Alternative Energy Storage for Global Warming Agnostics [View article]
Dear Esq. Peterson,
I carefully researched all possibilities in scientific and government studies, and there are no alternatives available for avoiding this catastrophe. www.peakoilassociates.... Human ingenuity is great, but the Laws of Thermodynamics tell us that we cannot invent energy. There are not even plans of how to use the sun's energy to get the liquid fuels we need. Even if we had some answers (and we don't), it is far too late to develop a trillion dollar make over of the energy economy. This is why I focus on preparing for Peak Oil impacts: survivingpeakoil.blogs.../ and suggest that people come live here in a sustainable location. Come visit clifford dot wirth at yahoo dot com.
On Dec 29 06:15 AM John Petersen wrote:
> aitvras, I'm not up early. We just have a 6 hour time zone advantage. > Over the last few weeks we've seen that OPEC production cuts of a > couple million barrels have done little to moderate the price declines, > so while the U.S. government might be able to influence the market > for several months by drawing down the strategic oil reserve, any > impact would likely be temporary. In the long-term the market will > have its way. > > Dr. Wirth, the painful scenario you paint is within the realm of > possibility if people don't recognize the peak oil problem and begin > working on real solutions. But I'm an optimist when it comes to human > ingenuity; our ability to adapt to change and our long history of > emerging stronger from each painful revolution. Society will change > and evolve, but I don't think we'll revert to barbarism.
But, for a few years, industry and government will invest in the electric economy, even though it will fail. Alternative energies depend on oil and will fail without cheap oil.
Independent studies conclude that Peak Oil production will occur (or has occurred) between 2005 to 2010 (projected year for peak in parentheses), as follows:
* Association for the Study of Peak Oil (2007)
* Rembrandt Koppelaar, Editor of “Oil Watch Monthly” (2008)
* Tony Eriksen, Oil stock analyst (2008)
* Matthew Simmons, Energy investment banker, (2007)
* T. Boone Pickens, Oil and gas investor (2007)
* U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (2005)
* Kenneth S. Deffeyes, Princeton professor and retired shell Geologist (2005)
* Sam Sam Bakhtiari, Retired Iranian National Oil Company geologist (2005)
* Chris Skrebowski, Editor of “Petroleum Review” (2010)
* Sadad Al Husseini, former head of production and exploration, Saudi Aramco (2008)
* Energy Watch Group in Germany (2006)
Independent studies indicate that global crude oil production will now decline from 74 million barrels per day to 60 million barrels per day by 2015. During the same time, demand will increase. Oil supplies will be even tighter for the U.S. As oil producing nations consume more and more oil domestically they will export less and less. Because demand is high in China, India, the Middle East, and other oil producing nations, once global oil production begins to decline, demand will always be higher than supply. And since the U.S. represents one fourth of global oil demand, whatever oil we conserve will be consumed elsewhere. Thus, conservation in the U.S. will not slow oil depletion rates significantly.
Alternatives will not even begin to fill the gap. And most alternatives yield electric power, but we need liquid fuels for tractors/combines, 18 wheel trucks, trains, ships, and mining equipment. The independent scientists of the Energy Watch Group conclude in a 2007 report titled: “Peak Oil Could Trigger Meltdown of Society:”
"By 2020, and even more by 2030, global oil supply will be dramatically lower. This will create a supply gap which can hardly be closed by growing contributions from other fossil, nuclear or alternative energy sources in this time frame."
With increasing costs for gasoline and diesel, along with declining taxes and declining gasoline tax revenues, states and local governments will eventually have to cut staff and curtail highway maintenance. Eventually, gasoline stations will close, and state and local highway workers won’t be able to get to work. We are facing the collapse of the highways that depend on diesel and gasoline powered trucks for bridge maintenance, culvert cleaning to avoid road washouts, snow plowing, and roadbed and surface repair. When the highways fail, so will the power grid, as highways carry the parts, large transformers, steel for pylons, and high tension cables from great distances. With the highways out, there will be no food coming from far away, and without the power grid virtually nothing modern works, including home heating, pumping of gasoline and diesel, airports, communications, and automated building systems.
This is documented in a free 48 page report that can be downloaded, website posted, distributed, and emailed: www.peakoilassociates....
I used to live in NH-USA, but moved to a more sustainable place. Anyone interested in relocating to a nice, pretty, sustainable area with a good climate and good soil? Email: clifford dot wirth at yahoo dot com or give me a phone call which operates here as my old USA-NH number 603-668-4207. survivingpeakoil.blogs.../
Alternative Energy Storage for Global Warming Agnostics [View article]
I carefully researched all possibilities in scientific and government studies, and there are no alternatives available for avoiding this catastrophe.
www.peakoilassociates....
