change quickly, with the dollar users simply abandoning the dollar: they will wake up one morning and decide it is no longer prudent to use the dollar as global legal tender. I think there is a strong possibility that the dollar users will abandonment the dollar in panic, like how the Dutch tulip traders abandon their stockpile of tulips, they woke up one fine morning and understood that the tulip is a beautiful flower but not worth the money they paid for it. Panic ensued, with tulip holders trying to sell their tulip stockpile for any price!
I doubt that the dollar abandonment (or the euro, the Yen, or other national currencies used as global legal tender) will occur slowly, simply because the last ones to unload their dollar holding will lose money big time.
So my thinking is that the global currency system will change suddenly, with both domestic and foreign dollar holders taking a loss, with the foreign dollar holders taking the biggest loss.
I pray that the global community will see this currency upheaval as an opportunity to work together to develop a global currency system that is fair and equitable to all players.
Individual investor. Been at it since 2005.
Blue chips and emerging blue chips.
Love to spend free time poring over my watch-lists, reading annual reports, finding undervalued companies and making money in stocks.
I try to carefully trade weekly & monthly stock options with expertise in mining companies & traditional manufacturers. Speak & write fluent Portuguese and speak good Spanish. Resided twice in Brazil and once on Guam Island. Employed at the same large foreign-owned Distribution Center the past 15 years & completely 100% Pro-NAFTA. Smart individual investing is the preferred solution to improving one's economic future, as opposed to vast & vague government handouts. Seeking Alpha is the #1 best financial blog because of honest opinions & superb organization.
Ashraf Eassa is a technology specialist with The Motley Fool. He writes mostly about technology stocks, but is especially interested in anything related to chips -- the semiconductor kind, that is.
I am about to receive my master degree in Machine Automation. I have extremely high interest in Technology and Innovation as well as stock investing in tech companies. I am new in the later field and hope that Seeking Alpha environment will help to me to advance my investing skills.
Long loser trader. My stocks tend to tank. Fortunately, I'm too poor to lose much. During the Bull Run, I would lose by being too conservative, but as the market appears to be peaking I'm more of an impulsive buyer. This strategy should keep my taxes in check.
As a researcher and technical writer, I frequently write for SeekingAlpha where I present my bullish or bearish case on a stock that I own or sell short. I have worked in the Canadian financial industry (fully licensed, providing services to high net worth individuals and families).
My interests cover a wide variety of subjects and greatly influences how I assess a business. I use technical analysis, literary analysis, a computer scientist's perspective, an understanding of psychology and sociology, marketing, history, and more when making my assessments.
Please follow me on SeekingAlpha and join the conversations in the comments! =)
PhD in Computational Physics. Developing new models for stock trading (focusing on long SVXY). Predicting future accurately enough for trading purposes is surprisingly difficult... :)
Contrarian investment philosophy. I am in particular interested in undervalued technology stocks with multiple x upside potential and limited downside risk.
I am currently long $MSFT, $LNVGY, $INTC, $CRAY, $VRNG, $OCAT, $F, $TLT, $ALU and $NOK. $NOK (and now $ALU) are still the largest position in my portfolio, although I sold 70% of my $NOK position since the Devices and Services deal with Microsoft was announced. $NOK/ALU, and $TLT are currently my largest individual stock/ETF positions.
I also swing trade inverse volatility (long $SVXY) depending on market trends. I do not touch $VIX or other direct volatility products under any circumstances.
Additional disclosure: My comments, Stocktalks, articles etc are not an endorsement to buy or sell securities. Investing in securities carries with it very high risks. The information contained within my articles and commentary is for informational purposes only and is subject to change at any time. Do your own due diligence and consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.