Human ingenuity is great, but the Laws of Thermodynamics tell us that we cannot invent energy. There are not even plans of how to use the sun's energy to get the liquid fuels we need. Even if we had some answers (and we don't), it is far too late to develop a trillion dollar make over of the energy economy. This is why I focus on preparing for Peak Oil impacts: survivingpeakoil.blogs.../ and suggest that people come live here in a sustainable location. Come visit clifford dot wirth at yahoo dot com.
On Dec 29 06:15 AM John Petersen wrote:
> aitvras, I'm not up early. We just have a 6 hour time zone advantage.
> Over the last few weeks we've seen that OPEC production cuts of a
> couple million barrels have done little to moderate the price declines,
> so while the U.S. government might be able to influence the market
> for several months by drawing down the strategic oil reserve, any
> impact would likely be temporary. In the long-term the market will
> have its way.
>
> Dr. Wirth, the painful scenario you paint is within the realm of
> possibility if people don't recognize the peak oil problem and begin
> working on real solutions. But I'm an optimist when it comes to human
> ingenuity; our ability to adapt to change and our long history of
> emerging stronger from each painful revolution. Society will change
> and evolve, but I don't think we'll revert to barbarism.
Alternative Energy Storage for Global Warming Agnostics [View article]
www.thestar.com/Busine...
But, for a few years, industry and government will invest in the electric economy, even though it will fail. Alternative energies depend on oil and will fail without cheap oil.
Independent studies conclude that Peak Oil production will occur (or has occurred) between 2005 to 2010 (projected year for peak in parentheses), as follows:
* Association for the Study of Peak Oil (2007)
* Rembrandt Koppelaar, Editor of “Oil Watch Monthly” (2008)
* Tony Eriksen, Oil stock analyst (2008)
* Matthew Simmons, Energy investment banker, (2007)
* T. Boone Pickens, Oil and gas investor (2007)
* U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (2005)
* Kenneth S. Deffeyes, Princeton professor and retired shell Geologist (2005)
* Sam Sam Bakhtiari, Retired Iranian National Oil Company geologist (2005)
* Chris Skrebowski, Editor of “Petroleum Review” (2010)
* Sadad Al Husseini, former head of production and exploration, Saudi Aramco (2008)
* Energy Watch Group in Germany (2006)
Independent studies indicate that global crude oil production will now decline from 74 million barrels per day to 60 million barrels per day by 2015. During the same time, demand will increase. Oil supplies will be even tighter for the U.S. As oil producing nations consume more and more oil domestically they will export less and less. Because demand is high in China, India, the Middle East, and other oil producing nations, once global oil production begins to decline, demand will always be higher than supply. And since the U.S. represents one fourth of global oil demand, whatever oil we conserve will be consumed elsewhere. Thus, conservation in the U.S. will not slow oil depletion rates significantly.
Alternatives will not even begin to fill the gap. And most alternatives yield electric power, but we need liquid fuels for tractors/combines, 18 wheel trucks, trains, ships, and mining equipment. The independent scientists of the Energy Watch Group conclude in a 2007 report titled: “Peak Oil Could Trigger Meltdown of Society:”
"By 2020, and even more by 2030, global oil supply will be dramatically lower. This will create a supply gap which can hardly be closed by growing contributions from other fossil, nuclear or alternative energy sources in this time frame."
www.energywatchgroup.o...
With increasing costs for gasoline and diesel, along with declining taxes and declining gasoline tax revenues, states and local governments will eventually have to cut staff and curtail highway maintenance. Eventually, gasoline stations will close, and state and local highway workers won’t be able to get to work. We are facing the collapse of the highways that depend on diesel and gasoline powered trucks for bridge maintenance, culvert cleaning to avoid road washouts, snow plowing, and roadbed and surface repair. When the highways fail, so will the power grid, as highways carry the parts, large transformers, steel for pylons, and high tension cables from great distances. With the highways out, there will be no food coming from far away, and without the power grid virtually nothing modern works, including home heating, pumping of gasoline and diesel, airports, communications, and automated building systems.
This is documented in a free 48 page report that can be downloaded, website posted, distributed, and emailed: www.peakoilassociates....
I used to live in NH-USA, but moved to a more sustainable place. Anyone interested in relocating to a nice, pretty, sustainable area with a good climate and good soil? Email: clifford dot wirth at yahoo dot com or give me a phone call which operates here as my old USA-NH number 603-668-4207. survivingpeakoil.blogs.../